BOLIVIA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 83.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
83.5%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
75.6%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Real Potosí Win 83.5%
Draw 5%
Gualberto Villarroel SJ Win 11.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Potosí1.65
Gualberto Villarroel SJ1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Potosí Real Potosí
WWDLW
17 GF / 10 GA
Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ
WLDWL
18 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.55
Average Goals Scored
1.29
0.91
Average Goals Conceded
1.79
6
BTTS Yes
12
6
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Potosí Real Potosí 11 matches
Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ 14 matches
Real Potosí Statistic Gualberto Villarroel SJ
4 Wins 3
4 Draws 5
3 Losses 6
17 Goals For 18
10 Goals Against 25
1.55 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
0.91 Avg Goals Conceded 1.79
6 BTTS Yes 12
9 Over 1.5 13
6 Over 2.5 9
2 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 5
0 Corners 2
0% Ball Possession 53%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Real Potosí's more proactive style and Gualberto Villarroel SJ's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Gualberto Villarroel SJ. Real Potosí arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 16 points compared to Gualberto Villarroel SJ in 16 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gualberto Villarroel SJ having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Real Potosí Analysis

From their first 11 matches, Real Potosí have collected 16 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, while the 17:10 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Gualberto Villarroel SJ Analysis

With 7 points from 10 games and a place of 16, Gualberto Villarroel SJ still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats with a 10:17 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95%)
Last matches: Real Potosí
26.07.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Bolívar
1
2
L
21.07.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Independiente Petrolero
2
1
W
15.07.26
Pri
Real Potosí
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
5
0
W
12.07.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Nacional Potosí
1
1
D
09.07.26
Pri
Real Potosí
ABB
3
1
W
10.05.26
Pri
Real Potosí
The Strongest
0
0
D
01.05.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Real Oruro
1
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Oriente Petrolero
0
2
L
22.04.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Guabirá
3
0
W
14.04.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Real Tomayapo
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Aurora
0
0
D
Last matches: Gualberto Villarroel SJ
27.07.26
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Universitario de Vinto
2
1
W
19.07.26
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
The Strongest
0
0
D
15.07.26
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Blooming
1
1
D
11.07.26
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Real Oruro
1
3
L
07.07.26
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Real Tomayapo
3
2
W
09.05.26
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Guabirá
0
3
L
03.05.26
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Bolívar
1
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Nacional Potosí
1
1
D
21.04.26
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Aurora
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Oriente Petrolero
1
2
L
05.04.26
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
ABB
1
2
L
24.03.26
Fri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Blooming
1
4
L
17.03.26
Fri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Aurora
4
2
W
11.03.26
Fri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Aurora
1
1
D
Last matches: Real Potosí
15.07.26
Pri
Real Potosí
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
5
0
W
12.07.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Nacional Potosí
1
1
D
09.07.26
Pri
Real Potosí
ABB
3
1
W
01.05.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Real Oruro
1
2
L
22.04.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Guabirá
3
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Aurora
0
0
D
Last matches: Gualberto Villarroel SJ
15.07.26
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Blooming
1
1
D
11.07.26
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Real Oruro
1
3
L
09.05.26
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Guabirá
0
3
L
25.04.26
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Nacional Potosí
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Oriente Petrolero
1
2
L
24.03.26
Fri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Blooming
1
4
L
17.03.26
Fri
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Aurora
4
2
W

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 8 2 1 27:6 21 26
W W W W L
2 11 6 5 0 16:9 7 23
D D W D W
3 11 6 3 2 26:11 15 21
W W D L D
4 11 5 5 1 19:13 6 20
W D L W W
5 11 4 5 2 17:12 5 17
D W D W L
6 11 4 4 3 17:10 7 16
L W W D W
7 11 4 3 4 17:15 2 15
W L D W L
8 11 4 2 5 15:16 -1 14
W D L L D
9 11 4 2 5 22:27 -5 14
L W L W W
10 11 4 2 5 18:25 -7 14
W L W W D
11 11 3 3 5 15:19 -4 12
L L L L W
12 11 4 0 7 19:26 -7 12
L L W L L
13 11 3 1 7 16:22 -6 10
L L L L W
14 11 2 4 5 12:18 -6 10
W D D L W
15 11 3 1 7 13:23 -10 10
L W L L L
16 11 2 2 7 8:25 -17 8
L L W L L