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24.10.2026 20:00
Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza

Real Pilar vs Liniers Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 66.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
66.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Real Pilar Win 69.5%
Draw 4.7%
Liniers Win 25.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Pilar1.02
Liniers0.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Pilar Real Pilar
WWDLW
42 GF / 42 GA
Liniers Liniers
WLDWL
33 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.02
Average Goals Scored
0.83
1.02
Average Goals Conceded
1.03
19
BTTS Yes
18
15
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Pilar Real Pilar 41 matches
Liniers Liniers 40 matches
Real Pilar Statistic Liniers
17 Wins 10
11 Draws 15
13 Losses 15
42 Goals For 33
42 Goals Against 41
1.02 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1.02 Avg Goals Conceded 1.03
19 BTTS Yes 18
27 Over 1.5 22
15 Over 2.5 9
4 Over 3.5 5
13 Clean Sheets 11
14 Failed To Score 16
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Real Pilar's more proactive style and Liniers's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Liniers having the stronger overall control. Real Pilar arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 61 points compared to Liniers in 17 on 44, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Liniers.

Real Pilar Analysis

Real Pilar are currently 8 in the standings with 61 points from 39 matches. The record of 17 wins, 10 draws, and 12 defeats, together with a 42:39 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Liniers Analysis

With 44 points from 39 games and a place of 17, Liniers still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 10 wins, 14 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 32:40, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Real Pilar won 3 times, Liniers won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:14 from Real Pilar's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.3%)
H2H summary: Real Pilar wins 3, draws 6, Liniers wins 6

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 40 23 9 8 64:31 33 78
D W L W W
2 40 20 13 7 53:26 27 73
D W L W L
3 40 19 12 9 47:29 18 69
D W W W D
4 40 19 11 10 42:26 16 68
L D L W D
5 40 18 13 9 47:32 15 67
W D L L L
6 40 17 14 9 39:27 12 65
L D L D W
7 40 17 11 12 42:38 4 62
D D W W W
8 40 17 11 12 42:39 3 62
D L W L W
9 40 14 15 11 39:34 5 57
D D D D W
10 40 14 13 13 49:52 -3 55
W D W L L
11 40 12 15 13 41:45 -4 51
D L W L W
12 40 12 14 14 40:43 -3 50
W L W W D
13 40 11 15 14 39:53 -14 48
W D D L W
14 40 11 14 15 41:45 -4 47
L L L W D
15 40 10 15 15 33:41 -8 45
D D W L L
16 40 12 9 19 36:48 -12 45
W W D L L
17 40 11 11 18 36:44 -8 44
L L L L W
18 40 9 17 14 32:40 -8 44
L D D D D
19 40 9 16 15 25:37 -12 43
D W D W D
20 40 9 15 16 33:40 -7 42
D L D W L
21 40 6 21 13 23:36 -13 39
D W W D L
22 40 1 14 25 27:64 -37 17
D D L L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)