BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 82.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
82.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Real Noroeste Win 6.9%
Draw 10.3%
Rio Branco ES Win 82.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Noroeste0.87
Rio Branco ES1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Noroeste Real Noroeste
WWDLW
4 GF / 9 GA
Rio Branco ES Rio Branco ES
WLDWL
9 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
0.67
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
3
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Noroeste Real Noroeste 6 matches
Rio Branco ES Rio Branco ES 6 matches
Real Noroeste Statistic Rio Branco ES
1 Wins 2
1 Draws 3
4 Losses 1
4 Goals For 9
9 Goals Against 7
0.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
3 BTTS Yes 4
4 Over 1.5 5
3 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Rio Branco ES's more proactive style and Real Noroeste's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Rio Branco ES. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Rio Branco ES having the stronger overall control. Rio Branco ES carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 9 points while Real Noroeste sit 6 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Real Noroeste have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Real Noroeste Analysis

Real Noroeste approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 4 points from 6 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats with a 4:9 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Rio Branco ES Analysis

Rio Branco ES come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 9 points from 6 matches. The record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 9:7 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Breninho (2 goals), Victor Braga (2 goals), Edu (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Real Noroeste won 5 times, Rio Branco ES won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:16 from Real Noroeste's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.21 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (93.1%)
H2H summary: Real Noroeste wins 5, draws 3, Rio Branco ES wins 6
Last matches: Real Noroeste
14.06.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Democrata GV
0
0
D
30.05.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Vitória ES
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Tombense
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Porto BA
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Porto BA
1
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Rio Branco ES
0
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Tombense
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Vitória ES
1
3
L
06.04.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Democrata GV
0
1
L
Last matches: Rio Branco ES
27.06.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Uberlandia
2
2
D
21.06.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Uberlandia
0
2
L
14.06.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Porto BA
4
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Democrata GV
1
3
L
24.05.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Vitória ES
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Tombense
2
2
D
03.05.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Tombense
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Real Noroeste
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Vitória ES
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Democrata GV
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Porto BA
2
3
L
23.08.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Inter De Limeira
0
0
D
16.08.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
09.08.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Luverdense
3
0
W
02.08.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Luverdense
0
0
D
26.07.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
CFRJ / Maricá
3
0
W
19.07.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Boavista SC
2
0
W
12.07.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Porto Vitória
1
0
W
05.07.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Portuguesa
0
0
D
28.06.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Água Santa
3
2
W
H2H: Real Noroeste vs Rio Branco ES
16.05.26
H2H
Real Noroeste
Rio Branco ES
0
0
D
26.04.26
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Real Noroeste
2
0
L
01.02.26
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Real Noroeste
0
1
W
18.06.25
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Real Noroeste
2
3
W
19.02.25
H2H
Real Noroeste
Rio Branco ES
1
1
D
15.05.24
H2H
Real Noroeste
Rio Branco ES
2
3
L
02.03.24
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Real Noroeste
0
1
W
28.02.24
H2H
Real Noroeste
Rio Branco ES
1
2
L
15.02.23
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Real Noroeste
1
0
L
09.04.22
H2H
Real Noroeste
Rio Branco ES
3
1
W
03.04.22
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Real Noroeste
1
0
L
12.02.22
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Real Noroeste
1
1
D
27.04.21
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Real Noroeste
1
2
W
20.02.20
H2H
Real Noroeste
Rio Branco ES
0
1
L
Last matches: Real Noroeste
14.06.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Democrata GV
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Porto BA
1
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Tombense
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Vitória ES
1
3
L
H2H at home: Real Noroeste
16.05.26
H2H
Real Noroeste
Rio Branco ES
0
0
D
19.02.25
H2H
Real Noroeste
Rio Branco ES
1
1
D
15.05.24
H2H
Real Noroeste
Rio Branco ES
2
3
L
28.02.24
H2H
Real Noroeste
Rio Branco ES
1
2
L
09.04.22
H2H
Real Noroeste
Rio Branco ES
3
1
W
20.02.20
H2H
Real Noroeste
Rio Branco ES
0
1
L
Last matches: Rio Branco ES
27.06.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Uberlandia
2
2
D
31.05.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Democrata GV
1
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Tombense
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Vitória ES
2
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Porto BA
2
3
L
23.08.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Inter De Limeira
0
0
D
02.08.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Luverdense
0
0
D
19.07.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Boavista SC
2
0
W
12.07.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Porto Vitória
1
0
W
14.06.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Nova Iguaçu
0
0
D
31.05.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Pouso Alegre
0
1
L
17.05.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Água Santa
2
1
W
10.05.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Portuguesa
1
2
L
19.04.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
CFRJ / Maricá
0
2
L
H2H away: Rio Branco ES
16.05.26
H2H
Real Noroeste
Rio Branco ES
0
0
D
19.02.25
H2H
Real Noroeste
Rio Branco ES
1
1
D
15.05.24
H2H
Real Noroeste
Rio Branco ES
2
3
W
28.02.24
H2H
Real Noroeste
Rio Branco ES
1
2
W
09.04.22
H2H
Real Noroeste
Rio Branco ES
3
1
L
20.02.20
H2H
Real Noroeste
Rio Branco ES
0
1
W

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)