BRAZIL SERIE D
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 77.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
77.5%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Real Noroeste Win 22.5%
Draw 39.3%
Democrata GV Win 38.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Noroeste0.8
Democrata GV1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Noroeste Real Noroeste
WWDLW
6 GF / 11 GA
Democrata GV Democrata GV
WLDWL
13 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
0.67
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.22
Average Goals Conceded
1
5
BTTS Yes
5
3
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Noroeste Real Noroeste 9 matches
Democrata GV Democrata GV 9 matches
Real Noroeste Statistic Democrata GV
1 Wins 5
4 Draws 1
4 Losses 3
6 Goals For 13
11 Goals Against 9
0.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.22 Avg Goals Conceded 1
5 BTTS Yes 5
6 Over 1.5 6
3 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Democrata GV's more proactive style and Real Noroeste's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Democrata GV. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Democrata GV having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Democrata GV carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 16 points while Real Noroeste sit 6 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Real Noroeste Analysis

Real Noroeste are currently 6 in the standings with 7 points from 9 matches. The record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 6:11 goal balance, points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through Joao Bravo (2 goals), Romulo (2 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Democrata GV Analysis

Democrata GV come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 16 points after 9 matches. The return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 13:9, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Ivan Junior (2 goals), Mauricio Ferreira (2 goals), Tonhao (2 goals), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Real Noroeste won 0 times, Democrata GV won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:5 from Real Noroeste's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (77.5%)
H2H summary: Real Noroeste wins 0, draws 1, Democrata GV wins 2
Last matches: Real Noroeste
30.05.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Vitória ES
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Tombense
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Rio Branco ES
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Porto BA
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Porto BA
1
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Rio Branco ES
0
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Tombense
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Vitória ES
1
3
L
06.04.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Democrata GV
0
1
L
Last matches: Democrata GV
31.05.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Rio Branco ES
3
1
W
25.05.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Porto BA
3
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Tombense
1
3
L
10.05.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Vitória ES
1
2
L
04.05.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Vitória ES
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Tombense
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Porto BA
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Rio Branco ES
1
1
D
06.04.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Real Noroeste
1
0
W
H2H: Real Noroeste vs Democrata GV
06.04.26
H2H
Democrata GV
Real Noroeste
1
0
L
24.06.23
H2H
Real Noroeste
Democrata GV
1
2
L
04.06.23
H2H
Democrata GV
Real Noroeste
2
2
D
Last matches: Real Noroeste
16.05.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Rio Branco ES
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Porto BA
1
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Tombense
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Real Noroeste
Vitória ES
1
3
L
H2H at home: Real Noroeste
24.06.23
H2H
Real Noroeste
Democrata GV
1
2
L
Last matches: Democrata GV
16.05.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Tombense
1
3
L
10.05.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Vitória ES
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Porto BA
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Rio Branco ES
1
1
D
H2H away: Democrata GV
24.06.23
H2H
Real Noroeste
Democrata GV
1
2
W

Standings

Brasileiro Serie D 2026, Group A12
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 5 1 3 13:9 4 16
W W L L W
2 9 4 4 1 13:6 7 16
W D W D D
3 9 4 2 3 12:8 4 14
D W D W L
4 9 2 4 3 10:12 -2 10
L L D D D
5 9 3 1 5 9:17 -8 10
L L D L W
6 9 1 4 4 6:11 -5 7
D D D W L