Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Real Madrid Win 0%
Draw 0%
Rayo Vallecano Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Madrid2.24
Rayo Vallecano1.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Madrid
WWDLW
12 GF / 4 GA
Rayo Vallecano
WLDWL
7 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
2.4
Average Goals Scored
1.17
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
2
3
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
3
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Real Madrid
5 matches
Rayo Vallecano
6 matches
| Real Madrid | Statistic | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 1 |
| 1 | Draws | 1 |
| 0 | Losses | 4 |
| 12 | Goals For | 7 |
| 4 | Goals Against | 12 |
| 2.4 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.17 |
| 0.8 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 4 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 3 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 7 |
| 0 | Corners | 5.5 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 49.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Real Madrid won 9 times, Rayo Vallecano won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:16 from Real Madrid's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Real Madrid - / Rayo Vallecano 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Real Madrid wins 9, draws 4, Rayo Vallecano wins 2
Last matches: Real Madrid
16.08.26
Fri
Real Madrid
FC Schalke 04
3
0
W
12.08.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Deportivo La Coruna
1
0
W
08.08.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Ferencvarosi TC
2
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Fiorentina
2
2
D
28.07.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Leganes
4
1
W
23.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
4
2
W
17.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Sevilla
1
0
W
14.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Oviedo
2
0
W
10.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Barcelona
0
2
L
03.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Espanyol
2
0
W
24.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Real Betis
1
1
D
21.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Alaves
2
1
W
15.04.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Bayern München
3
4
L
10.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Girona
1
1
D
07.04.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Bayern München
1
2
L
04.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Mallorca
1
2
L
22.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
3
2
W
17.03.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Manchester City
2
1
W
14.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Elche
4
1
W
11.03.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Manchester City
3
0
W
Last matches: Rayo Vallecano
20.08.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
1
1
D
15.08.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla
1
2
L
08.08.26
Fri
Rayo Vallecano
Ipswich
0
3
L
01.08.26
Fri
Rayo Vallecano
Charleroi
3
2
W
26.07.26
Fri
Rayo Vallecano
Feyenoord
1
2
L
17.07.26
Fri
Rayo Vallecano
Heart Of Midlothian
1
2
L
27.05.26
UEF
Rayo Vallecano
Crystal Palace
0
1
L
23.05.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
2
1
W
17.05.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal
2
0
W
14.05.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Valencia
1
1
D
11.05.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Girona
1
1
D
07.05.26
UEF
Rayo Vallecano
Strasbourg
1
0
W
03.05.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Getafe
2
0
W
30.04.26
UEF
Rayo Vallecano
Strasbourg
1
0
W
26.04.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad
3
3
D
23.04.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Espanyol
1
0
W
16.04.26
UEF
Rayo Vallecano
AEK Athens FC
1
3
L
12.04.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Mallorca
0
3
L
09.04.26
UEF
Rayo Vallecano
AEK Athens FC
3
0
W
03.04.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Elche
1
0
W
H2H: Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano
01.02.26
H2H
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
2
1
W
09.11.25
H2H
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
0
0
D
09.03.25
H2H
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
2
1
W
14.12.24
H2H
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
3
3
D
18.02.24
H2H
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
1
1
D
05.11.23
H2H
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
0
0
D
24.05.23
H2H
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
2
1
W
07.11.22
H2H
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
3
2
L
26.02.22
H2H
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
0
1
W
06.11.21
H2H
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
2
1
W
28.04.19
H2H
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
1
0
L
15.12.18
H2H
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
1
0
W
23.04.16
H2H
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
2
3
W
20.12.15
H2H
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
10
2
W
08.04.15
H2H
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
0
2
W
Last matches: Real Madrid
01.08.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Fiorentina
2
2
D
28.07.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Leganes
4
1
W
23.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
4
2
W
14.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Oviedo
2
0
W
21.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Alaves
2
1
W
10.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Girona
1
1
D
07.04.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Bayern München
1
2
L
22.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
3
2
W
14.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Elche
4
1
W
11.03.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Manchester City
3
0
W
02.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Getafe
0
1
L
25.02.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Benfica
2
1
W
14.02.26
La
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
4
1
W
01.02.26
La
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
2
1
W
20.01.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Monaco
6
1
W
17.01.26
La
Real Madrid
Levante
2
0
W
04.01.26
La
Real Madrid
Real Betis
5
1
W
20.12.25
La
Real Madrid
Sevilla
2
0
W
10.12.25
UEF
Real Madrid
Manchester City
1
2
L
07.12.25
La
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
0
2
L
H2H at home: Real Madrid
01.02.26
H2H
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
2
1
W
09.03.25
H2H
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
2
1
W
05.11.23
H2H
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
0
0
D
24.05.23
H2H
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
2
1
W
06.11.21
H2H
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
2
1
W
15.12.18
H2H
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
1
0
W
20.12.15
H2H
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
10
2
W
Last matches: Rayo Vallecano
15.08.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla
1
2
L
08.08.26
Fri
Rayo Vallecano
Ipswich
0
3
L
01.08.26
Fri
Rayo Vallecano
Charleroi
3
2
W
26.07.26
Fri
Rayo Vallecano
Feyenoord
1
2
L
17.07.26
Fri
Rayo Vallecano
Heart Of Midlothian
1
2
L
27.05.26
UEF
Rayo Vallecano
Crystal Palace
0
1
L
23.05.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
2
1
W
14.05.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Valencia
1
1
D
07.05.26
UEF
Rayo Vallecano
Strasbourg
1
0
W
03.05.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Getafe
2
0
W
16.04.26
UEF
Rayo Vallecano
AEK Athens FC
1
3
L
12.04.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Mallorca
0
3
L
22.03.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Barcelona
0
1
L
12.03.26
UEF
Rayo Vallecano
Samsunspor
3
1
W
08.03.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla
1
1
D
21.02.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Real Betis
1
1
D
01.02.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
1
2
L
18.01.26
La
Rayo Vallecano
Celta Vigo
0
3
L
14.01.26
Cop
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves
0
2
L
06.01.26
Cop
Rayo Vallecano
Granada CF
3
1
W
H2H away: Rayo Vallecano
01.02.26
H2H
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
2
1
L
09.03.25
H2H
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
2
1
L
05.11.23
H2H
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
0
0
D
24.05.23
H2H
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
2
1
L
06.11.21
H2H
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
2
1
L
15.12.18
H2H
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
1
0
L
20.12.15
H2H
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
10
2
L