AUSTRALIA VICTORIA NPL
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 59.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
59.8%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Melbourne City II Win 20.6%
Draw 19.6%
Bentleigh Greens Win 59.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Melbourne City II1.76
Bentleigh Greens1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Melbourne City II Melbourne City II
WWDLW
39 GF / 34 GA
Bentleigh Greens Bentleigh Greens
WLDWL
21 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.63
Average Goals Scored
0.88
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
1.96
12
BTTS Yes
9
13
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Melbourne City II Melbourne City II 24 matches
Bentleigh Greens Bentleigh Greens 24 matches
Melbourne City II Statistic Bentleigh Greens
8 Wins 5
6 Draws 6
10 Losses 13
39 Goals For 21
34 Goals Against 47
1.63 Avg Goals Scored 0.88
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 1.96
12 BTTS Yes 9
20 Over 1.5 17
13 Over 2.5 13
9 Over 3.5 8
5 Clean Sheets 6
7 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Melbourne City II's more proactive style and Bentleigh Greens's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Melbourne City II. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Melbourne City II having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Melbourne City II Analysis

Bentleigh Greens approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 20 points from 23 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 13 defeats with a 20:46 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Bentleigh Greens Analysis

Melbourne City II approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 30 points from 22 matches. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 39:27 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 6 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Melbourne City II won 3 times, Bentleigh Greens won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:3 from Melbourne City II's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.4%)
H2H summary: Melbourne City II wins 3, draws 1, Bentleigh Greens wins 1
Last matches: Melbourne City II
19.08.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Preston Lions
0
4
L
15.08.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
South Melbourne
0
3
L
01.08.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Hume City
0
1
L
25.07.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Avondale
2
3
L
18.07.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Sunshine Georgies
0
1
L
11.07.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Heidelberg United
2
2
D
04.07.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Altona Magic
3
0
W
26.06.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
St. Albans Saints
2
0
W
19.06.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Oakleigh Cannons
1
3
L
30.05.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Dandenong City
0
1
L
24.05.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Dandenong Thunder
2
0
W
15.05.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Green Gully
3
1
W
08.05.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Bentleigh Greens
7
0
W
01.05.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
South Melbourne
2
1
W
26.04.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Hume City
0
1
L
18.04.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Avondale
1
3
L
12.04.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Sunshine Georgies
1
1
D
27.03.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Heidelberg United
1
1
D
22.03.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Altona Magic
1
1
D
14.03.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
St. Albans Saints
5
0
W
Last matches: Bentleigh Greens
14.08.26
Vic
Bentleigh Greens
St. Albans Saints
1
1
D
31.07.26
Vic
Bentleigh Greens
Oakleigh Cannons
0
0
D
24.07.26
Vic
Bentleigh Greens
Preston Lions
0
1
L
17.07.26
Vic
Bentleigh Greens
Dandenong City
2
1
W
11.07.26
Vic
Bentleigh Greens
Dandenong Thunder
1
2
L
03.07.26
Vic
Bentleigh Greens
Green Gully
0
3
L
26.06.26
Vic
Bentleigh Greens
Altona Magic
0
1
L
19.06.26
Vic
Bentleigh Greens
South Melbourne
1
5
L
05.06.26
Vic
Bentleigh Greens
Hume City
1
5
L
30.05.26
Vic
Bentleigh Greens
Avondale
0
4
L
22.05.26
Vic
Bentleigh Greens
Sunshine Georgies
0
0
D
15.05.26
Vic
Bentleigh Greens
Heidelberg United
2
2
D
08.05.26
Vic
Bentleigh Greens
Melbourne City II
0
7
L
01.05.26
Vic
Bentleigh Greens
St. Albans Saints
2
4
L
24.04.26
Vic
Bentleigh Greens
Oakleigh Cannons
0
4
L
17.04.26
Vic
Bentleigh Greens
Preston Lions
1
1
D
11.04.26
Vic
Bentleigh Greens
Dandenong City
0
3
L
27.03.26
Vic
Bentleigh Greens
Dandenong Thunder
2
1
W
20.03.26
Vic
Bentleigh Greens
Green Gully
4
0
W
14.03.26
Vic
Bentleigh Greens
Altona Magic
2
0
W
H2H: Melbourne City II vs Bentleigh Greens
08.05.26
H2H
Bentleigh Greens
Melbourne City II
0
7
W
23.05.25
H2H
Bentleigh Greens
Melbourne City II
1
1
D
16.02.25
H2H
Melbourne City II
Bentleigh Greens
1
0
W
27.07.24
H2H
Melbourne City II
Bentleigh Greens
2
1
W
26.04.24
H2H
Bentleigh Greens
Melbourne City II
1
0
L
Last matches: Melbourne City II
15.08.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
South Melbourne
0
3
L
25.07.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Avondale
2
3
L
11.07.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Heidelberg United
2
2
D
30.05.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Dandenong City
0
1
L
24.05.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Dandenong Thunder
2
0
W
26.04.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Hume City
0
1
L
12.04.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Sunshine Georgies
1
1
D
22.03.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Altona Magic
1
1
D
14.03.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
St. Albans Saints
5
0
W
08.03.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Oakleigh Cannons
1
1
D
01.03.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Preston Lions
0
3
L
14.09.25
Vic
Melbourne City II
Brunswick City
2
2
D
06.09.25
Vic
Melbourne City II
Melbourne Srbija
4
3
W
17.08.25
Vic
Melbourne City II
Kingston City
6
0
W
26.07.25
Vic
Melbourne City II
Sunshine Georgies
1
2
L
12.07.25
Vic
Melbourne City II
Northcote City
3
1
W
05.07.25
Vic
Melbourne City II
Western United II
2
3
L
18.05.25
Vic
Melbourne City II
Manningham United Blues
1
1
D
11.05.25
Vic
Melbourne City II
Brunswick City
4
0
W
27.04.25
Vic
Melbourne City II
Bulleen Lions
1
1
D
H2H at home: Melbourne City II
16.02.25
H2H
Melbourne City II
Bentleigh Greens
1
0
W
27.07.24
H2H
Melbourne City II
Bentleigh Greens
2
1
W
Last matches: Bentleigh Greens
14.08.26
Vic
Bentleigh Greens
St. Albans Saints
1
1
D
24.07.26
Vic
Bentleigh Greens
Preston Lions
0
1
L
11.07.26
Vic
Bentleigh Greens
Dandenong Thunder
1
2
L
03.07.26
Vic
Bentleigh Greens
Green Gully
0
3
L
30.05.26
Vic
Bentleigh Greens
Avondale
0
4
L
24.04.26
Vic
Bentleigh Greens
Oakleigh Cannons
0
4
L
11.04.26
Vic
Bentleigh Greens
Dandenong City
0
3
L
14.03.26
Vic
Bentleigh Greens
Altona Magic
2
0
W
07.03.26
Vic
Bentleigh Greens
South Melbourne
0
1
L
28.02.26
Vic
Bentleigh Greens
Hume City
0
1
L
14.02.26
Vic
Bentleigh Greens
Sunshine Georgies
0
0
D
16.08.25
Vic
Bentleigh Greens
North Sunshine Eagles
2
1
W
02.08.25
Vic
Bentleigh Greens
Manningham United Blues
2
0
W
19.07.25
Vic
Bentleigh Greens
Kingston City
0
0
D
28.06.25
Vic
Bentleigh Greens
Sunshine Georgies
1
0
W
21.06.25
Vic
Bentleigh Greens
Langwarrin
1
1
D
15.06.25
Vic
Bentleigh Greens
Western United II
0
3
L
07.06.25
Vic
Bentleigh Greens
Melbourne Srbija
2
1
W
30.05.25
Vic
Bentleigh Greens
Eastern Lions
1
0
W
16.05.25
Vic
Bentleigh Greens
Moreland City
3
2
W
H2H away: Bentleigh Greens
16.02.25
H2H
Melbourne City II
Bentleigh Greens
1
0
L
27.07.24
H2H
Melbourne City II
Bentleigh Greens
2
1
L

Standings

Victoria NPL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 15 6 3 49:21 28 51
W D L W W
2 24 15 4 5 40:18 22 49
W W D W D
3 24 14 4 6 48:32 16 46
W W L L L
4 24 13 2 9 61:34 27 41
L W W D L
5 24 13 2 9 38:33 5 41
W W W D W
6 24 8 11 5 32:31 1 35
W D D W D
7 24 9 7 8 38:33 5 34
L L D D D
8 24 9 6 9 32:29 3 33
W W D L L
9 24 8 6 10 39:34 5 30
L L L L L
10 24 7 7 10 28:42 -14 28
D L W D D
11 24 7 6 11 27:39 -12 27
L D W D W
12 24 5 6 13 21:47 -26 21
D D L W L
13 24 3 6 15 20:49 -29 15
L D D W L
14 24 4 3 17 23:54 -31 15
L L L L W