WORLD UEFA CHAMPIONS LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Referee: I. Peljto
Real Madrid
Match Timeline
Marseille
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
5'
T. Alexander-Arnold ↔ D. Carvajal
Real Madrid
22'
T. Weah · Assist: M. Greenwood
Marseille
29'
K. Mbappe
Real Madrid
🟨
35'
Aurélien Tchouaméni
Real Madrid
🟨
46'
Benjamin Pavard
Marseille
🟨
54'
Éder Militão
Real Madrid
🔄
63'
Rodrygo ↔ Vinicius Junior
Real Madrid
🔄
63'
F. Mastantuono ↔ B. Diaz
Real Madrid
🔄
66'
M. O'Riley ↔ I. Paixao
Marseille
🔄
66'
G. Kondogbia ↔ A. Vermeeren
Marseille
VAR
71'
Daniel Carvajal
Real Madrid
🟥
72'
Daniel Carvajal
Real Madrid
🔄
73'
A. Guler ↔ R. Asencio
Real Madrid
🟨
75'
Facundo Medina
Marseille
🔄
78'
T. Weah ↔ A. Gouiri
Marseille
🔄
78'
Emerson ↔ M. Murillo
Marseille
81'
K. Mbappe
Real Madrid
🔄
87'
B. Pavard ↔ C. Egan-Riley
Marseille
🟨
90+7'
Álvaro Carreras
Real Madrid

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Real Madrid Win 0%
Draw 0%
Marseille Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Madrid1.6
Marseille1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Madrid Real Madrid
WWDLW
8 GF / 2 GA
Marseille Marseille
WLDWL
9 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2.25
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
1
2
BTTS Yes
1
3
Over 2.5
2
7
Shots on Goal
4.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Madrid Real Madrid 4 matches
Marseille Marseille 4 matches
Real Madrid Statistic Marseille
4 Wins 2
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 2
8 Goals For 9
2 Goals Against 4
2 Avg Goals Scored 2.25
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1
2 BTTS Yes 1
3 Over 1.5 2
3 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 2
7 Shots On Goal 4.75
19.25 Total Shots 13.75
6 Corners 7.75
57.5% Ball Possession 61.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Real Madrid won 1 times, Marseille won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Real Madrid's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Real Madrid 4-2-3-1 / Marseille 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Real Madrid wins 1, draws 0, Marseille wins 0
Stats
Real Madrid Real Madrid
Marseille Marseille
Shots on Goal
15
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
8
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
2
9 Corner Kicks 4
9 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 3
43% Ball Possession 57%
28 Total Shots 15
15 Shots on Goal 5
8 Shots off Goal 8
5 Blocked Shots 2
20 Shots insidebox 10
8 Shots outsidebox 5
4 Goalkeeper Saves 13
402 Total passes 524
344 Passes accurate 455
3.65 expected_goals 0.73
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Real Madrid
Formation
Marseille
T. Courtois
T. Courtois
T. Alexander-Arnold
T. Alexander-Arnold
Eder Militao
Eder Militao
D. Huijsen
D. Huijsen
A. Carreras
A. Carreras
F. Valverde
F. Valverde
A. Tchouameni
A. Tchouameni
F. Mastantuono
F. Mastantuono
A. Guler
A. Guler
Rodrygo
Rodrygo
K. Mbappe
⚽ 2
K. Mbappe
G. Rulli
G. Rulli
B. Pavard
B. Pavard
L. Balerdi
L. Balerdi
F. Medina
F. Medina
Emerson
Emerson
G. Kondogbia
G. Kondogbia
P. Hojbjerg
P. Hojbjerg
M. Greenwood
🎯
M. Greenwood
M. O'Riley
M. O'Riley
T. Weah
T. Weah
P. Aubameyang
P. Aubameyang
Real Madrid 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
T. Courtois
G
12
T. Alexander-Arnold
↓ 5'
D
3
Eder Militao
🟨 54'
D
24
D. Huijsen
D
18
A. Carreras
🟨 90+7'
D
8
F. Valverde
M
14
A. Tchouameni
🟨 35'
M
30
F. Mastantuono
↓ 63'
M
15
A. Guler
↓ 73'
M
11
Rodrygo
↓ 63'
M
10
K. Mbappe
⚽ 29' ⚽ 81'
F
Substitutes
13
A. Lunin
G
26
Fran
G
2
D. Carvajal
↑ 5' 🟥 72'
D
4
D. Alaba
D
5
J. Bellingham
M
6
E. Camavinga
M
7
Vinicius Junior
↑ 63'
F
16
G. Garcia
F
17
R. Asencio
↑ 73'
D
19
D. Ceballos
M
20
F. Garcia
D
21
B. Diaz
↑ 63'
M
Marseille 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
G. Rulli
G
28
B. Pavard
↓ 87' 🟨 46'
D
5
L. Balerdi
D
32
F. Medina
🟨 75'
D
33
Emerson
↓ 78'
D
19
G. Kondogbia
↓ 66'
M
23
P. Hojbjerg
M
10
M. Greenwood
🎯 22'
M
17
M. O'Riley
↓ 66'
M
22
T. Weah
⚽ 22' ↓ 78'
M
97
P. Aubameyang
F
Substitutes
12
J. De Lange
G
40
J. Van Neck
G
4
C. Egan-Riley
↑ 87'
D
8
A. Gomes
M
9
A. Gouiri
↑ 78'
F
14
I. Paixao
↑ 66'
F
18
A. Vermeeren
↑ 66'
M
26
B. Nadir
M
34
R. Vaz
F
50
D. Bakola
M
62
M. Murillo
↑ 78'
D
Last matches: Real Madrid
16.08.26
Fri
Real Madrid
FC Schalke 04
3
0
W
12.08.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Deportivo La Coruna
1
0
W
08.08.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Ferencvarosi TC
2
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Fiorentina
2
2
D
28.07.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Leganes
4
1
W
23.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
4
2
W
17.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Sevilla
1
0
W
14.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Oviedo
2
0
W
10.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Barcelona
0
2
L
03.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Espanyol
2
0
W
24.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Real Betis
1
1
D
21.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Alaves
2
1
W
15.04.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Bayern München
3
4
L
10.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Girona
1
1
D
07.04.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Bayern München
1
2
L
04.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Mallorca
1
2
L
22.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
3
2
W
17.03.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Manchester City
2
1
W
14.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Elche
4
1
W
11.03.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Manchester City
3
0
W
Last matches: Marseille
14.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Atletico Madrid
1
2
L
09.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Athletic Club
3
1
W
30.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nimes
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nice
0
3
L
17.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Rennes
3
1
W
10.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Le Havre
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Nantes
0
3
L
26.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Nice
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Lorient
0
2
L
10.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Metz
3
1
W
05.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Monaco
1
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lille
1
2
L
13.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Auxerre
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Toulouse
1
0
W
04.03.26
Cou
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
01.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lyon
3
2
W
20.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Stade Brestois 29
0
2
L
14.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
2
D
08.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
0
5
L
03.02.26
Cou
Marseille
Rennes
3
0
W
H2H: Real Madrid vs Marseille
16.09.25
H2H
Real Madrid
Marseille
2
1
W
Last matches: Real Madrid
01.08.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Fiorentina
2
2
D
28.07.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Leganes
4
1
W
23.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
4
2
W
14.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Oviedo
2
0
W
21.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Alaves
2
1
W
10.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Girona
1
1
D
07.04.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Bayern München
1
2
L
22.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
3
2
W
14.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Elche
4
1
W
11.03.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Manchester City
3
0
W
02.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Getafe
0
1
L
25.02.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Benfica
2
1
W
14.02.26
La
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
4
1
W
01.02.26
La
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
2
1
W
20.01.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Monaco
6
1
W
17.01.26
La
Real Madrid
Levante
2
0
W
04.01.26
La
Real Madrid
Real Betis
5
1
W
20.12.25
La
Real Madrid
Sevilla
2
0
W
10.12.25
UEF
Real Madrid
Manchester City
1
2
L
07.12.25
La
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
0
2
L
H2H at home: Real Madrid
16.09.25
H2H
Real Madrid
Marseille
2
1
W
Last matches: Marseille
10.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Le Havre
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Nantes
0
3
L
18.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Lorient
0
2
L
05.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Monaco
1
2
L
07.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Toulouse
1
0
W
20.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Stade Brestois 29
0
2
L
08.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
0
5
L
31.01.26
Lig
Marseille
Paris FC
2
2
D
28.01.26
UEF
Marseille
Club Brugge KV
0
3
L
17.01.26
Lig
Marseille
Angers
5
2
W
13.01.26
Cou
Marseille
Bayeux
9
0
W
21.12.25
Cou
Marseille
Bourg-en-bresse 01
6
0
W
09.12.25
UEF
Marseille
Union St. Gilloise
3
2
W
05.12.25
Lig
Marseille
Lille
0
1
L
21.11.25
Lig
Marseille
Nice
5
1
W
01.11.25
Lig
Marseille
Auxerre
1
0
W
25.10.25
Lig
Marseille
Lens
1
2
L
22.10.25
UEF
Marseille
Sporting CP
1
2
L
04.10.25
Lig
Marseille
Metz
3
0
W
26.09.25
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
1
W
H2H away: Marseille
16.09.25
H2H
Real Madrid
Marseille
2
1
L

Standings

UEFA Champions League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 8 0 0 23:4 19 24
W W W W W
2 8 7 0 1 22:8 14 21
W W W L W
3 8 6 0 2 20:8 12 18
W W W L W
4 8 5 2 1 17:7 10 17
W W W L W
5 8 5 1 2 22:14 8 16
W W W L D
6 8 5 1 2 17:10 7 16
W W L W D
7 8 5 1 2 17:11 6 16
W W L W D
8 8 5 1 2 15:9 6 16
W L W L W
9 8 5 0 3 21:12 9 15
L W L W L
10 8 5 0 3 15:7 8 15
W L L L W
11 8 4 2 2 21:11 10 14
D L D W L
12 8 4 2 2 17:7 10 14
D W D L W
13 8 3 4 1 14:10 4 13
D W W W D
14 8 4 1 3 17:15 2 13
L D W W W
15 8 4 1 3 10:10 0 13
L L W W W
16 8 3 3 2 13:14 -1 12
W L D W W
17 8 3 2 3 19:17 2 11
L L D W L
18 8 3 2 3 10:14 -4 11
W W W L D
19 8 3 1 4 15:17 -2 10
W W L L D
20 8 3 1 4 9:11 -2 10
L D L L W
21 8 2 4 2 8:14 -6 10
D L W D W
22 8 3 1 4 13:21 -8 10
L W L L D
23 8 2 3 3 14:15 -1 9
W W D L L
24 8 3 0 5 10:12 -2 9
W L W W L
25 8 3 0 5 11:14 -3 9
L L W W L
26 8 2 3 3 8:11 -3 9
W L L D W
27 8 3 0 5 8:17 -9 9
W L L W L
28 8 2 2 4 16:16 0 8
L L L W D
29 8 2 2 4 9:14 -5 8
L W D D L
30 8 2 2 4 9:15 -6 8
L D L W D
31 8 2 2 4 12:21 -9 8
L D W W L
32 8 2 0 6 8:21 -13 6
L W W L L
33 8 1 1 6 10:21 -11 4
L L L L D
34 8 0 3 5 5:19 -14 3
L L L D L
35 8 0 1 7 5:18 -13 1
L L L L L
36 8 0 1 7 7:22 -15 1
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)