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16.09.2025 19:00
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Referee: I. Peljto
Real Madrid
Match Timeline
Marseille
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
5'
T. Alexander-Arnold ↔ D. Carvajal
Real Madrid
⚽
22'
T. Weah · Assist: M. Greenwood
Marseille
⚽
29'
K. Mbappe
Real Madrid
🟨
35'
Aurélien Tchouaméni
Real Madrid
🟨
46'
Benjamin Pavard
Marseille
🟨
54'
Éder Militão
Real Madrid
🔄
63'
Rodrygo ↔ Vinicius Junior
Real Madrid
🔄
63'
F. Mastantuono ↔ B. Diaz
Real Madrid
🔄
66'
M. O'Riley ↔ I. Paixao
Marseille
🔄
66'
G. Kondogbia ↔ A. Vermeeren
Marseille
VAR
71'
Daniel Carvajal
Real Madrid
🟥
72'
Daniel Carvajal
Real Madrid
🔄
73'
A. Guler ↔ R. Asencio
Real Madrid
🟨
75'
Facundo Medina
Marseille
🔄
78'
T. Weah ↔ A. Gouiri
Marseille
🔄
78'
Emerson ↔ M. Murillo
Marseille
⚽
81'
K. Mbappe
Real Madrid
🔄
87'
B. Pavard ↔ C. Egan-Riley
Marseille
🟨
90+7'
Álvaro Carreras
Real Madrid

Real Madrid vs Marseille Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Real Madrid Win 0%
Draw 0%
Marseille Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Madrid1.6
Marseille1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Madrid Real Madrid
WWDLW
8 GF / 2 GA
Marseille Marseille
WLDWL
9 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2.25
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
1
2
BTTS Yes
1
3
Over 2.5
2
7
Shots on Goal
4.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Madrid Real Madrid 4 matches
Marseille Marseille 4 matches
Real Madrid Statistic Marseille
4 Wins 2
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 2
8 Goals For 9
2 Goals Against 4
2 Avg Goals Scored 2.25
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1
2 BTTS Yes 1
3 Over 1.5 2
3 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 2
7 Shots On Goal 4.75
19.25 Total Shots 13.75
6 Corners 7.75
57.5% Ball Possession 61.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Real Madrid won 1 times, Marseille won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Real Madrid's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Real Madrid 4-2-3-1 / Marseille 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Real Madrid wins 1, draws 0, Marseille wins 0

Standings

UEFA Champions League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 8 0 0 23:4 19 24
W W W W W
2 8 7 0 1 22:8 14 21
W W W L W
3 8 6 0 2 20:8 12 18
W W W L W
4 8 5 2 1 17:7 10 17
W W W L W
5 8 5 1 2 22:14 8 16
W W W L D
6 8 5 1 2 17:10 7 16
W W L W D
7 8 5 1 2 17:11 6 16
W W L W D
8 8 5 1 2 15:9 6 16
W L W L W
9 8 5 0 3 21:12 9 15
L W L W L
10 8 5 0 3 15:7 8 15
W L L L W
11 8 4 2 2 21:11 10 14
D L D W L
12 8 4 2 2 17:7 10 14
D W D L W
13 8 3 4 1 14:10 4 13
D W W W D
14 8 4 1 3 17:15 2 13
L D W W W
15 8 4 1 3 10:10 0 13
L L W W W
16 8 3 3 2 13:14 -1 12
W L D W W
17 8 3 2 3 19:17 2 11
L L D W L
18 8 3 2 3 10:14 -4 11
W W W L D
19 8 3 1 4 15:17 -2 10
W W L L D
20 8 3 1 4 9:11 -2 10
L D L L W
21 8 2 4 2 8:14 -6 10
D L W D W
22 8 3 1 4 13:21 -8 10
L W L L D
23 8 2 3 3 14:15 -1 9
W W D L L
24 8 3 0 5 10:12 -2 9
W L W W L
25 8 3 0 5 11:14 -3 9
L L W W L
26 8 2 3 3 8:11 -3 9
W L L D W
27 8 3 0 5 8:17 -9 9
W L L W L
28 8 2 2 4 16:16 0 8
L L L W D
29 8 2 2 4 9:14 -5 8
L W D D L
30 8 2 2 4 9:15 -6 8
L D L W D
31 8 2 2 4 12:21 -9 8
L D W W L
32 8 2 0 6 8:21 -13 6
L W W L L
33 8 1 1 6 10:21 -11 4
L L L L D
34 8 0 3 5 5:19 -14 3
L L L D L
35 8 0 1 7 5:18 -13 1
L L L L L
36 8 0 1 7 7:22 -15 1
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)