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IRELAND › PREMIER DIVISION
08.10.2026 19:00
Tallaght Stadium
Shamrock Rovers
Match Timeline
Drogheda United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
1'
Graham Burke · Assist: John McGovern
Shamrock Rovers
⚽
20'
John McGovern
Shamrock Rovers
🟨
40'
Lee Grace
Shamrock Rovers
⚽
42'
John McGovern · Assist: Tunmise Sobowale
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
45'
Lee Grace ↔ Cory O'Sullivan
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
45'
Leo Burney ↔ james bolger
Drogheda United
🔄
60'
Dylan Watts ↔ Najemedine Razi
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
60'
John McGovern ↔ Jonathan Afolabi
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
61'
Graham Burke ↔ Aaron Greene
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
62'
ethan brien o ↔ Jago Godden
Drogheda United
🔄
62'
Warren Davis ↔ Mark Doyle
Drogheda United
🔄
68'
Jack Byrne ↔ John O'Reilly-O'Sullivan
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
71'
Ryan Markey ↔ Thomas Oluwa
Drogheda United
🟨
86'
Aaron Greene
Shamrock Rovers
⚽
88'
Brandon Kavanagh · Assist: Shane Farrell
Drogheda United
🟨
90+2'
Cory O'Sullivan
Shamrock Rovers

Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 70.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 56.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
70.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
56.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
83.4%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Shamrock Rovers Win 60.9%
Draw 11.2%
Drogheda United Win 28%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shamrock Rovers1.61
Drogheda United1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
WWDLW
71 GF / 45 GA
Drogheda United Drogheda United
WLDWL
44 GF / 54 GA
Key Stats
1.69
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
22
BTTS Yes
22
20
Over 2.5
18
4.69
Shots on Goal
3.31

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 42 matches
Drogheda United Drogheda United 36 matches
Shamrock Rovers Statistic Drogheda United
23 Wins 10
9 Draws 12
10 Losses 14
71 Goals For 44
45 Goals Against 54
1.69 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
22 BTTS Yes 22
31 Over 1.5 28
20 Over 2.5 18
13 Over 3.5 11
14 Clean Sheets 10
9 Failed To Score 8
4.69 Shots On Goal 3.31
11.69 Total Shots 10.25
4.54 Corners 3.94
55.9% Ball Possession 38.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Shamrock Rovers's more proactive style and Drogheda United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Shamrock Rovers arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 59 points compared to Drogheda United in 9 on 34, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Drogheda United. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Drogheda United arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Shamrock Rovers Analysis

Shamrock Rovers arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 59 points after 31 matches. Their overall return of 17 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 49:31 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by G. Burke (6 goals), J. McGovern (5 goals), M. Noonan (4 goals), with creative support from G. Burke (2 assists), J. McGovern (2 assists), J. Byrne (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 11 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Drogheda United Analysis

Drogheda United approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 34 points from 32 matches. The overall return of 8 wins, 10 draws, and 14 defeats with a 38:51 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Doyle (4 goals), W. Davis (4 goals), B. Kavanagh (2 goals), with creative support from B. Kavanagh (4 assists), E. Agbaje (2 assists), T. Oluwa (1 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Shamrock Rovers won 9 times, Drogheda United won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:8 from Shamrock Rovers's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.9%)
Predicted formations: Shamrock Rovers 3-5-2 / Drogheda United 3-5-2
H2H summary: Shamrock Rovers wins 9, draws 5, Drogheda United wins 1

Standings

Premier Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 19 8 7 54:35 19 65
L W W W L
2 34 18 8 8 60:41 19 62
W L W W W
3 33 17 8 8 53:27 26 59
L W W W L
4 34 11 13 10 49:47 2 46
W W D W L
5 33 9 14 10 45:44 1 41
L W D W D
6 33 10 11 12 44:48 -4 41
W D L W L
7 33 10 11 12 50:55 -5 41
L L L D W
8 34 9 10 15 41:54 -13 37
W L L W W
9 33 7 13 13 45:56 -11 34
L L D D W
10 33 5 8 20 25:59 -34 23
L L L L L
Play-offs
Qualifying
Relegation Play-offs
Relegation