Real Madrid
Match Timeline
Malaga
Real Madrid vs Malaga Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
59.1%
|
1.11 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
2.20 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
1.30 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.76 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
1.44 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
11.00 |
Probability Distribution
Real Madrid Win 59.1%
Draw 4%
Malaga Win 36.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Madrid2.34
Malaga1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Madrid
WWDLW
18 GF / 6 GA
Malaga
WLDWL
13 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
2.57
Average Goals Scored
1.86
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
2
5
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
5
9.5
Shots on Goal
1.5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Real Madrid
7 matches
Malaga
7 matches
| Real Madrid | Statistic | Malaga |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 1 |
| 1 | Draws | 4 |
| 0 | Losses | 2 |
| 18 | Goals For | 13 |
| 6 | Goals Against | 14 |
| 2.57 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.86 |
| 0.86 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 9.5 | Shots On Goal | 1.5 |
| 20.5 | Total Shots | 9 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 57% | Ball Possession | 51% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Real Madrid won 11 times, Malaga won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 38:13 from Real Madrid's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96%)
Predicted formations: Real Madrid 4-2-3-1 / Malaga 4-4-2
Missing players: Real Madrid 7, Malaga 5
H2H summary: Real Madrid wins 11, draws 3, Malaga wins 1
Standings
La Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 21:4 | 17 | 15 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Real Madrid
Home
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 10 | 12 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 12 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 10 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 10 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9:6 | 3 | 9 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 7 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 7 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 7 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 5 |
L
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 5 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:14 | -6 | 4 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 17 |
Malaga
Away
|
5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:8 | -6 | 3 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
| 18 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 2 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 19 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:13 | -7 | 2 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:10 | -9 | 1 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
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