COLOMBIA PRIMERA B
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Municipal de Mosquera
Real Cundinamarca
Match Timeline
Popayan
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
16'
Popayan
Popayan
🟨
19'
G. Saavedra
Real Soacha
🟨
37'
J. Suaza
Real Soacha
🟨
45'
Popayan
Popayan
🔄
46'
G. Saavedra ↔ J. Rodriguez
Real Cundinamarca
54'
L. Obregon
Real Cundinamarca
🔄
59'
J. Salcedo ↔ D. Cortes
Popayan
🔄
59'
J. Andrade ↔ D. Beitar
Popayan
62'
O. Acosta
Real Cundinamarca
🔄
69'
P. Urrutia ↔ J. Cuero
Popayan
🔄
69'
L. Perez ↔ W. Arango
Popayan
🔄
76'
K. Vidal ↔ J. Hoyos
Real Cundinamarca
🔄
76'
J. Jaramillo ↔ C. Rios
Real Cundinamarca
🔄
82'
↔ A. Mancilla
Popayan
83'
J. Cuero
Popayan
🔄
84'
A. Cano ↔ C. Gomez
Real Cundinamarca
🔄
84'
C. Zambrano ↔ J. Fernandez
Real Cundinamarca
89'
J. Fernandez
Real Cundinamarca
🟥
90'
O. Acosta
Real Soacha
🟨
90+1'
Popayan
Popayan

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 69.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.8%
Odds -
0 agree / 1 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
69.1%
-
BTTS Yes
54.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
-
Correct Score 1-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Real Cundinamarca Win 30.9%
Draw 29.6%
Popayan Win 39.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Cundinamarca1
Popayan1.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Cundinamarca Real Cundinamarca
WWDLW
15 GF / 21 GA
Popayan Popayan
WLDWL
16 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
0.88
Average Goals Scored
0.94
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
9
BTTS Yes
9
5
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Cundinamarca Real Cundinamarca 17 matches
Popayan Popayan 17 matches
Real Cundinamarca Statistic Popayan
2 Wins 3
8 Draws 8
7 Losses 6
15 Goals For 16
21 Goals Against 20
0.88 Avg Goals Scored 0.94
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18
9 BTTS Yes 9
12 Over 1.5 12
5 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Popayan having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Popayan. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Real Cundinamarca Analysis

So far, Real Soacha have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 13 points from 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, while the 14:19 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Popayan Analysis

From their first 15 matches, Popayan have collected 13 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Their overall return of 2 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 15:20 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Real Cundinamarca won 7 times, Popayan won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:3 from Real Cundinamarca's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.56 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (70.4%)
H2H summary: Real Cundinamarca wins 7, draws 1, Popayan wins 1

Lineups

Popayan
Formation
Real Cundinamarca
E. Obando
E. Obando
H. Mosquera
H. Mosquera
Y. Moran
Y. Moran
K. Hurtado
K. Hurtado
H. Ortiz
H. Ortiz
J. Viveros
J. Viveros
P. Urrutia
P. Urrutia
L. Perez
L. Perez
J. Andrade
J. Andrade
J. Salcedo
J. Salcedo
J. Aponza
J. Aponza
M. Valencia
M. Valencia
G. Saavedra
G. Saavedra
L. Obregon
L. Obregon
J. Suaza
J. Suaza
J. Cortes
J. Cortes
A. Cano
A. Cano
K. Vidal
K. Vidal
C. Zambrano
C. Zambrano
K. Cuellar
K. Cuellar
J. Jaramillo
J. Jaramillo
O. Acosta
O. Acosta
Popayan 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
E. Obando
18
H. Mosquera
20
Y. Moran
3
K. Hurtado
26
H. Ortiz
35
J. Viveros
21
P. Urrutia
↓ 69'
6
L. Perez
↓ 69'
17
J. Andrade
↓ 59'
27
J. Salcedo
↓ 59'
10
J. Aponza
Substitutes
13
J. Areiza
2
J. Montano
25
A. Mancilla
↑ 82'
22
D. Cortes
↑ 59'
11
D. Beitar
↑ 59'
7
J. Cuero
⚽ 83' ↑ 69'
8
W. Arango
↑ 69'
Real Cundinamarca 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Valencia
25
G. Saavedra
↓ 46' 🟨 19'
13
L. Obregon
⚽ 54'
2
J. Suaza
🟨 37'
19
J. Cortes
5
A. Cano
↓ 84'
23
K. Vidal
↓ 76'
16
C. Zambrano
↓ 84'
17
K. Cuellar
29
J. Jaramillo
↓ 76'
20
O. Acosta
⚽ 62' 🟥 90'
Substitutes
12
D. Mosquera
4
S. Florez
15
J. Rodriguez
↑ 46'
6
J. Hoyos
↑ 76'
8
C. Gomez
↑ 84'
30
P. de Zubiria
28
C. Rios
↑ 76'
14
B. de Castro
26
J. Fernandez
⚽ 89' ↑ 84'
Last matches: Real Cundinamarca
24.08.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Orsomarso
0
2
L
20.08.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Leones FC
1
1
D
02.08.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Real Cartagena
1
1
D
27.07.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Envigado
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Ind. Yumbo
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Tigres FC
0
2
L
01.04.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Bogota FC
2
2
D
25.03.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Depor FC
1
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Barranquilla
2
2
D
17.03.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Quindio
0
0
D
11.03.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Union Magdalena
1
1
D
05.03.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Internacional Palmira
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Patriotas
0
1
L
22.02.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Orsomarso
1
0
W
14.02.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Real Santander
1
2
L
08.02.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Leones FC
2
0
W
05.02.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Popayan
1
1
D
31.01.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Real Cartagena
0
1
L
26.01.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Envigado
0
2
L
02.12.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Cucuta
1
2
L
Last matches: Popayan
25.08.26
Pri
Popayan
Bogota FC
1
2
L
01.08.26
Pri
Popayan
Tigres FC
0
0
D
24.07.26
Pri
Popayan
Quindio
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Popayan
Internacional Palmira
1
2
L
07.04.26
Pri
Popayan
Ind. Yumbo
0
0
D
31.03.26
Pri
Popayan
Depor FC
1
1
D
27.03.26
Pri
Popayan
Real Cartagena
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Popayan
Patriotas
3
3
D
14.03.26
Pri
Popayan
Leones FC
2
1
W
10.03.26
Pri
Popayan
Real Santander
1
1
D
05.03.26
Pri
Popayan
Envigado
0
1
L
26.02.26
Pri
Popayan
Barranquilla
0
2
L
22.02.26
Pri
Popayan
Bogota FC
1
2
L
18.02.26
Pri
Popayan
Orsomarso
2
2
D
09.02.26
Pri
Popayan
Union Magdalena
2
0
W
05.02.26
Pri
Popayan
Real Cundinamarca
1
1
D
01.02.26
Pri
Popayan
Tigres FC
0
2
L
26.01.26
Pri
Popayan
Quindio
0
1
L
24.11.25
Pri
Popayan
Real Cartagena
0
0
D
20.11.25
Pri
Popayan
Real Cundinamarca
0
1
L
H2H: Real Cundinamarca vs Popayan
06.08.26
H2H
Real Cundinamarca
Popayan
3
1
W
05.02.26
H2H
Popayan
Real Cundinamarca
1
1
D
20.11.25
H2H
Real Cundinamarca
Popayan
1
0
W
07.11.25
H2H
Popayan
Real Cundinamarca
0
1
W
22.08.25
H2H
Popayan
Real Cundinamarca
0
1
W
17.03.25
H2H
Real Cundinamarca
Popayan
1
0
W
31.08.24
H2H
Popayan
Real Cundinamarca
0
2
W
17.03.24
H2H
Real Cundinamarca
Popayan
1
0
W
01.09.23
H2H
Popayan
Real Cundinamarca
1
0
L
Last matches: Real Cundinamarca
02.08.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Real Cartagena
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Tigres FC
0
2
L
25.03.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Depor FC
1
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Barranquilla
2
2
D
05.03.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Internacional Palmira
2
2
D
22.02.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Orsomarso
1
0
W
08.02.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Leones FC
2
0
W
26.01.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Envigado
0
2
L
28.11.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Cucuta
1
0
W
20.11.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Popayan
1
0
W
17.11.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Real Cartagena
1
2
L
02.11.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Patriotas
1
0
W
26.10.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Internacional Palmira
2
0
W
07.10.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Orsomarso
1
1
D
19.09.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Quindio
3
1
W
08.09.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Patriotas
0
1
L
30.08.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Leones FC
3
0
W
09.08.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Cucuta
1
1
D
26.07.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Real Santander
2
0
W
16.07.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Jaguares
0
1
L
H2H at home: Real Cundinamarca
06.08.26
H2H
Real Cundinamarca
Popayan
3
1
W
20.11.25
H2H
Real Cundinamarca
Popayan
1
0
W
17.03.25
H2H
Real Cundinamarca
Popayan
1
0
W
17.03.24
H2H
Real Cundinamarca
Popayan
1
0
W
Last matches: Popayan
24.07.26
Pri
Popayan
Quindio
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Popayan
Internacional Palmira
1
2
L
31.03.26
Pri
Popayan
Depor FC
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Popayan
Patriotas
3
3
D
10.03.26
Pri
Popayan
Real Santander
1
1
D
05.03.26
Pri
Popayan
Envigado
0
1
L
22.02.26
Pri
Popayan
Bogota FC
1
2
L
09.02.26
Pri
Popayan
Union Magdalena
2
0
W
01.02.26
Pri
Popayan
Tigres FC
0
2
L
20.11.25
Pri
Popayan
Real Cundinamarca
0
1
L
15.11.25
Pri
Popayan
Patriotas
0
1
L
01.11.25
Pri
Popayan
Real Cartagena
1
1
D
27.10.25
Pri
Popayan
Jaguares
1
1
D
13.10.25
Pri
Popayan
Depor FC
1
0
W
28.09.25
Pri
Popayan
Orsomarso
3
0
W
16.09.25
Pri
Popayan
Huila
1
0
W
29.08.25
Pri
Popayan
Real Santander
2
2
D
17.08.25
Pri
Popayan
Cucuta
0
1
L
03.08.25
Pri
Popayan
Patriotas
0
1
L
19.07.25
Pri
Popayan
Quindio
2
2
D
H2H away: Popayan
06.08.26
H2H
Real Cundinamarca
Popayan
3
1
L
20.11.25
H2H
Real Cundinamarca
Popayan
1
0
L
17.03.25
H2H
Real Cundinamarca
Popayan
1
0
L
17.03.24
H2H
Real Cundinamarca
Popayan
1
0
L

Standings

Primera B: Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 3 1 1 14:5 9 10
W W L D W
2 4 2 2 0 8:4 4 8
W D D W
3 4 2 2 0 4:1 3 8
W D D W
4 5 2 2 1 5:8 -3 8
L D W D W
5 4 2 1 1 5:2 3 7
L W D W
6 4 2 1 1 3:2 1 7
W W D L
7 5 2 1 2 3:4 -1 7
W L L D W
8 5 1 3 1 8:11 -3 6
W D D D L
9 4 1 2 1 3:3 0 5
W D D L
10 5 1 2 2 5:6 -1 5
L D W D L
11 4 1 2 1 3:4 -1 5
W D D L
12 4 1 1 2 3:4 -1 4
L L D W
13 4 1 1 2 3:5 -2 4
L L D W
14 4 0 2 2 4:6 -2 2
L D D L
15 4 0 2 2 4:8 -4 2
L D D L
16 3 0 1 2 0:2 -2 1
L D L
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)