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INDONESIA › LIGA 1
26.10.2026 12:00
Sumpah Pemuda

Bhayangkara FC vs PSM Makassar Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 81.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
81.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Bhayangkara FC Win 81.3%
Draw 5.5%
PSM Makassar Win 13.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bhayangkara FC2.16
PSM Makassar1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bhayangkara FC Bhayangkara FC
WWDLW
10 GF / 8 GA
PSM Makassar PSM Makassar
WLDWL
8 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
2.4
4
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bhayangkara FC Bhayangkara FC 5 matches
PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 5 matches
Bhayangkara FC Statistic PSM Makassar
1 Wins 1
4 Draws 2
0 Losses 2
10 Goals For 8
8 Goals Against 12
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 2.4
4 BTTS Yes 4
5 Over 1.5 5
3 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Bhayangkara FC's more proactive style and PSM Makassar's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward PSM Makassar. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward PSM Makassar having the stronger overall control.

Bhayangkara FC Analysis

Bhayangkara FC sit 8 with 7 points after 5 league matches. Their overall return of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses with goals at 10:8 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

PSM Makassar Analysis

With 5 points from 5 games and a place of 14, PSM Makassar still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, together with goals at 8:12, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Bhayangkara FC won 3 times, PSM Makassar won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:15 from Bhayangkara FC's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.23 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.6%)
H2H summary: Bhayangkara FC wins 3, draws 6, PSM Makassar wins 4

Standings

Liga 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 4 0 1 10:4 6 12
L W W W W
2 5 3 2 0 10:6 4 11
D W W D W
3 5 3 2 0 11:8 3 11
W W D W D
4 5 3 1 1 10:7 3 10
D L W W W
5 5 3 1 1 9:6 3 10
W D W L W
6 5 3 0 2 14:7 7 9
L W L W W
7 5 2 3 0 6:4 2 9
D W D W D
8 5 1 4 0 10:8 2 7
D D W D D
9 5 2 1 2 5:3 2 7
L W D W L
10 5 1 3 1 11:9 2 6
L D D D W
11 5 2 0 3 4:6 -2 6
L W L W L
12 5 2 1 2 8:8 0 5
W W L L D
13 5 1 2 2 6:7 -1 5
W L D L D
14 5 1 2 2 8:12 -4 5
W L D D L
15 5 1 1 3 8:9 -1 4
D W L L L
16 5 0 1 4 3:10 -7 1
L L L L D
17 5 1 0 4 2:11 -9 1
W L L L L
18 5 0 0 5 2:12 -10 0
L L L L L