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GERMANY › BUNDESLIGA
24.10.2026 13:30
Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 75.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
75.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.5%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
RB Leipzig Win 75.6%
Draw 3.6%
SV Elversberg Win 20.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
RB Leipzig1.86
SV Elversberg2.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
WWDLW
27 GF / 24 GA
SV Elversberg SV Elversberg
WLDWL
42 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.93
Average Goals Scored
2.47
1.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.76
6
BTTS Yes
12
10
Over 2.5
11
6.25
Shots on Goal
4.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 14 matches
SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 17 matches
RB Leipzig Statistic SV Elversberg
7 Wins 9
0 Draws 3
7 Losses 5
27 Goals For 42
24 Goals Against 30
1.93 Avg Goals Scored 2.47
1.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1.76
6 BTTS Yes 12
12 Over 1.5 14
10 Over 2.5 11
8 Over 3.5 8
6 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 3
6.25 Shots On Goal 4.67
17.5 Total Shots 11.17
5.5 Corners 3.67
51.1% Ball Possession 44.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features RB Leipzig's more proactive style and SV Elversberg's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward SV Elversberg. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

RB Leipzig Analysis

RB Leipzig approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 9 points after 5 outings. They have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a 15:5 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on C. Nkunku (4 goals), A. Nusa (3 goals), T. Gomis (2 goals), with creative support from A. Nusa (3 assists), T. Gomis (2 assists), E. Banzuzi (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

SV Elversberg Analysis

SV Elversberg are currently 10 in the standings with 7 points from 5 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, while the 8:8 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Krattenmacher (3 goals), D. Mokwa (2 goals), L. Petkov (1 goals), with creative support from L. Petkov (1 assists), L. Pinckert (1 assists), Noah Darvich (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, RB Leipzig won 1 times, SV Elversberg won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from RB Leipzig's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.4%)
Predicted formations: RB Leipzig 4-2-3-1 / SV Elversberg 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: RB Leipzig wins 1, draws 0, SV Elversberg wins 1

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 2 0 22:5 17 14
W D W W D
2 6 4 2 0 11:4 7 14
D D W W W
3 6 4 1 1 15:6 9 13
L W D W W
4 6 4 1 1 16:9 7 13
W W W D W
5 6 3 1 2 14:10 4 10
W L W L W
6 6 3 1 2 12:11 1 10
W L D L W
7 6 3 0 3 16:11 5 9
L W L W L
8 6 2 3 1 12:12 0 9
D D W D W
9 6 3 0 3 6:15 -9 9
W W W L L
10 6 2 2 2 16:12 4 8
L D L D W
11 6 2 2 2 10:16 -6 8
W L D W L
12 6 2 1 3 8:11 -3 7
L W L D L
13 6 2 0 4 8:10 -2 6
L W L L W
14 6 2 0 4 11:14 -3 6
W L L W L
15 6 1 2 3 4:7 -3 5
L L D W D
16 6 1 2 3 5:9 -4 5
D L W L L
17 6 1 2 3 5:17 -12 5
D W L L L
18 6 0 0 6 8:20 -12 0
L L L L L
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Europa League league stage
Qualifying
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Relegation