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VENEZUELA › PRIMERA DIVISIóN
19.09.2026 19:30
Estadio José Pachencho Romero
Referee: Y. Herrera
Rayo Zuliano
Match Timeline
Monagas SC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
17'
F. Jaramillo · Assist: R. Arace
Monagas SC
🟨
45'
F. Basante
Monagas SC
🔄
46'
J. Marquez ↔ J. Julio
Rayo Zuliano
🔄
46'
F. Chavez ↔ J. Velez
Rayo Zuliano
🔄
46'
J. Sanchez ↔ C. Maldonado
Rayo Zuliano
🟨
50'
S. Garces
Rayo Zuliano
⚽
57'
D. A. Vasquez Ferrer · Assist: J. Velez
Rayo Zuliano
🔄
59'
S. Asibe ↔ L. Gonzalez
Monagas SC
🟨
61'
J. Colorado
Monagas SC
🔄
61'
S. Garces ↔ J. Moran
Rayo Zuliano
🟨
63'
T. Riveros
Monagas SC
🔄
66'
J. Colorado ↔ S. Natera
Monagas SC
🔄
66'
R. Arace ↔ E. Carrion
Monagas SC
🔄
74'
W. Bustamante ↔ F. Diaz
Rayo Zuliano
🔄
76'
R. Rodriguez ↔ E. Farias
Monagas SC
🔄
77'
F. Basante ↔ C. Ramirez
Monagas SC
🟨
90+2'
F. Diaz
Rayo Zuliano

Rayo Zuliano vs Monagas SC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 69.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
69.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Rayo Zuliano Win 49.1%
Draw 20%
Monagas SC Win 30.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rayo Zuliano1.42
Monagas SC1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano
WWDLW
33 GF / 47 GA
Monagas SC Monagas SC
WLDWL
25 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.09
1.96
Average Goals Conceded
1.48
15
BTTS Yes
11
16
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 24 matches
Monagas SC Monagas SC 23 matches
Rayo Zuliano Statistic Monagas SC
8 Wins 7
3 Draws 3
13 Losses 13
33 Goals For 25
47 Goals Against 34
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.09
1.96 Avg Goals Conceded 1.48
15 BTTS Yes 11
19 Over 1.5 15
16 Over 2.5 12
10 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 6
8 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Rayo Zuliano expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Monagas SC in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Monagas SC having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Monagas SC.

Rayo Zuliano Analysis

Rayo Zuliano approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 20 points from 21 matches. The overall return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 13 defeats with a 24:42 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Monagas SC Analysis

Monagas SC sit 12 with 18 points after 21 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 3 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 23:34 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Rayo Zuliano won 1 times, Monagas SC won 4 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:11 from Rayo Zuliano's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80%)
Predicted formations: Rayo Zuliano 4-2-3-1 / Monagas SC 4-3-3
H2H summary: Rayo Zuliano wins 1, draws 0, Monagas SC wins 4

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 17 5 3 45:19 26 56
W W W W W
2 25 15 5 5 45:27 18 50
W W D L W
3 25 12 8 5 36:22 14 44
D L L L W
4 25 10 10 5 36:22 14 40
W D W W W
5 25 10 9 6 32:23 9 39
W W D L D
6 25 9 11 5 34:24 10 38
D L W D D
7 25 11 5 9 37:35 2 38
L D W W D
8 25 10 6 9 34:32 2 36
L D L W L
9 25 6 11 8 28:32 -4 29
W D L L W
10 25 8 4 13 28:36 -8 28
W D W W L
11 25 6 7 12 25:39 -14 25
L L L L D
12 25 7 4 14 30:50 -20 25
L D W D L
13 25 3 6 16 21:45 -24 15
L D L W L
14 25 3 5 17 21:46 -25 14
L D L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga FUTVE 2