NORWAY 1. DIVISION
20.09.2026 15:00
NAMMO Stadion
Referee: A. Medic

Raufoss vs Stromsgodset Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 72.1%
Odds 1.28
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.27
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
72.1%
1.28
BTTS Yes
86%
1.53
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.27
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.86
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.33
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Raufoss Win 23.9%
Draw 3.9%
Stromsgodset Win 72.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Raufoss1.54
Stromsgodset2.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Raufoss Raufoss
WWDLW
45 GF / 70 GA
Stromsgodset Stromsgodset
WLDWL
72 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
1.45
Average Goals Scored
2.4
2.26
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
19
BTTS Yes
21
23
Over 2.5
21
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Raufoss Raufoss 31 matches
Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 30 matches
Raufoss Statistic Stromsgodset
11 Wins 14
4 Draws 9
16 Losses 7
45 Goals For 72
70 Goals Against 50
1.45 Avg Goals Scored 2.4
2.26 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
19 BTTS Yes 21
27 Over 1.5 29
23 Over 2.5 21
12 Over 3.5 15
6 Clean Sheets 6
7 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Stromsgodset's more proactive style and Raufoss's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Stromsgodset having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Stromsgodset. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Stromsgodset carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 42 points while Raufoss sit 16 on 16, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Raufoss have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Raufoss Analysis

With 16 points from 21 games and a place of 16, Raufoss still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 24:58, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Stromsgodset Analysis

Stromsgodset come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 42 points after 21 matches. They have recorded 12 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, with a 54:30 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Raufoss won 0 times, Stromsgodset won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:12 from Raufoss's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.1%)
H2H summary: Raufoss wins 0, draws 1, Stromsgodset wins 3

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 1 5 68:37 31 49
W W W W L
2 22 14 5 3 63:34 29 47
D W D W W
3 22 13 6 3 58:31 27 45
W D W W W
4 22 13 3 6 55:28 27 42
L L L W W
5 23 11 2 10 32:31 1 35
W W L L W
6 22 10 4 8 37:40 -3 34
L D W L W
7 22 9 6 7 42:35 7 33
L D W L L
8 22 8 5 9 35:39 -4 29
D D D L L
9 22 8 4 10 38:44 -6 28
W D D W W
10 22 7 4 11 52:57 -5 25
D D L L L
11 22 7 4 11 33:48 -15 25
D W W W L
12 22 7 3 12 31:40 -9 24
L D W L L
13 22 6 5 11 37:51 -14 23
D L L D W
14 22 6 4 12 36:51 -15 22
L W L D L
15 23 5 5 13 34:52 -18 20
L D D D L
16 22 6 1 15 26:59 -33 19
W L L L L
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