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UGANDA › PREMIER LEAGUE
14.10.2026 13:00
Kiira Road Police Arena

Police vs SC Villa Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 54.5%
Odds 2.03
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.48
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds 1.53
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
54.5%
2.03 ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
1.48 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
1.53 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.75 ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
6.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Police Win 36.8%
Draw 8.7%
SC Villa Win 54.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Police0.52
SC Villa1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Police Police
WWDLW
3 GF / 4 GA
SC Villa SC Villa
WLDWL
8 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
0.6
Average Goals Scored
1.6
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
0.4
0
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Police Police 5 matches
SC Villa SC Villa 5 matches
Police Statistic SC Villa
2 Wins 3
1 Draws 2
2 Losses 0
3 Goals For 8
4 Goals Against 2
0.6 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
0.8 Avg Goals Conceded 0.4
0 BTTS Yes 2
2 Over 1.5 4
1 Over 2.5 1
0 Over 3.5 0
3 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Police won 1 times, SC Villa won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:6 from Police's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.3%)
H2H summary: Police wins 1, draws 2, SC Villa wins 2

Standings

Regular Season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 4 1 0 11:3 8 13
D W W W W
2 5 3 2 0 9:2 7 11
D W D W W
3 5 3 2 0 8:2 6 11
D W W W D
4 5 3 1 1 6:2 4 10
W D L W W
5 6 3 1 2 4:4 0 10
W W W D L
6 6 3 0 3 6:9 -3 9
L L L W W
7 4 2 2 0 5:3 2 8
W W D D
8 4 2 1 1 8:2 6 7
D W W L
9 6 2 1 3 9:7 2 7
D W L L W
10 5 2 1 2 3:4 -1 7
L W D L W
11 6 2 1 3 4:9 -5 7
D L L W L
12 4 1 2 1 2:2 0 5
W D L D
13 5 1 2 2 3:4 -1 5
D D L W L
14 5 1 2 2 2:3 -1 5
W L D D L
15 4 1 0 3 3:7 -4 3
L L L W
16 6 1 0 5 3:13 -10 3
L W L L L
17 5 0 2 3 3:8 -5 2
L D L L D
18 4 0 1 3 1:6 -5 1
L L D L