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24.10.2026 14:15
Estadio El Sardinero

Racing Santander vs Espanyol Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
73.4%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Racing Santander Win 58.8%
Draw 5.8%
Espanyol Win 35.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Racing Santander1.32
Espanyol1.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
Racing Santander Racing Santander
WWDLW
19 GF / 36 GA
Espanyol Espanyol
WLDWL
25 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.67
2.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
9
BTTS Yes
10
10
Over 2.5
10
4.44
Shots on Goal
3.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Racing Santander Racing Santander 15 matches
Espanyol Espanyol 15 matches
Racing Santander Statistic Espanyol
3 Wins 4
4 Draws 5
8 Losses 6
19 Goals For 25
36 Goals Against 21
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
2.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
9 BTTS Yes 10
14 Over 1.5 14
10 Over 2.5 10
7 Over 3.5 5
0 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 1
4.44 Shots On Goal 3.67
11.22 Total Shots 12.67
4.67 Corners 2.33
49.6% Ball Possession 46.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Espanyol. Racing Santander have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Racing Santander expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Espanyol in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Espanyol having the stronger overall control.

Racing Santander Analysis

With 8 points from 8 games and a place of 15, Racing Santander still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats with a 13:23 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Zabiri (7 goals), Sergio Canales (1 goals), Iván Martín (1 goals), with creative support from Iñigo Vicente (3 assists), Asier Villalibre (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Espanyol Analysis

Espanyol sit 12 with 8 points after 8 league matches. The record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 11:11 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Roberto Fernández (6 goals), Marcos Fernández (1 goals), T. Dolan (1 goals), with creative support from Javier Hernandez (5 assists), Marcos Fernández (1 assists), O. El Hilali (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Racing Santander won 2 times, Espanyol won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:7 from Racing Santander's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.2%)
Predicted formations: Racing Santander 4-1-4-1 / Espanyol 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Racing Santander wins 2, draws 1, Espanyol wins 3

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 9 0 0 39:9 30 27
W W W W W
2 9 7 1 1 19:8 11 22
W W W W W
3 9 7 0 2 23:9 14 21
W W L W W
4 9 6 1 2 16:14 2 19
L W D W W
5 9 5 1 3 17:17 0 16
W W W L W
6 9 4 2 3 14:16 -2 14
L D L W W
7 9 3 2 4 13:10 3 11
L L D L L
8 9 2 5 2 10:7 3 11
W D W D D
9 9 2 5 2 13:12 1 11
D L D L D
10 9 3 2 4 10:18 -8 11
W L D L L
11 7 2 3 2 7:6 1 9
D D D W
12 9 2 3 4 13:13 0 9
D L W W L
13 9 2 2 5 11:12 -1 8
L D L L W
14 7 2 2 3 11:16 -5 8
D W L W
15 8 2 2 4 4:10 -6 8
L W L D D
16 9 2 2 5 13:25 -12 8
L D L L W
17 8 1 4 3 12:16 -4 7
D D L L D
18 9 1 4 4 11:17 -6 7
D D W L D
19 9 1 3 5 6:15 -9 6
D D L W L
20 9 0 4 5 6:18 -12 4
L D L L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2