COLOMBIA PRIMERA B
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Centenario
Quindio
Match Timeline
Envigado
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
43'
J. Aristizabal
Envigado
🟨
44'
S. Norena
Envigado
🔄
46'
F. Mosquera ↔ A. F. Carabali R.
Quindio
🔄
54'
J. Nieva ↔ W. Hurtado
Envigado
🔄
54'
S. Acuna ↔ J. Rey
Envigado
🔄
66'
S. Roa ↔ J. P. Ibarguen
Quindio
🔄
66'
S. Orozco ↔ Y. Torres
Quindio
🔄
69'
J. Rodriguez ↔ D. A. Valencia Mosquera
Envigado
🔄
69'
M. Marulanda ↔ A. Rodriguez
Envigado
71'
A. F. Carabali R.
Quindio
🔄
73'
S. Norena ↔ D. Palacios
Envigado
🟨
81'
W. Hurtado
Envigado
🔄
87'
↔ J. Cordoba
Quindio
🟨
88'
A. F. Carabali R.
Quindio
🟨
90+4'
J. J. Gamboa Valencia
Envigado

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 48.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 19.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
48.8%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
19.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Quindio Win 34.9%
Draw 16.4%
Envigado Win 48.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Quindio1
Envigado1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Quindio Quindio
WWDLW
26 GF / 16 GA
Envigado Envigado
WLDWL
39 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.08
Average Goals Scored
1.44
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
10
BTTS Yes
15
9
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Quindio Quindio 24 matches
Envigado Envigado 27 matches
Quindio Statistic Envigado
12 Wins 15
7 Draws 6
5 Losses 6
26 Goals For 39
16 Goals Against 24
1.08 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
0.67 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89
10 BTTS Yes 15
12 Over 1.5 20
9 Over 2.5 13
1 Over 3.5 3
11 Clean Sheets 12
7 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Quindio have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Envigado. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Envigado having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Quindio Analysis

Quindio approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 4 with 43 points from 24 matches. Their record of 12 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 26:16, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Envigado Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 48 points from 25 games, Envigado bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 14 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, with a 36:21 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, which underlines an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Quindio won 3 times, Envigado won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:10 from Quindio's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.6%)
H2H summary: Quindio wins 3, draws 1, Envigado wins 3