FRANCE LIGUE 3
02.05.2026 17:30
Stade Robert Diochon
Quevilly
Match Timeline
Rouen
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
30'
T. Njike
Quevilly
🟨
36'
J. Mounsesse
Quevilly
🟨
41'
F. Mendy
Rouen
🟨
46'
S. Bouzamoucha
Rouen
🟨
55'
V. Theresin
Quevilly
🟨
60'
O. Bezzekhami
Rouen
🔄
71'
O. Bezzekhami ↔ M. Benzia
Rouen
🔄
78'
K. Rocha Santos ↔ G. Egny
Rouen
🔄
78'
A. Ba-Sy ↔ S. Faye
Rouen
🔄
81'
J. Leborgne ↔ N. Bouekou
Quevilly
🔄
81'
V. Fuss ↔ D. Goprou
Rouen
🔄
87'
K. Sylva ↔ Y. Kanoute
Quevilly
🔄
90+1'
I. Bouneb ↔ S. Come Ruiz
Quevilly
🔄
90+1'
J. Ndiaye ↔ K. Diliwidi
Quevilly

Quevilly vs Rouen Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 57.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 23.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 40.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
57.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
23.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
40.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Quevilly Win 42.5%
Draw 0%
Rouen Win 57.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Quevilly1.05
Rouen1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Quevilly Quevilly
WWDLW
35 GF / 44 GA
Rouen Rouen
WLDWL
40 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
17
BTTS Yes
18
17
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Quevilly Quevilly 30 matches
Rouen Rouen 29 matches
Quevilly Statistic Rouen
7 Wins 13
9 Draws 12
14 Losses 4
35 Goals For 40
44 Goals Against 25
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
17 BTTS Yes 18
22 Over 1.5 20
17 Over 2.5 13
7 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 11
10 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Rouen's more proactive style and Quevilly's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Rouen. Rouen carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 51 points while Quevilly sit 14 on 29, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Rouen having the stronger overall control.

Quevilly Analysis

Quevilly approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 29 points from 29 matches. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 8 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 33:42 goal record continues to suggest good form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on I. Bouneb (6 goals), A. Anani (4 goals), J. Leborgne (4 goals), with creative support from T. Njike (4 assists), R. Mandengue (3 assists), J. Leborgne (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Rouen Analysis

Placed 4 with 51 points from 29 outings, Rouen continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 13 wins, 12 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 40:25 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through K. Rocha Santos (9 goals), I. Seydi (8 goals), A. Ba-Sy (6 goals), with creative support from K. Rocha Santos (5 assists), C. Bassin (4 assists), A. Ba-Sy (3 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Quevilly won 3 times, Rouen won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:12 from Quevilly's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Quevilly wins 3, draws 2, Rouen wins 5

Standings

National
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 18 11 3 52:25 27 65
W W L W D
2 32 16 10 6 51:26 25 58
D L D W D
3
Rouen Away
32 14 13 5 43:29 14 55
W L D W D
4 32 15 9 8 47:30 17 54
L L W W W
5 32 15 8 9 46:34 12 53
D W D D W
6 32 14 9 9 42:42 0 51
L W D L W
7 32 12 11 9 45:38 7 47
D L L D D
8 32 8 16 8 39:34 5 40
L D W W W
9 32 8 14 10 32:37 -5 38
D D D W D
10 32 10 8 14 35:44 -9 37
D L D L L
11 32 9 10 13 38:46 -8 37
W D L L L
12 32 10 7 15 34:45 -11 37
D L L W D
13 32 8 9 15 34:45 -11 33
W L D W D
14 32 7 11 14 26:41 -15 32
L D D L L
15 32 8 7 17 25:44 -19 31
W W L L L
16 32 6 13 13 35:49 -14 30
D W W L L
17 32 5 12 15 35:50 -15 27
D W W L D
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation