ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
05.09.2026 14:00
Loftus Road Stadium
Referee: Andy Madley, England
QPR
Match Timeline
Middlesbrough
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
14'
I. Chair ↔ K. Saito
QPR
20'
W. Lankshear · Assist: C. Brittain
Middlesbrough
🔄
39'
R. Kone ↔ R. Burrell
QPR
🔄
55'
W. Lankshear ↔ M. Peart-Harris
Middlesbrough
🔄
55'
R. McGree ↔ T. Conway
Middlesbrough
🟨
58'
Adilson Malanda
Middlesbrough
🔄
67'
D. Cirkin ↔ T. Lamptey
QPR
🔄
67'
J. Clarke-Salter ↔ G. Kamara
QPR
🔄
67'
K. Poku ↔ N. Madsen
QPR
🔄
71'
M. Arfsten ↔ A. Jones
Middlesbrough
🔄
72'
A. Phillips ↔ L. Ayling
Middlesbrough
🟨
76'
Callum Brittain
Middlesbrough
🔄
84'
S. Berhalter ↔ R. Pukstas
Middlesbrough
🟨
90+6'
Glen Kamara
QPR

QPR vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.9%
Odds 3.17
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.72
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.9%
3.17
BTTS Yes
86%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.72
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.18
HT / FT Home / Home
-
5.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
QPR Win 70.9%
Draw 7.4%
Middlesbrough Win 21.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
QPR2.12
Middlesbrough1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
QPR QPR
WWDLW
24 GF / 8 GA
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
WLDWL
12 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
2.4
Average Goals Scored
1.71
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.71
6
BTTS Yes
7
7
Over 2.5
5
6.5
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

QPR QPR 10 matches
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 7 matches
QPR Statistic Middlesbrough
8 Wins 2
2 Draws 3
0 Losses 2
24 Goals For 12
8 Goals Against 12
2.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.71
0.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1.71
6 BTTS Yes 7
7 Over 1.5 7
7 Over 2.5 5
5 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 0
6.5 Shots On Goal 4.5
17.5 Total Shots 17.5
4.5 Corners 5.75
45.8% Ball Possession 62.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, QPR won 5 times, Middlesbrough won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:30 from QPR's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.6%)
Predicted formations: QPR 4-4-2 / Middlesbrough 3-4-2-1
Missing players: QPR 2, Middlesbrough 2
H2H summary: QPR wins 5, draws 3, Middlesbrough wins 7

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 5 2 1 13:6 7 17
W W L D W
2 8 4 3 1 22:11 11 15
D W W W W
3 8 4 3 1 16:12 4 15
D D W W D
4 7 4 2 1 15:10 5 14
W W D L W
5 8 4 2 2 10:8 2 14
L D W W D
6
QPR Home
8 3 4 1 10:7 3 13
D D D L W
7 8 4 1 3 13:12 1 13
W W D W W
8 8 4 1 3 11:12 -1 13
W L L W W
9 8 3 3 2 7:10 -3 12
L D D L D
10 8 2 5 1 12:11 1 11
D W L D D
11 8 3 2 3 15:15 0 11
D D L W L
12 8 3 2 3 7:8 -1 11
L W W D D
13 8 4 2 2 19:10 9 10
L W W D D
14 8 2 4 2 9:12 -3 10
W L D D W
15 8 3 1 4 11:15 -4 10
W W L L L
16 8 2 3 3 12:12 0 9
D W L L D
17 8 3 0 5 16:17 -1 9
L L W W L
18 8 2 3 3 9:11 -2 9
L L W L W
19 7 2 2 3 9:10 -1 8
D D W L L
20 8 2 2 4 7:10 -3 8
L L W L L
21 8 1 4 3 10:12 -2 7
W L D L L
22 8 1 2 5 7:14 -7 5
D L L L W
23 8 1 1 6 8:15 -7 4
D L L W L
24 8 0 4 4 9:17 -8 4
D L D L D
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One