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05.09.2026 14:00
Loftus Road Stadium
Referee: Andy Madley, England
QPR
Match Timeline
Middlesbrough
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
14'
I. Chair ↔ K. Saito
QPR
⚽
20'
W. Lankshear · Assist: C. Brittain
Middlesbrough
🔄
39'
R. Kone ↔ R. Burrell
QPR
🔄
55'
W. Lankshear ↔ M. Peart-Harris
Middlesbrough
🔄
55'
R. McGree ↔ T. Conway
Middlesbrough
🟨
58'
Adilson Malanda
Middlesbrough
🔄
67'
D. Cirkin ↔ T. Lamptey
QPR
🔄
67'
J. Clarke-Salter ↔ G. Kamara
QPR
🔄
67'
K. Poku ↔ N. Madsen
QPR
🔄
71'
M. Arfsten ↔ A. Jones
Middlesbrough
🔄
72'
A. Phillips ↔ L. Ayling
Middlesbrough
🟨
76'
Callum Brittain
Middlesbrough
🔄
84'
S. Berhalter ↔ R. Pukstas
Middlesbrough
🟨
90+6'
Glen Kamara
QPR

QPR vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
QPR Win 70.9%
Draw 7.4%
Middlesbrough Win 21.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
QPR2.12
Middlesbrough1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
QPR QPR
W W D W W
10 GF / 5 GA
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
D W L W D
10 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
2.4
Average Goals Scored
1.71
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.71
6
BTTS Yes
7
7
Over 2.5
5
6.5
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

QPR QPR 10 matches
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 7 matches
QPR Statistic Middlesbrough
8 Wins 2
2 Draws 3
0 Losses 2
24 Goals For 12
8 Goals Against 12
2.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.71
0.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1.71
6 BTTS Yes 7
7 Over 1.5 7
7 Over 2.5 5
5 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 0
6.5 Shots On Goal 4.5
17.5 Total Shots 17.5
4.5 Corners 5.75
45.8% Ball Possession 62.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, QPR won 5 times, Middlesbrough won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:30 from QPR's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.6%)
Predicted formations: QPR 4-4-2 / Middlesbrough 3-4-2-1
Missing players: QPR 2, Middlesbrough 2
H2H summary: QPR wins 5, draws 3, Middlesbrough wins 7

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 8 4 1 30:17 13 28
W W D W W
2 14 7 5 2 26:13 13 26
W W L W W
3 14 8 2 4 22:17 5 26
W W D W L
4 14 8 2 4 21:16 5 26
L W L L W
5 14 7 4 3 20:15 5 25
D W D W W
6 14 8 4 2 29:14 15 24
D W W D W
7 13 7 3 3 23:16 7 24
W W D W L
8 13 6 4 3 33:18 15 22
L L W W D
9 14 6 4 4 20:17 3 22
W W D W L
10 14 6 4 4 19:16 3 22
W D W D W
11
QPR Home
14 5 6 3 22:17 5 21
D L W L W
12 14 6 0 8 27:24 3 18
W W W L L
13 14 5 3 6 23:24 -1 18
L W L D L
14 14 5 3 6 20:22 -2 18
L L W L W
15 13 5 3 5 15:17 -2 18
W D L L D
16 14 5 2 7 19:26 -7 17
W L L D W
17 14 4 3 7 14:24 -10 15
L L W D L
18 13 3 5 5 19:20 -1 14
L W D W L
19 13 3 5 5 15:19 -4 14
L L W L D
20 14 4 2 8 13:23 -10 14
W L L W L
21 14 3 5 6 11:22 -11 14
L L L L D
22 14 1 7 6 18:26 -8 10
D D L L D
23 14 1 4 9 11:29 -18 7
L L D L L
24 14 1 2 11 12:30 -18 5
L L D L L
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One