ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Loftus Road
Referee: J. Smith
QPR
Match Timeline
Middlesbrough
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
20'
D. Strelec · Assist: M. Whittaker
Middlesbrough
🔄
31'
D. Fry ↔ A. Malanda
Middlesbrough
🔄
66'
M. Whittaker ↔ J. Sarmiento
Middlesbrough
🔄
66'
D. Strelec ↔ T. Conway
Middlesbrough
68'
A. Browne
Middlesbrough
🔄
71'
K. Morgan ↔ P. Smyth
QPR
72'
H. Hackney · Assist: T. Conway
Middlesbrough
🔄
80'
J. Varane ↔ D. Bennie
QPR
🔄
80'
K. Saito ↔ J. Clarke-Salter
QPR
🔄
83'
H. Hackney ↔ A. Gilbert
Middlesbrough
🔄
83'
R. McGree ↔ L. Castledine
Middlesbrough
🔄
85'
R. Norrington-Davies ↔ Esquerdinha
QPR
🔄
85'
A. S. Mbengue ↔ T. Smith
QPR
88'
T. Conway
Middlesbrough

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
QPR Win 0%
Draw 0%
Middlesbrough Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
QPR1.21
Middlesbrough1.54
Recent Form (Last 5)
QPR QPR
WWDLW
47 GF / 56 GA
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
WLDWL
55 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
1.53
1.56
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
24
BTTS Yes
21
23
Over 2.5
20
3.86
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

QPR QPR 36 matches
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 36 matches
QPR Statistic Middlesbrough
13 Wins 19
8 Draws 9
15 Losses 8
47 Goals For 55
56 Goals Against 38
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 1.53
1.56 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
24 BTTS Yes 21
27 Over 1.5 26
23 Over 2.5 20
13 Over 3.5 10
9 Clean Sheets 10
8 Failed To Score 8
3.86 Shots On Goal 4.5
12.67 Total Shots 14.53
4.92 Corners 5.97
45.8% Ball Possession 57.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, QPR won 5 times, Middlesbrough won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:30 from QPR's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

Predicted formations: QPR 4-4-2 / Middlesbrough 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: QPR wins 5, draws 3, Middlesbrough wins 7
Stats
QPR QPR
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
2
3 Corner Kicks 8
9 Fouls 3
1 Offsides 2
31% Ball Possession 69%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Goal 7
3 Shots off Goal 7
3 Blocked Shots 2
8 Shots insidebox 14
1 Shots outsidebox 2
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
309 Total passes 707
227 Passes accurate 619
0.69 expected_goals 3.80
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

QPR
Formation
Middlesbrough
J. Walsh
J. Walsh
A. S. Mbengue
A. S. Mbengue
J. Dunne
J. Dunne
R. Edwards
R. Edwards
R. Norrington-Davies
R. Norrington-Davies
H. Vale
H. Vale
J. Varane
J. Varane
I. Hayden
I. Hayden
K. Saito
K. Saito
K. Morgan
K. Morgan
R. Kone
R. Kone
S. Brynn
S. Brynn
C. Brittain
C. Brittain
L. Ayling
L. Ayling
D. Fry
D. Fry
M. Targett
M. Targett
A. Morris
A. Morris
M. Whittaker
🎯
M. Whittaker
H. Hackney
H. Hackney
A. Browne
A. Browne
R. McGree
R. McGree
D. Strelec
D. Strelec
QPR 4-4-2
Starting XI
13
J. Walsh
G
27
A. S. Mbengue
↓ 85'
D
3
J. Dunne
D
37
R. Edwards
D
18
R. Norrington-Davies
↓ 85'
D
20
H. Vale
M
40
J. Varane
↓ 80'
M
15
I. Hayden
M
14
K. Saito
↓ 80'
M
21
K. Morgan
↓ 71'
F
22
R. Kone
F
Substitutes
29
B. Hamer
G
23
D. Bennie
↑ 80'
F
2
K. Adamson
D
28
Esquerdinha
↑ 85'
D
26
R. Kolli
F
5
S. Cook
D
6
J. Clarke-Salter
↑ 80'
D
11
P. Smyth
↑ 71'
F
30
T. Smith
↑ 85'
D
Middlesbrough 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
31
S. Brynn
G
2
C. Brittain
D
12
L. Ayling
D
6
D. Fry
↓ 31'
D
3
M. Targett
D
18
A. Morris
M
11
M. Whittaker
🎯 20' ↓ 66'
M
7
H. Hackney
⚽ 72' ↓ 83'
M
16
A. Browne
⚽ 68'
M
8
R. McGree
↓ 83'
M
13
D. Strelec
⚽ 20' ↓ 66'
F
Substitutes
32
J. Wildsmith
G
25
G. Edmundson
D
45
J. Sarmiento
↑ 66'
M
9
T. Conway
⚽ 88' 🎯 72' ↑ 66'
F
29
A. Malanda
↑ 31'
D
27
S. Hansen
F
14
A. Gilbert
↑ 83'
F
20
M. K. Sene
F
23
L. Castledine
↑ 83'
M
Last matches: QPR
01.08.26
Fri
QPR
AFC Wimbledon
3
2
W
31.07.26
Fri
QPR
Bromley
7
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
QPR
Fiorentina
3
2
W
21.07.26
Fri
QPR
Wycombe
1
0
W
16.07.26
Fri
QPR
SC Wiener Neustadt
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
QPR
First Vienna
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
QPR
Ipswich
0
3
L
25.04.26
Cha
QPR
Derby
2
3
L
21.04.26
Cha
QPR
Swansea
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
QPR
Millwall
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
QPR
Bristol City
0
0
D
06.04.26
Cha
QPR
Preston
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
QPR
Watford
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
QPR
Portsmouth
6
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
QPR
Leicester
3
1
W
11.03.26
Cha
QPR
Birmingham
0
1
L
28.02.26
Cha
QPR
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
24.02.26
Cha
QPR
Southampton
0
5
L
21.02.26
Cha
QPR
Hull City
3
1
W
14.02.26
Cha
QPR
Blackburn
1
3
L
Last matches: Middlesbrough
01.08.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Espanyol
3
3
D
25.07.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Huddersfield
1
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Celtic
1
1
D
23.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Hull City
0
1
L
12.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
1
2
L
09.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Wrexham
2
2
D
25.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Watford
5
1
W
22.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Wednesday
1
0
W
19.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Ipswich
2
2
D
11.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Portsmouth
0
1
L
06.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Swansea
2
2
D
03.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Millwall
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
0
0
D
14.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Charlton
0
1
L
02.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Leicester
1
1
D
21.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Oxford United
0
0
D
16.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Coventry
1
3
L
H2H: QPR vs Middlesbrough
08.03.26
H2H
QPR
Middlesbrough
0
4
L
13.12.25
H2H
Middlesbrough
QPR
3
1
L
11.03.25
H2H
Middlesbrough
QPR
2
1
L
05.11.24
H2H
QPR
Middlesbrough
1
4
L
09.03.24
H2H
QPR
Middlesbrough
0
2
L
02.09.23
H2H
Middlesbrough
QPR
0
2
W
18.02.23
H2H
Middlesbrough
QPR
3
1
L
06.08.22
H2H
QPR
Middlesbrough
3
2
W
09.02.22
H2H
QPR
Middlesbrough
2
2
D
18.08.21
H2H
Middlesbrough
QPR
2
3
W
17.04.21
H2H
Middlesbrough
QPR
1
2
W
26.09.20
H2H
QPR
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
05.07.20
H2H
Middlesbrough
QPR
0
1
W
09.11.19
H2H
QPR
Middlesbrough
2
2
D
23.02.19
H2H
Middlesbrough
QPR
2
0
L
Last matches: QPR
25.07.26
Fri
QPR
Fiorentina
3
2
W
21.07.26
Fri
QPR
Wycombe
1
0
W
25.04.26
Cha
QPR
Derby
2
3
L
21.04.26
Cha
QPR
Swansea
1
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
QPR
Bristol City
0
0
D
03.04.26
Cha
QPR
Watford
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
QPR
Portsmouth
6
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
QPR
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
14.02.26
Cha
QPR
Blackburn
1
3
L
31.01.26
Cha
QPR
Coventry
2
1
W
24.01.26
Cha
QPR
Wrexham
2
3
L
04.01.26
Cha
QPR
Sheffield Wednesday
3
0
W
01.01.26
Cha
QPR
Norwich
1
2
L
20.12.25
Cha
QPR
Leicester
4
1
W
09.12.25
Cha
QPR
Birmingham
2
1
W
06.12.25
Cha
QPR
West Brom
3
1
W
22.11.25
Cha
QPR
Hull City
3
2
W
05.11.25
Cha
QPR
Southampton
1
2
L
01.11.25
Cha
QPR
Ipswich
1
4
L
18.10.25
Cha
QPR
Millwall
1
2
L
H2H at home: QPR
08.03.26
H2H
QPR
Middlesbrough
0
4
L
05.11.24
H2H
QPR
Middlesbrough
1
4
L
09.03.24
H2H
QPR
Middlesbrough
0
2
L
06.08.22
H2H
QPR
Middlesbrough
3
2
W
09.02.22
H2H
QPR
Middlesbrough
2
2
D
26.09.20
H2H
QPR
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
09.11.19
H2H
QPR
Middlesbrough
2
2
D
Last matches: Middlesbrough
18.07.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Celtic
1
1
D
23.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Hull City
0
1
L
12.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Wrexham
2
2
D
19.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Ipswich
2
2
D
06.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Swansea
2
2
D
21.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
0
0
D
02.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
3
1
W
16.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Coventry
1
3
L
09.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Utd
2
1
W
21.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
2
1
W
16.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
West Brom
3
2
W
10.01.26
FA
Middlesbrough
Fulham
1
3
L
01.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Derby
0
1
L
20.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
0
2
L
09.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Charlton
2
1
W
05.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Hull City
4
1
W
22.11.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Oxford United
1
1
D
04.11.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Leicester
1
1
D
01.11.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Watford
0
3
L
H2H away: Middlesbrough
08.03.26
H2H
QPR
Middlesbrough
0
4
W
05.11.24
H2H
QPR
Middlesbrough
1
4
W
09.03.24
H2H
QPR
Middlesbrough
0
2
W
06.08.22
H2H
QPR
Middlesbrough
3
2
L
09.02.22
H2H
QPR
Middlesbrough
2
2
D
26.09.20
H2H
QPR
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
09.11.19
H2H
QPR
Middlesbrough
2
2
D

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2 46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3 46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4 46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5 46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6 46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7 46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8 46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9 46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10 46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11 46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12 46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13 46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14 46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR Home
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16 46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17 46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18 46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19 46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20 46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21 46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22 46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23 46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24 46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation