ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
09.09.2026 16:00
A. Le Coq Arena
Referee: E. Reinumagi
FC Levadia Tallinn
Match Timeline
Kuressaare
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
M. Skvortsov · Assist: G. Lehtmets
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
24'
H. Liiv ↔ J. Saliste
FC Levadia Tallinn
40'
G. Lehtmets · Assist: E. Otoo
FC Levadia Tallinn
🟨
57'
R. Kirss
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
58'
R. Kirss ↔ N. Kutateladze
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
58'
G. Lehtmets ↔ Wendell
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
62'
G. Roivassepp ↔ S. Prunn
Kuressaare
🔄
62'
R. Tarkmeel ↔ E. Demidov
Kuressaare
🟨
66'
F. Liivak
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
72'
A. Visse ↔ T. Jurisoo
Kuressaare
🔄
72'
M. Ainsalu ↔ G. Reis
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
72'
M. Skvortsov ↔ Joao Pedro
FC Levadia Tallinn
81'
E. Otoo · Assist: N. Kutateladze
FC Levadia Tallinn
88'
G. Reis · Assist: Joao Pedro
FC Levadia Tallinn

FC Levadia Tallinn vs Kuressaare Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 80.2%
Odds 1.15
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.25
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
80.2%
1.15
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.25
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
FC Levadia Tallinn Win 80.2%
Draw 4.2%
Kuressaare Win 15.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Levadia Tallinn2.31
Kuressaare1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn
WWDLW
88 GF / 33 GA
Kuressaare Kuressaare
WLDWL
41 GF / 59 GA
Key Stats
2.59
Average Goals Scored
1.32
0.97
Average Goals Conceded
1.9
22
BTTS Yes
18
25
Over 2.5
19
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn 34 matches
Kuressaare Kuressaare 31 matches
FC Levadia Tallinn Statistic Kuressaare
24 Wins 9
6 Draws 6
4 Losses 16
88 Goals For 41
33 Goals Against 59
2.59 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
0.97 Avg Goals Conceded 1.9
22 BTTS Yes 18
31 Over 1.5 23
25 Over 2.5 19
17 Over 3.5 13
11 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around FC Levadia Tallinn's more proactive style and Kuressaare's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Kuressaare having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Kuressaare. FC Levadia Tallinn come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. FC Levadia Tallinn arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 59 points compared to Kuressaare in 9 on 25, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

FC Levadia Tallinn Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 59 points from 24 games, FC Levadia Tallinn bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 18 wins, 5 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 64:20, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Kuressaare Analysis

Kuressaare are currently 9 in the standings with 25 points from 25 matches. The record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 14 defeats, together with a 27:41 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 9 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Levadia Tallinn won 12 times, Kuressaare won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 35:9 from FC Levadia Tallinn's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: FC Levadia Tallinn - / Kuressaare 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FC Levadia Tallinn wins 12, draws 1, Kuressaare wins 2

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 21 5 1 74:20 54 68
W W W W W
2 28 17 1 10 56:37 19 52
W D W W L
3 28 14 5 9 49:26 23 47
W L L L L
4 27 13 6 8 43:35 8 45
L W L W W
5 27 14 2 11 36:38 -2 44
W L W L W
6 28 11 1 16 40:47 -7 34
W L L W W
7 27 10 4 13 37:52 -15 34
L W W D L
8 28 9 1 18 46:65 -19 28
L W L L L
9 28 8 4 16 31:49 -18 28
L L W D L
10 28 5 3 20 21:64 -43 18
L D L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga