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CHINA › SUPER LEAGUE
17.10.2026 11:35
Qingdao Youth Football Stadium
Referee: Kim Hee-gon, South Korea
Qingdao Jonoon
Match Timeline
Shenyang Urban
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
7'
G. Mbenza · Assist: Chen Binbin
Shenyang Urban
🟨
12'
Li Suda
Qingdao Jonoon
🔄
30'
G. Mbenza ↔ A. Kouame
Shenyang Urban
🟨
41'
Pan Ximing
Shenyang Urban
🟨
45+1'
Jin Yangyang
Qingdao Jonoon
🟨
45+2'
M. Ristic
Qingdao Jonoon
🔄
46'
Li Suda ↔ Sun Zheng'ao
Qingdao Jonoon
🔄
46'
Liu Guobao ↔ Kuang Zhaolei
Qingdao Jonoon
🔄
50'
H. Zhang ↔ Felipe
Shenyang Urban
🔄
57'
Che Shiwei ↔ Liu Xinyu
Qingdao Jonoon
⚽
57'
Jeffinho · Assist: Li Tixiang
Shenyang Urban
🟨
67'
Jin Yangyang
Qingdao Jonoon
🟥
67'
Jin Yangyang
Qingdao Jonoon
🔄
69'
C. Strandberg ↔ Yi Xinyang
Qingdao Jonoon
🔄
75'
M. Edjouma ↔ Ngan Cheuk-Pan
Qingdao Jonoon
🔄
79'
Tian Deao ↔ Yan Dinghao
Shenyang Urban
🔄
80'
D. Mawlanniyaz ↔ Gao Jiarun
Shenyang Urban
🔄
80'
Li Tixiang ↔ Tian Yinong
Shenyang Urban
⚽
85'
A. Kouame · Assist: Yan Dinghao
Shenyang Urban
⚽
90+1'
A. Kouame
Shenyang Urban

Qingdao Jonoon vs Shenyang Urban Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 87.7%
Odds 1.08
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.75
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds 1.38
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
87.7%
1.08 ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.75 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
1.38 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.22 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.33 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Qingdao Jonoon Win 12.3%
Draw 51.7%
Shenyang Urban Win 36%
Expected Goals (xG)
Qingdao Jonoon1.47
Shenyang Urban1.61
Recent Form (Last 5)
Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon
WWDLW
34 GF / 56 GA
Shenyang Urban Shenyang Urban
WLDWL
35 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1.26
Average Goals Scored
1.3
2.07
Average Goals Conceded
1.78
18
BTTS Yes
15
17
Over 2.5
17
3.85
Shots on Goal
3.52

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 27 matches
Shenyang Urban Shenyang Urban 27 matches
Qingdao Jonoon Statistic Shenyang Urban
6 Wins 7
3 Draws 5
18 Losses 15
34 Goals For 35
56 Goals Against 48
1.26 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
2.07 Avg Goals Conceded 1.78
18 BTTS Yes 15
22 Over 1.5 20
17 Over 2.5 17
13 Over 3.5 10
2 Clean Sheets 2
8 Failed To Score 10
3.85 Shots On Goal 3.52
12.93 Total Shots 12.07
4.22 Corners 4.44
44.6% Ball Possession 52.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Qingdao Jonoon expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Shenyang Urban in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Shenyang Urban having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Shenyang Urban.

Qingdao Jonoon Analysis

With 14 points from 27 games and a place of 16, Qingdao Jonoon still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 18 defeats with a 34:56 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Yaw Yeboah (7 goals), Malcom Edjouma (6 goals), Carlos Strandberg (4 goals), with creative support from Song Wenjie (4 assists), Yaw Yeboah (3 assists), Lin Chuangyi (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Shenyang Urban Analysis

Shenyang Urban sit 13 with 25 points after 26 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 15 defeats with a 34:47 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Guy Mbenza (9 goals), Jeffinho (7 goals), Takahiro Kunimoto (5 goals), with creative support from Takahiro Kunimoto (3 assists), Ange Kouamé (3 assists), Binbin Chen (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Qingdao Jonoon won 2 times, Shenyang Urban won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:2 from Qingdao Jonoon's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (87.7%)
Predicted formations: Qingdao Jonoon 4-4-2 / Shenyang Urban 3-4-3
H2H summary: Qingdao Jonoon wins 2, draws 1, Shenyang Urban wins 1

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 15 7 6 51:34 17 52
L L D W L
2 28 14 4 10 45:43 2 46
W W W D W
3 28 13 10 5 53:33 20 44
W W D D D
4 28 14 5 9 52:44 8 41
W D D W L
5 28 12 8 8 47:35 12 39
W W D W W
6 28 11 6 11 56:59 -3 39
D L W L D
7 28 8 14 6 31:37 -6 38
L L D D W
8 28 14 5 9 62:48 14 37
W W W L W
9 28 7 12 9 29:34 -5 33
D D L D L
10 28 11 8 9 38:32 6 31
W W W W D
11 28 10 6 12 47:52 -5 31
L L W L W
12 28 8 5 15 37:50 -13 29
L D D L D
13 28 8 5 15 39:48 -9 29
W D L L L
14 28 8 10 10 35:38 -3 28
L D D D D
15 28 5 12 11 41:50 -9 22
L D L D D
16 28 6 3 19 34:60 -26 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation