Puebla
Match Timeline
Toluca
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Puebla Win 0%
Draw 0%
Toluca Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Puebla1.07
Toluca2.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Puebla
WWDLW
23 GF / 45 GA
Toluca
WLDWL
54 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
2.08
2.25
Average Goals Conceded
0.96
11
BTTS Yes
14
13
Over 2.5
15
4.1
Shots on Goal
5.73
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Puebla
20 matches
Toluca
26 matches
| Puebla | Statistic | Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 16 |
| 3 | Draws | 6 |
| 13 | Losses | 4 |
| 23 | Goals For | 54 |
| 45 | Goals Against | 25 |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.08 |
| 2.25 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.96 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.1 | Shots On Goal | 5.73 |
| 11.9 | Total Shots | 17.12 |
| 5.05 | Corners | 5.27 |
| 50.3% | Ball Possession | 55% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Puebla won 4 times, Toluca won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:24 from Puebla's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Puebla 4-1-4-1 / Toluca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Puebla wins 4, draws 6, Toluca wins 5
Stats
Puebla
Toluca
Shots on Goal
1
1
Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots off Goal
2
2
Shots off Goal
11
11
Blocked Shots
1
1
Blocked Shots
11
11
Lineups
Puebla
Formation
Toluca
D. Gutierrez
I. Moreno
E. Navarro
J. Vargas
N. Diaz
L. Rey
E. Guerra
A. Organista
C. Baltazar
E. Gomez
E. Lozano
L. Garcia
S. Simon
Bruno Mendez
F. Pereira
J. Gallardo
F. Romero
M. Ruiz
S. Cordova
J. Angulo
N. Castro
Paulinho
Puebla
4-1-4-1
Starting XI
28
D. Gutierrez
G
🟨 90+1'
12
I. Moreno
D
192
E. Navarro
D
4
J. Vargas
D
6
N. Diaz
D
🟥 63'
3
L. Rey
M
↓ 46'
15
E. Guerra
M
↓ 78'
🟨 45+7'
24
A. Organista
M
↓ 46'
22
C. Baltazar
M
↓ 69'
11
E. Gomez
M
↓ 78'
17
E. Lozano
F
Substitutes
33
J. Rodriguez
G
20
J. R. Pachuca Martinez
D
↑ 69'
195
A. de la Rosa
D
8
M. Ramirez
M
↑ 78'
16
A. Ramirez
M
↑ 46'
18
P. Gamarra
26
K. Velasco
F
↑ 46'
27
B. Garnica
M
↑ 78'
32
A. Araos
M
29
E. Mustre
F
Toluca
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
22
L. Garcia
G
19
S. Simon
D
4
Bruno Mendez
D
↓ 76'
🟨 45+7'
6
F. Pereira
D
20
J. Gallardo
D
🟨 62'
5
F. Romero
M
14
M. Ruiz
M
🟨 60'
7
S. Cordova
M
↓ 61'
10
J. Angulo
M
↓ 83'
8
N. Castro
M
↓ 76'
26
Paulinho
F
Substitutes
1
H. Gonzalez
G
2
D. Barbosa
D
13
Luan
D
17
M. Isais
D
25
E. del Villar
D
↑ 76'
15
P. Perez
M
↑ 76'
29
J. Diaz
M
↑ 83'
33
V. Arteaga
M
23
O. Virgen
F
27
F. Rossi
F
↑ 61'
Last matches: Puebla
01.08.26
Lig
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
1
1
D
22.07.26
Lig
Puebla
Cruz Azul
1
2
L
18.07.26
Lig
Puebla
FC Juarez
1
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Puebla
Atlas
4
3
W
04.07.26
Fri
Puebla
CF Pachuca
1
3
L
01.07.26
Fri
Puebla
Tlaxcala
3
1
W
25.04.26
Lig
Puebla
Club Queretaro
1
2
L
22.04.26
Lig
Puebla
Monterrey
1
2
L
19.04.26
Lig
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
0
5
L
11.04.26
Lig
Puebla
Leon
0
1
L
04.04.26
Lig
Puebla
FC Juarez
1
1
D
22.03.26
Lig
Puebla
Santos Laguna
1
2
L
14.03.26
Lig
Puebla
Necaxa
0
0
D
08.03.26
Lig
Puebla
CF Pachuca
1
2
L
05.03.26
Lig
Puebla
Tigres UANL
3
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
Puebla
Atletico San Luis
1
0
W
21.02.26
Lig
Puebla
Club America
0
4
L
14.02.26
Lig
Puebla
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2
3
L
07.02.26
Lig
Puebla
Club Tijuana
0
0
D
18.01.26
Lig
Puebla
Cruz Azul
0
1
L
Last matches: Toluca
03.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
1
W
22.07.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
2
L
19.07.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Atlante FC
3
3
D
04.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Cancún
0
1
L
31.05.26
CON
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
07.05.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
4
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
30.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Leon
4
1
W
23.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club America
1
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
W
13.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
2
W
04.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
19.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
4
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlas
1
1
D
H2H: Puebla vs Toluca
31.01.26
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
0
0
D
14.09.25
H2H
Toluca
Puebla
3
1
L
15.03.25
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
0
3
L
23.10.24
H2H
Toluca
Puebla
5
0
L
27.01.24
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
1
1
D
01.11.23
H2H
Toluca
Puebla
0
1
W
24.06.23
H2H
Toluca
Puebla
1
1
D
08.04.23
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
1
2
L
03.08.22
H2H
Toluca
Puebla
1
1
D
03.04.22
H2H
Toluca
Puebla
2
1
L
06.11.21
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
1
0
W
21.03.21
H2H
Toluca
Puebla
4
4
D
29.08.20
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
4
1
W
22.02.20
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
2
0
W
06.10.19
H2H
Toluca
Puebla
1
1
D
Last matches: Puebla
01.08.26
Lig
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
1
1
D
01.07.26
Fri
Puebla
Tlaxcala
3
1
W
25.04.26
Lig
Puebla
Club Queretaro
1
2
L
11.04.26
Lig
Puebla
Leon
0
1
L
04.04.26
Lig
Puebla
FC Juarez
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lig
Puebla
Necaxa
0
0
D
05.03.26
Lig
Puebla
Tigres UANL
3
1
W
21.02.26
Lig
Puebla
Club America
0
4
L
14.02.26
Lig
Puebla
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2
3
L
13.01.26
Lig
Puebla
Mazatlán
2
1
W
01.11.25
Lig
Puebla
Cruz Azul
0
3
L
18.10.25
Lig
Puebla
Club Tijuana
4
3
W
27.09.25
Lig
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
0
2
L
24.09.25
Lig
Puebla
CF Pachuca
2
2
D
30.08.25
Lig
Puebla
Monterrey
2
4
L
16.08.25
Lig
Puebla
Atletico San Luis
0
2
L
26.07.25
Lig
Puebla
Santos Laguna
1
0
W
12.07.25
Lig
Puebla
Atlas
2
3
L
19.04.25
Lig
Puebla
Necaxa
0
1
L
05.04.25
Lig
Puebla
Tigres UANL
0
0
D
H2H at home: Puebla
31.01.26
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
0
0
D
15.03.25
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
0
3
L
27.01.24
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
1
1
D
08.04.23
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
1
2
L
06.11.21
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
1
0
W
29.08.20
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
4
1
W
22.02.20
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
2
0
W
Last matches: Toluca
19.07.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Atlante FC
3
3
D
04.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Cancún
0
1
L
10.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
30.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
1
2
L
23.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club America
1
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
W
04.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
12.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
2
3
L
04.03.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
3
2
W
22.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
0
W
18.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Tigres UANL
0
0
D
11.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Monterrey
1
0
W
12.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Tigres UANL
0
1
L
04.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Monterrey
0
1
L
27.11.25
Lig
Toluca
FC Juarez
2
1
W
01.11.25
Lig
Toluca
Atlas
0
0
D
23.10.25
Lig
Toluca
Club Tijuana
0
0
D
H2H away: Toluca
31.01.26
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
0
0
D
15.03.25
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
0
3
W
27.01.24
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
1
1
D
08.04.23
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
1
2
W
06.11.21
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
1
0
L
29.08.20
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
4
1
L
22.02.20
H2H
Puebla
Toluca
2
0
L
Standings
Liga MX, Clausura 2026
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 36 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:17 | 16 | 36 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31:18 | 13 | 33 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 6 | 31 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 |
Toluca
Away
|
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 30 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 26 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 25 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 25 |
D
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 23 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22:32 | -10 | 22 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 26:32 | -6 | 19 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22:24 | -2 | 18 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24:27 | -3 | 18 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:37 | -15 | 15 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 |
Puebla
Home
|
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13:26 | -13 | 13 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
| 18 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20:38 | -18 | 12 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
Playoffs