MEXICO LIGA MX
10.10.2026 01:00
Estadio Cuauhtémoc

Puebla vs Leon Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Puebla Win 0%
Draw 0%
Leon Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Puebla1.5
Leon1.71
Recent Form (Last 5)
Puebla Puebla
WWDLW
19 GF / 18 GA
Leon Leon
WLDWL
24 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.58
Average Goals Scored
1.85
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
8
BTTS Yes
8
6
Over 2.5
6
4.44
Shots on Goal
5.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Puebla Puebla 12 matches
Leon Leon 13 matches
Puebla Statistic Leon
6 Wins 6
2 Draws 3
4 Losses 4
19 Goals For 24
18 Goals Against 18
1.58 Avg Goals Scored 1.85
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
8 BTTS Yes 8
9 Over 1.5 10
6 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 2
4.44 Shots On Goal 5.78
13.22 Total Shots 14.56
5 Corners 4.11
41.4% Ball Possession 49.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Puebla won 6 times, Leon won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:22 from Puebla's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Puebla 4-2-3-1 / Leon 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Puebla wins 6, draws 2, Leon wins 7

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 1 2 20:9 11 19
L W W W W
2 9 5 3 1 17:8 9 18
D W W D W
3 8 5 2 1 17:8 9 17
D L W W W
4 9 5 0 4 16:15 1 15
L W W W L
5 8 4 2 2 11:8 3 14
D W W L D
6 8 4 2 2 12:10 2 14
D L W L W
7
Leon Away
9 4 2 3 12:10 2 14
D W L D W
8 9 4 2 3 11:11 0 14
D L W L W
9 9 4 2 3 13:15 -2 14
D L D L W
10 8 4 1 3 14:10 4 13
W D L L W
11 9 3 3 3 15:10 5 12
D W W D D
12 9 3 3 3 12:13 -1 12
D L W L D
13 9 2 3 4 11:16 -5 9
W L L W D
14 9 1 5 3 8:13 -5 8
D L D D L
15 9 2 2 5 10:16 -6 8
L L D L D
16 9 1 4 4 9:13 -4 7
L D D D W
17 9 2 1 6 9:15 -6 7
W W L D L
18 9 1 0 8 6:23 -17 3
W L L L L
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)