MEXICO LIGA MX
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Cuauhtemoc
Referee: Adonai Escobedo Gonzalez, Mexico
Puebla
Match Timeline
Guadalajara Chivas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
26'
E. Mustre
Puebla
63'
R. Alvarado · Assist: E. Alvarez
Guadalajara Chivas
🔄
63'
J. Carrillo ↔ O. Govea
Guadalajara Chivas
🔄
63'
F. Gonzalez ↔ E. Alvarez
Guadalajara Chivas
🔄
71'
E. Mustre ↔ L. Hernandez
Puebla
🔄
71'
A. Gonzalez ↔ A. Sepulveda
Guadalajara Chivas
🔄
71'
C. Baltazar ↔ M. Tomas
Puebla
🔄
77'
R. Ledezma ↔ R. Marin
Guadalajara Chivas
🔄
77'
B. Gutierrez ↔ K. Castaneda
Guadalajara Chivas
🔄
79'
A. Organista ↔ O. Villa
Puebla
🔄
90+1'
E. Gomez ↔ O. F. Moreno Villegas
Puebla

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 79.9%
Odds 2.30
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.75
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.66
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
79.9%
2.30
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.75
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.66
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.23
HT / FT Home / Home
-
10.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
17.00
Probability Distribution
Puebla Win 53.7%
Draw 26.1%
Guadalajara Chivas Win 20.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Puebla1.36
Guadalajara Chivas0.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
Puebla Puebla
WWDLW
10 GF / 9 GA
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas
WLDWL
2 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
0.4
1.8
Average Goals Conceded
0.4
4
BTTS Yes
0
4
Over 2.5
0
4.5
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Puebla Puebla 5 matches
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas 5 matches
Puebla Statistic Guadalajara Chivas
3 Wins 2
0 Draws 2
2 Losses 1
10 Goals For 2
9 Goals Against 2
2 Avg Goals Scored 0.4
1.8 Avg Goals Conceded 0.4
4 BTTS Yes 0
4 Over 1.5 1
4 Over 2.5 0
3 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 4
0 Failed To Score 3
4.5 Shots On Goal 6
11.5 Total Shots 17.5
5 Corners 14
34% Ball Possession 59%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Puebla won 4 times, Guadalajara Chivas won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:22 from Puebla's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.43 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (79.9%)
Predicted formations: Puebla 4-2-3-1 / Guadalajara Chivas 3-1-4-2
H2H summary: Puebla wins 4, draws 3, Guadalajara Chivas wins 7
Stats
Puebla Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
8
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
14
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
2
1 Corner Kicks 7
7 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 0
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Goal 8
3 Shots off Goal 14
1 Blocked Shots 2
1 Shots insidebox 16
6 Shots outsidebox 8
7 Goalkeeper Saves 2
352 Total passes 644
286 Passes accurate 574
0.59 expected_goals 1.86
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Puebla
Formation
Guadalajara Chivas
Daniel Gutierrez
Daniel Gutierrez
Iker Moreno
Iker Moreno
Facundo Almada
Facundo Almada
Juan Pablo Vargas
Juan Pablo Vargas
Fernando Monarrez
Fernando Monarrez
Alejandro Organista
Alejandro Organista
Sergio Sanabria
Sergio Sanabria
Kevin Velasco
Kevin Velasco
Carlos Baltazar
Carlos Baltazar
Emiliano Gómez
Emiliano Gómez
Eduardo Mustre
Eduardo Mustre
Raúl Rangel
Raúl Rangel
Daniel Aguirre
Daniel Aguirre
Luis Romo
Luis Romo
José Castillo
José Castillo
Fernando González
Fernando González
Richard Ledezma
Richard Ledezma
Brian Gutiérrez
Brian Gutiérrez
Jordan Carrillo
Jordan Carrillo
Bryan González
Bryan González
Roberto Alvarado
Roberto Alvarado
Armando González
Armando González
Puebla 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
28
Daniel Gutierrez
G
12
Iker Moreno
D
5
Facundo Almada
D
4
Juan Pablo Vargas
D
7
Fernando Monarrez
D
24
Alejandro Organista
↓ 79'
M
21
Sergio Sanabria
M
26
Kevin Velasco
M
22
Carlos Baltazar
↓ 71'
M
11
Emiliano Gómez
↓ 90+1'
M
29
Eduardo Mustre
⚽ 26' ↓ 71'
F
Substitutes
10
Mathías Tomás
↑ 71'
M
9
Luifer Hernández
↑ 71'
F
15
Óscar Villa
↑ 79'
D
8
Omar Moreno
↑ 90+1'
F
33
Jesús Rodríguez
G
2
Angel Leyva
D
3
Alberto Herrera
M
34
Lucas Camilo
M
16
Alonso Ramirez
M
27
Brayan Garnica
F
Guadalajara Chivas 3-1-4-2
Starting XI
1
Raúl Rangel
G
23
Daniel Aguirre
D
7
Luis Romo
D
2
José Castillo
D
28
Fernando González
↓ 63'
M
37
Richard Ledezma
↓ 77'
M
11
Brian Gutiérrez
↓ 77'
M
33
Jordan Carrillo
↓ 63'
M
5
Bryan González
M
25
Roberto Alvarado
⚽ 63'
F
34
Armando González
↓ 71'
F
Substitutes
6
Omar Govea
↑ 63'
M
10
Efrain Alvarez
🎯 63' ↑ 63'
F
9
Ángel Sepúlveda
↑ 71'
F
19
Kevin Castañeda
↑ 77'
M
17
Ricardo Marín
↑ 77'
F
13
Óscar Whalley
G
3
Diego Campillo
D
24
Miguel Gómez
D
18
Jonathan Perez
M
16
Luis Gabriel Rey
D
Last matches: Puebla
22.07.26
Lig
Puebla
Cruz Azul
1
2
L
18.07.26
Lig
Puebla
FC Juarez
1
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Puebla
Atlas
4
3
W
04.07.26
Fri
Puebla
CF Pachuca
1
3
L
01.07.26
Fri
Puebla
Tlaxcala
3
1
W
25.04.26
Lig
Puebla
Club Queretaro
1
2
L
22.04.26
Lig
Puebla
Monterrey
1
2
L
19.04.26
Lig
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
0
5
L
11.04.26
Lig
Puebla
Leon
0
1
L
04.04.26
Lig
Puebla
FC Juarez
1
1
D
22.03.26
Lig
Puebla
Santos Laguna
1
2
L
14.03.26
Lig
Puebla
Necaxa
0
0
D
08.03.26
Lig
Puebla
CF Pachuca
1
2
L
05.03.26
Lig
Puebla
Tigres UANL
3
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
Puebla
Atletico San Luis
1
0
W
21.02.26
Lig
Puebla
Club America
0
4
L
14.02.26
Lig
Puebla
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2
3
L
07.02.26
Lig
Puebla
Club Tijuana
0
0
D
31.01.26
Lig
Puebla
Toluca
0
0
D
18.01.26
Lig
Puebla
Cruz Azul
0
1
L
Last matches: Guadalajara Chivas
25.07.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
FC Juarez
1
0
W
19.07.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
0
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Guadalajara Chivas
Correcaminos Uat
0
0
D
17.05.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Cruz Azul
1
2
L
14.05.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Cruz Azul
2
2
D
10.05.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Tigres UANL
2
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Tigres UANL
1
3
L
26.04.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Club Tijuana
0
0
D
23.04.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Necaxa
0
0
D
19.04.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Puebla
5
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Tigres UANL
1
4
L
06.04.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2
2
D
30.03.26
Fri
Guadalajara Chivas
Atlas
1
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Monterrey
3
2
W
19.03.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Leon
5
0
W
14.03.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Santos Laguna
3
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Atlas
2
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
0
2
L
22.02.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Cruz Azul
1
2
L
15.02.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Club America
1
0
W
H2H: Puebla vs Guadalajara Chivas
19.04.26
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Puebla
5
0
L
27.09.25
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
0
2
L
16.04.25
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Puebla
1
0
L
26.10.24
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
1
0
W
07.04.24
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Puebla
3
2
L
21.10.23
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
0
2
L
11.03.23
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
1
0
W
09.10.22
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
1
1
D
11.09.22
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Puebla
1
0
L
27.02.22
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Puebla
2
3
W
21.11.21
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
2
2
D
31.07.21
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
0
2
L
09.01.21
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
1
1
D
09.08.20
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Puebla
0
1
W
10.05.20
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Puebla
0
0
D
Last matches: Puebla
01.07.26
Fri
Puebla
Tlaxcala
3
1
W
25.04.26
Lig
Puebla
Club Queretaro
1
2
L
11.04.26
Lig
Puebla
Leon
0
1
L
04.04.26
Lig
Puebla
FC Juarez
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lig
Puebla
Necaxa
0
0
D
05.03.26
Lig
Puebla
Tigres UANL
3
1
W
21.02.26
Lig
Puebla
Club America
0
4
L
14.02.26
Lig
Puebla
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2
3
L
31.01.26
Lig
Puebla
Toluca
0
0
D
13.01.26
Lig
Puebla
Mazatlán
2
1
W
01.11.25
Lig
Puebla
Cruz Azul
0
3
L
18.10.25
Lig
Puebla
Club Tijuana
4
3
W
27.09.25
Lig
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
0
2
L
24.09.25
Lig
Puebla
CF Pachuca
2
2
D
30.08.25
Lig
Puebla
Monterrey
2
4
L
16.08.25
Lig
Puebla
Atletico San Luis
0
2
L
26.07.25
Lig
Puebla
Santos Laguna
1
0
W
12.07.25
Lig
Puebla
Atlas
2
3
L
19.04.25
Lig
Puebla
Necaxa
0
1
L
05.04.25
Lig
Puebla
Tigres UANL
0
0
D
H2H at home: Puebla
27.09.25
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
0
2
L
26.10.24
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
1
0
W
21.10.23
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
0
2
L
11.03.23
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
1
0
W
09.10.22
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
1
1
D
21.11.21
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
2
2
D
31.07.21
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
0
2
L
09.01.21
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
1
1
D
Last matches: Guadalajara Chivas
04.07.26
Fri
Guadalajara Chivas
Correcaminos Uat
0
0
D
14.05.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Cruz Azul
2
2
D
03.05.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Tigres UANL
1
3
L
23.04.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Necaxa
0
0
D
11.04.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Tigres UANL
1
4
L
30.03.26
Fri
Guadalajara Chivas
Atlas
1
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Monterrey
3
2
W
08.03.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Atlas
2
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
0
2
L
22.02.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Cruz Azul
1
2
L
07.02.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Mazatlán
2
1
W
31.01.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Atletico San Luis
3
2
W
14.01.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
FC Juarez
1
0
W
04.01.26
Fri
Guadalajara Chivas
Atlas
0
0
D
01.12.25
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Cruz Azul
2
3
L
03.11.25
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
CF Pachuca
1
0
W
23.10.25
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
06.10.25
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2
1
W
27.09.25
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Puebla
2
0
W
14.09.25
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Club America
2
1
W
H2H away: Guadalajara Chivas
27.09.25
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
0
2
W
26.10.24
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
1
0
L
21.10.23
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
0
2
W
11.03.23
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
1
0
L
09.10.22
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
1
1
D
21.11.21
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
2
2
D
31.07.21
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
0
2
W
09.01.21
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
1
1
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.54
Draw 4.61
Home 5.79
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.07
Draw 2.59
Home 5.85
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.21
Over 2.25 1.48
Over 2.5 1.66
Over 2.75 1.83
Over 3.0 2.08
Over 3.25 2.36
Over 3.5 2.63
Over 4.5 4.81
Under 1.5 4.67
Under 2.25 2.78
Under 2.5 2.32
Under 2.75 2.07
Under 3.0 1.81
Under 3.25 1.63
Under 3.5 1.51
Under 4.5 1.20
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.50
Draw 4.50
Home 6.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.05
Draw 2.50
Home 5.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 1.83
Draw 2.75
Home 4.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 1.5 1.18
Over 2.5 1.62
Over 3.5 2.50
Over 4.5 4.50
Over 5.5 10.00
Over 6.5 19.00
Over 7.5 41.00
Under 0.5 15.00
Under 1.5 4.50
Under 2.5 2.25
Under 3.5 1.50
Under 4.5 1.18
Under 5.5 1.06
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.49
Draw 4.40
Home 5.73
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 1.97
Draw 2.42
Home 5.57
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 1.80
Draw 2.81
Home 5.28
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.25 1.06
Over 1.5 1.14
Over 1.75 1.18
Over 2.0 1.24
Over 2.25 1.45
Over 2.5 1.62
Over 2.75 1.78
Over 3.0 1.97
Over 3.25 2.22
Over 3.5 2.49
Over 3.75 2.92
Over 4.0 3.82
Over 4.25 4.20
Over 4.5 4.55
Over 4.75 5.74
Over 5.0 8.20
Over 5.5 8.90
Over 6.5 19.00
Over 7.5 34.00
Under 0.5 12.80
Under 1.0 9.30
Under 1.25 6.25
Under 1.5 4.40
Under 1.75 3.96
Under 2.0 3.45
Under 2.25 2.65
Under 2.5 2.24
Under 2.75 1.98
Under 3.0 1.70
Under 3.25 1.52
Under 3.5 1.42
Under 3.75 1.31
Under 4.0 1.19
Under 4.25 1.16
Under 4.5 1.13
Under 4.75 1.07
Under 5.0 1.02
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.57
Draw 4.00
Home 5.20
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.08
Draw 2.38
Home 4.80
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 1.92
Draw 2.85
Home 4.50
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.18
Over 2.25 1.46
Over 2.5 1.62
Over 2.75 1.80
Over 3.0 2.06
Over 3.25 2.33
Over 3.5 2.60
Over 3.75 3.10
Over 4.5 4.75
Over 5.5 9.00
Under 1.5 4.35
Under 2.25 2.60
Under 2.5 2.16
Under 2.75 1.95
Under 3.0 1.72
Under 3.25 1.56
Under 3.5 1.46
Under 3.75 1.34
Under 4.5 1.15
Under 5.5 1.03