MEXICO LIGA MX
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 79.9%
Odds 2.25
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.70
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.73
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
79.9%
2.25
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.70
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.73
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.23
HT / FT Home / Home
-
8.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
15.00
Probability Distribution
Puebla Win 53.7%
Draw 26.1%
Guadalajara Chivas Win 20.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Puebla1.36
Guadalajara Chivas0.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
Puebla Puebla
WWDLW
10 GF / 9 GA
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas
WLDWL
2 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
0.4
1.8
Average Goals Conceded
0.4
4
BTTS Yes
0
4
Over 2.5
0
4.5
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Puebla Puebla 5 matches
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas 5 matches
Puebla Statistic Guadalajara Chivas
3 Wins 2
0 Draws 2
2 Losses 1
10 Goals For 2
9 Goals Against 2
2 Avg Goals Scored 0.4
1.8 Avg Goals Conceded 0.4
4 BTTS Yes 0
4 Over 1.5 1
4 Over 2.5 0
3 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 4
0 Failed To Score 3
4.5 Shots On Goal 6
11.5 Total Shots 17.5
5 Corners 14
34% Ball Possession 59%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Puebla won 4 times, Guadalajara Chivas won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:22 from Puebla's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.43 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (79.9%)
Predicted formations: Puebla 4-4-2 / Guadalajara Chivas 3-1-4-2
H2H summary: Puebla wins 4, draws 3, Guadalajara Chivas wins 7
Last matches: Puebla
22.07.26
Lig
Puebla
Cruz Azul
1
2
L
18.07.26
Lig
Puebla
FC Juarez
1
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Puebla
Atlas
4
3
W
04.07.26
Fri
Puebla
CF Pachuca
1
3
L
01.07.26
Fri
Puebla
Tlaxcala
3
1
W
25.04.26
Lig
Puebla
Club Queretaro
1
2
L
22.04.26
Lig
Puebla
Monterrey
1
2
L
19.04.26
Lig
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
0
5
L
11.04.26
Lig
Puebla
Leon
0
1
L
04.04.26
Lig
Puebla
FC Juarez
1
1
D
22.03.26
Lig
Puebla
Santos Laguna
1
2
L
14.03.26
Lig
Puebla
Necaxa
0
0
D
08.03.26
Lig
Puebla
CF Pachuca
1
2
L
05.03.26
Lig
Puebla
Tigres UANL
3
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
Puebla
Atletico San Luis
1
0
W
21.02.26
Lig
Puebla
Club America
0
4
L
14.02.26
Lig
Puebla
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2
3
L
07.02.26
Lig
Puebla
Club Tijuana
0
0
D
31.01.26
Lig
Puebla
Toluca
0
0
D
18.01.26
Lig
Puebla
Cruz Azul
0
1
L
Last matches: Guadalajara Chivas
25.07.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
FC Juarez
1
0
W
19.07.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
0
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Guadalajara Chivas
Correcaminos Uat
0
0
D
17.05.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Cruz Azul
1
2
L
14.05.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Cruz Azul
2
2
D
10.05.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Tigres UANL
2
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Tigres UANL
1
3
L
26.04.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Club Tijuana
0
0
D
23.04.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Necaxa
0
0
D
19.04.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Puebla
5
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Tigres UANL
1
4
L
06.04.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2
2
D
30.03.26
Fri
Guadalajara Chivas
Atlas
1
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Monterrey
3
2
W
19.03.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Leon
5
0
W
14.03.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Santos Laguna
3
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Atlas
2
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
0
2
L
22.02.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Cruz Azul
1
2
L
15.02.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Club America
1
0
W
H2H: Puebla vs Guadalajara Chivas
19.04.26
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Puebla
5
0
L
27.09.25
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
0
2
L
16.04.25
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Puebla
1
0
L
26.10.24
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
1
0
W
07.04.24
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Puebla
3
2
L
21.10.23
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
0
2
L
11.03.23
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
1
0
W
09.10.22
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
1
1
D
11.09.22
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Puebla
1
0
L
27.02.22
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Puebla
2
3
W
21.11.21
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
2
2
D
31.07.21
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
0
2
L
09.01.21
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
1
1
D
09.08.20
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Puebla
0
1
W
10.05.20
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Puebla
0
0
D
Last matches: Puebla
01.07.26
Fri
Puebla
Tlaxcala
3
1
W
25.04.26
Lig
Puebla
Club Queretaro
1
2
L
11.04.26
Lig
Puebla
Leon
0
1
L
04.04.26
Lig
Puebla
FC Juarez
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lig
Puebla
Necaxa
0
0
D
05.03.26
Lig
Puebla
Tigres UANL
3
1
W
21.02.26
Lig
Puebla
Club America
0
4
L
14.02.26
Lig
Puebla
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2
3
L
31.01.26
Lig
Puebla
Toluca
0
0
D
13.01.26
Lig
Puebla
Mazatlán
2
1
W
01.11.25
Lig
Puebla
Cruz Azul
0
3
L
18.10.25
Lig
Puebla
Club Tijuana
4
3
W
27.09.25
Lig
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
0
2
L
24.09.25
Lig
Puebla
CF Pachuca
2
2
D
30.08.25
Lig
Puebla
Monterrey
2
4
L
16.08.25
Lig
Puebla
Atletico San Luis
0
2
L
26.07.25
Lig
Puebla
Santos Laguna
1
0
W
12.07.25
Lig
Puebla
Atlas
2
3
L
19.04.25
Lig
Puebla
Necaxa
0
1
L
05.04.25
Lig
Puebla
Tigres UANL
0
0
D
H2H at home: Puebla
27.09.25
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
0
2
L
26.10.24
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
1
0
W
21.10.23
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
0
2
L
11.03.23
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
1
0
W
09.10.22
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
1
1
D
21.11.21
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
2
2
D
31.07.21
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
0
2
L
09.01.21
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
1
1
D
Last matches: Guadalajara Chivas
04.07.26
Fri
Guadalajara Chivas
Correcaminos Uat
0
0
D
14.05.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Cruz Azul
2
2
D
03.05.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Tigres UANL
1
3
L
23.04.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Necaxa
0
0
D
11.04.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Tigres UANL
1
4
L
30.03.26
Fri
Guadalajara Chivas
Atlas
1
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Monterrey
3
2
W
08.03.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Atlas
2
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
0
2
L
22.02.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Cruz Azul
1
2
L
07.02.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Mazatlán
2
1
W
31.01.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Atletico San Luis
3
2
W
14.01.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
FC Juarez
1
0
W
04.01.26
Fri
Guadalajara Chivas
Atlas
0
0
D
01.12.25
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Cruz Azul
2
3
L
03.11.25
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
CF Pachuca
1
0
W
23.10.25
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
06.10.25
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2
1
W
27.09.25
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Puebla
2
0
W
14.09.25
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Club America
2
1
W
H2H away: Guadalajara Chivas
27.09.25
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
0
2
W
26.10.24
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
1
0
L
21.10.23
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
0
2
W
11.03.23
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
1
0
L
09.10.22
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
1
1
D
21.11.21
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
2
2
D
31.07.21
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
0
2
W
09.01.21
H2H
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
1
1
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.68
Draw 4.20
Home 4.75
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.22
Draw 2.48
Home 5.23
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.23
Over 2.25 1.53
Over 2.5 1.73
Over 2.75 1.92
Over 3.0 2.21
Over 3.25 2.50
Over 3.5 2.78
Over 4.5 5.13
Under 1.5 4.31
Under 2.25 2.58
Under 2.5 2.18
Under 2.75 1.95
Under 3.0 1.71
Under 3.25 1.56
Under 3.5 1.46
Under 4.5 1.18
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.67
Draw 4.10
Home 4.75
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.20
Draw 2.38
Home 5.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 1.95
Draw 2.62
Home 4.50
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.22
Over 2.5 1.70
Over 3.5 2.75
Over 4.5 5.00
Over 5.5 11.00
Over 6.5 21.00
Over 7.5 51.00
Under 0.5 13.00
Under 1.5 4.00
Under 2.5 2.10
Under 3.5 1.40
Under 4.5 1.17
Under 5.5 1.05
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.67
Draw 3.98
Home 4.47
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.17
Draw 2.31
Home 4.85
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 1.99
Draw 2.66
Home 4.51
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.25 1.07
Over 1.5 1.16
Over 1.75 1.22
Over 2.0 1.28
Over 2.25 1.50
Over 2.5 1.69
Over 2.75 1.87
Over 3.0 2.11
Over 3.25 2.37
Over 3.5 2.66
Over 3.75 3.20
Over 4.0 4.25
Over 4.25 4.60
Over 4.5 4.95
Over 4.75 6.34
Over 5.0 9.20
Over 5.5 9.20
Over 6.5 21.00
Over 7.5 50.00
Under 0.5 11.80
Under 1.0 8.80
Under 1.25 5.74
Under 1.5 4.05
Under 1.75 3.66
Under 2.0 3.18
Under 2.25 2.50
Under 2.5 2.11
Under 2.75 1.88
Under 3.0 1.61
Under 3.25 1.46
Under 3.5 1.37
Under 3.75 1.26
Under 4.0 1.15
Under 4.25 1.12
Under 4.5 1.11
Under 4.75 1.06
Under 5.0 1.00
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.68
Draw 3.85
Home 4.50
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.20
Draw 2.30
Home 4.40
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.04
Draw 2.80
Home 4.10
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.19
Over 2.25 1.50
Over 2.5 1.66
Over 2.75 1.85
Over 3.0 2.15
Over 3.25 2.43
Over 3.5 2.70
Over 3.75 3.25
Over 4.5 5.00
Over 5.5 9.50
Under 1.5 4.20
Under 2.25 2.50
Under 2.5 2.10
Under 2.75 1.89
Under 3.0 1.67
Under 3.25 1.52
Under 3.5 1.43
Under 3.75 1.32
Under 4.5 1.13
Under 5.5 1.02

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 2 2 0 0 4:1 3 6
W W
2 2 2 0 0 5:3 2 6
W W
3 2 2 0 0 4:2 2 6
W W
4 2 2 0 0 4:2 2 6
W W
5 2 1 1 0 2:1 1 4
D W
6 2 1 0 1 4:2 2 3
L W
7 2 1 0 1 3:2 1 3
L W
8 2 1 0 1 4:4 0 3
L W
9 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
W L
10 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
L W
11 2 1 0 1 1:2 -1 3
W L
12 2 1 0 1 2:4 -2 3
W L
13 2 0 1 1 4:5 -1 1
D L
14 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
D L
15 2 0 1 1 3:5 -2 1
D L
16 2 0 0 2 2:4 -2 0
L L
17 2 0 0 2 2:4 -2 0
L L
18 2 0 0 2 0:2 -2 0
L L