Puebla vs Toluca Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Puebla Win 0%
Draw 0%
Toluca Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Puebla1.09
Toluca1.99
Recent Form (Last 5)
Puebla
WWDLW
29 GF / 48 GA
Toluca
WLDWL
65 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.04
Average Goals Scored
2.17
1.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
17
BTTS Yes
17
15
Over 2.5
20
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Puebla
28 matches
Toluca
30 matches
| Puebla | Statistic | Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 16 |
| 4 | Draws | 8 |
| 18 | Losses | 6 |
| 29 | Goals For | 65 |
| 48 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 1.04 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.17 |
| 1.71 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.17 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 27 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 20 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Puebla won 4 times, Toluca won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:24 from Puebla's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Puebla 4-2-3-1 / Toluca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Puebla wins 4, draws 6, Toluca wins 5
Standings
Liga MX: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 39:12 | 27 | 42 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Toluca
Away
|
17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 38:16 | 22 | 35 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 34 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 21:13 | 8 | 31 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 26:19 | 7 | 31 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 30 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:25 | -1 | 29 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 27 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24:15 | 9 | 25 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 22 |
D
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 21:23 | -2 | 18 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 22:36 | -14 | 17 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 15 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 14 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 |
Puebla
Home
|
17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 17:31 | -14 | 14 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
| 16 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 13 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 13:31 | -18 | 12 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12:30 | -18 | 10 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
Final Series
Final Series Play-offs