COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
28.09.2026 01:10
Estadio Deportivo Cali

Deportivo Cali vs Águilas Doradas Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.3%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
84.1%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Cali Win 59.3%
Draw 8.4%
Águilas Doradas Win 32.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Cali1.22
Águilas Doradas1.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali
WWDLW
33 GF / 24 GA
Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas
WLDWL
30 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1.15
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
13
BTTS Yes
17
8
Over 2.5
13
4.11
Shots on Goal
3.65

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 29 matches
Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 26 matches
Deportivo Cali Statistic Águilas Doradas
11 Wins 9
10 Draws 9
8 Losses 8
33 Goals For 30
24 Goals Against 35
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
13 BTTS Yes 17
19 Over 1.5 20
8 Over 2.5 13
3 Over 3.5 5
11 Clean Sheets 4
8 Failed To Score 6
4.11 Shots On Goal 3.65
12.41 Total Shots 11.5
4.41 Corners 4.46
50.4% Ball Possession 50.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Deportivo Cali's more proactive style and Águilas Doradas's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Deportivo Cali expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Águilas Doradas in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Águilas Doradas having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Águilas Doradas. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Deportivo Cali Analysis

Deportivo Cali are currently 9 in the standings with 27 points from 19 matches. The record of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 20:16 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Johan Martínez (1 goals), Steven Rodríguez (1 goals), with creative support from Johan Martínez (1 assists), Gustavo Cuéllar (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Águilas Doradas Analysis

From their first 19 matches, Águilas Doradas have collected 26 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, while the 20:25 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Andrés Ricaurte (1 goals), Frank Lozano (1 goals), with creative support from Andrés Ricaurte (1 assists), Jhon Meléndez (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Cali won 3 times, Águilas Doradas won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:25 from Deportivo Cali's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.6%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo Cali 5-3-2 / Águilas Doradas 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Deportivo Cali wins 3, draws 5, Águilas Doradas wins 7

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W W W W L
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L D D L D
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
D L D L L
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
W D W D W
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
L L W D D
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
L W W D W
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W D W D D
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
W D D D D
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W D D L D
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
D D L D W
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
L W W L W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
L D D D D
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W D D W D
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
L L L L W
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D D L D L
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
D D D W D
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
W L L L D
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
W W D D L
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
D L W W D
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
L D L W D
Post season qualification