Login Register
NETHERLANDS › EREDIVISIE
25.10.2026 13:30
Philips Stadion

PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 89.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
89.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
PSV Eindhoven Win 40.6%
Draw 10.2%
Feyenoord Win 49.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
PSV Eindhoven2.14
Feyenoord2.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
WWDLW
43 GF / 23 GA
Feyenoord Feyenoord
WLDWL
51 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
2.69
Average Goals Scored
3.19
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
13
BTTS Yes
11
12
Over 2.5
14
6.55
Shots on Goal
7.55

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 16 matches
Feyenoord Feyenoord 16 matches
PSV Eindhoven Statistic Feyenoord
9 Wins 13
3 Draws 2
4 Losses 1
43 Goals For 51
23 Goals Against 21
2.69 Avg Goals Scored 3.19
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
13 BTTS Yes 11
15 Over 1.5 15
12 Over 2.5 14
9 Over 3.5 12
2 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 0
6.55 Shots On Goal 7.55
18.09 Total Shots 19.09
6.73 Corners 5.82
59.9% Ball Possession 50.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Feyenoord look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with PSV Eindhoven expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Feyenoord in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Feyenoord having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Feyenoord.

PSV Eindhoven Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 19 points from 9 games, PSV Eindhoven bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 27:12, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through G. Til (5 goals), S. Mijnans (5 goals), R. Pepi (3 goals), with creative support from S. Dest (2 assists), R. van Bommel (2 assists), Mauro Júnior (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Feyenoord Analysis

Feyenoord come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 23 points after 9 matches. With 7 wins, 2 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 31:10, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by G. Zechiël (5 goals), A. Hadj-Moussa (5 goals), Nacho Ferri (5 goals), with creative support from G. Read (5 assists), G. Zechiël (4 assists), A. Hadj-Moussa (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, PSV Eindhoven won 8 times, Feyenoord won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 32:24 from PSV Eindhoven's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.73 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.8%)
Predicted formations: PSV Eindhoven 4-2-3-1 / Feyenoord 4-3-3
H2H summary: PSV Eindhoven wins 8, draws 5, Feyenoord wins 2

Standings

Eredivisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 2 0 31:10 21 23
W W W W W
2 9 6 2 1 20:10 10 20
D L W D W
3 9 6 1 2 27:12 15 19
L W L W W
4 9 5 3 1 27:12 15 18
W D D W W
5 9 5 2 2 17:10 7 17
L D W W W
6 9 4 3 2 16:17 -1 15
D D W L W
7 9 4 2 3 22:19 3 14
L W W D D
8 9 3 3 3 15:11 4 12
W L W D L
9 9 2 5 2 20:21 -1 11
L D D D D
10 9 3 2 4 16:18 -2 11
L L D L D
11 9 3 2 4 16:26 -10 11
W W L W D
12 9 2 4 3 15:16 -1 10
D D D L D
13 9 2 3 4 16:22 -6 9
W D L L D
14 9 2 3 4 13:21 -8 9
D W D W D
15 9 2 1 6 10:22 -12 7
W L L L D
16 9 1 3 5 10:18 -8 6
L D L D L
17 9 1 3 5 11:20 -9 6
W D D L L
18 9 0 2 7 9:26 -17 2
L L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie