PSV Eindhoven
Match Timeline
AZ Alkmaar
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
76.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
PSV Eindhoven Win 76.7%
Draw 6.2%
AZ Alkmaar Win 17.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
PSV Eindhoven2.21
AZ Alkmaar1.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
PSV Eindhoven
WWDLW
117 GF / 61 GA
AZ Alkmaar
WLDWL
95 GF / 70 GA
Key Stats
2.79
Average Goals Scored
1.83
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
33
BTTS Yes
27
35
Over 2.5
34
6.62
Shots on Goal
6
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
PSV Eindhoven
42 matches
AZ Alkmaar
52 matches
| PSV Eindhoven | Statistic | AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wins | 25 |
| 5 | Draws | 12 |
| 8 | Losses | 15 |
| 117 | Goals For | 95 |
| 61 | Goals Against | 70 |
| 2.79 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.83 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.35 |
| 33 | BTTS Yes | 27 |
| 41 | Over 1.5 | 42 |
| 35 | Over 2.5 | 34 |
| 24 | Over 3.5 | 23 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 19 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 6.62 | Shots On Goal | 6 |
| 16.26 | Total Shots | 15.79 |
| 6.74 | Corners | 5.77 |
| 59.1% | Ball Possession | 54% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, PSV Eindhoven won 7 times, AZ Alkmaar won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:23 from PSV Eindhoven's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.57 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.8%)
Predicted formations: PSV Eindhoven 4-2-3-1 / AZ Alkmaar 4-3-3
H2H summary: PSV Eindhoven wins 7, draws 1, AZ Alkmaar wins 6
Stats
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
Shots on Goal
6
6
Shots on Goal
9
9
Shots off Goal
3
3
Shots off Goal
8
8
Blocked Shots
6
6
Blocked Shots
5
5
Lineups
PSV Eindhoven
Formation
AZ Alkmaar
M. Kovar
K. Sildillia
R. Flamingo
Y. Gasiorowski
N. Fernandez
Mauro Junior
J. Veerman
D. Man
S. Mijnans
A. Bouhamdi
G. Til
J. De Busser
E. Dijkstra
W. Goes
B. van Duijl
M. Chavez Garcia
P. Koopmeiners
L. Schouten
D. Kwakman
Weslley Patati
M. Meerdink
R. Daal
PSV Eindhoven
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
32
M. Kovar
G
25
K. Sildillia
D
6
R. Flamingo
D
🟨 89'
3
Y. Gasiorowski
D
31
N. Fernandez
D
↓ 82'
17
Mauro Junior
M
↓ 63'
23
J. Veerman
M
🟥 9'
27
D. Man
M
↓ 46'
21
S. Mijnans
M
37
A. Bouhamdi
M
↓ 63'
20
G. Til
F
↓ 76'
Substitutes
1
N. Olij
G
5
I. Perisic
F
↑ 63'
🟨 85'
4
A. Obispo
D
9
R. Pepi
F
10
P. Wanner
M
↑ 63'
19
E. Bajraktarevic
F
↑ 76'
7
R. van Bommel
F
↑ 46'
🟨 53'
33
E. Bassey
D
↑ 82'
14
A. Plea
F
35
J. van den Berg
M
38
F. Merien
D
42
S. Cornecion
M
AZ Alkmaar
4-3-3
Starting XI
28
J. De Busser
G
22
E. Dijkstra
D
⚽ 58'
↓ 71'
3
W. Goes
D
23
B. van Duijl
D
↓ 46'
15
M. Chavez Garcia
D
↓ 71'
6
P. Koopmeiners
M
🎯 51'
16
L. Schouten
M
🟨 78'
21
D. Kwakman
M
7
Weslley Patati
F
⚽ 51'
↓ 63'
35
M. Meerdink
F
⚽ 25'
↓ 62'
11
R. Daal
F
⚽ 66'
🎯 58'
Substitutes
12
H. Verhulst
G
1
R. Owusu-Oduro
G
2
S. Maikuma
D
↑ 71'
13
S. De Grand
D
10
K. Smit
M
↑ 62'
🟨 85'
18
R. Ichihara
D
24
A. Oufkir
F
34
M. de Wit
D
↑ 71'
14
C. Stengs
M
↑ 63'
9
T. Parrott
F
↑ 46'
17
I. Jensen
F
45
B. Kovacs
F
Last matches: PSV Eindhoven
23.08.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Groningen
5
1
W
15.08.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
2
1
W
08.08.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Fortuna Sittard
2
2
D
28.07.26
Fri
PSV Eindhoven
FC Eindhoven
3
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
PSV Eindhoven
Villarreal
1
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
PSV Eindhoven
Union St. Gilloise
7
3
W
11.07.26
Fri
PSV Eindhoven
Raków Częstochowa
3
2
W
04.07.26
Fri
PSV Eindhoven
Antwerp
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Twente
5
1
W
10.05.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
GO Ahead Eagles
4
1
W
02.05.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
2
2
D
23.04.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
PEC Zwolle
6
1
W
11.04.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Sparta Rotterdam
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Utrecht
4
3
W
22.03.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Telstar
1
3
L
14.03.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
NEC Nijmegen
2
3
L
07.03.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
2
1
W
28.02.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Heracles
3
1
W
21.02.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Heerenveen
3
1
W
13.02.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
FC Volendam
1
2
L
Last matches: AZ Alkmaar
22.08.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
2
0
W
15.08.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Utrecht
4
1
W
08.08.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
ADO Den Haag
2
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
AZ Alkmaar
Olympiakos Piraeus
3
2
W
22.07.26
Fri
AZ Alkmaar
Genk
4
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
AZ Alkmaar
Zulte Waregem
1
1
D
15.07.26
Fri
AZ Alkmaar
Anderlecht
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
AZ Alkmaar
Almere City FC
2
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
AZ Alkmaar
Gent
3
3
D
17.05.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
NAC Breda
3
3
D
10.05.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Feyenoord
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Twente
2
2
D
23.04.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
GO Ahead Eagles
0
0
D
16.04.26
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
2
D
12.04.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen
3
0
W
09.04.26
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
3
L
04.04.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
2
0
W
22.03.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Groningen
0
3
L
19.03.26
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Praha
4
0
W
15.03.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Heracles
4
0
W
H2H: PSV Eindhoven vs AZ Alkmaar
02.08.26
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
0
4
L
07.03.26
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
2
1
W
09.11.25
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
1
5
W
11.01.25
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
2
2
D
19.10.24
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
1
2
W
06.04.24
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
5
1
W
17.12.23
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
0
4
W
28.05.23
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
1
2
W
12.11.22
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
0
1
L
05.02.22
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
1
2
L
11.09.21
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
0
3
W
21.03.21
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
2
0
L
13.01.21
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
1
3
L
21.04.20
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
0
0
D
27.10.19
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
0
4
L
Last matches: PSV Eindhoven
23.08.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Groningen
5
1
W
08.08.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Fortuna Sittard
2
2
D
28.07.26
Fri
PSV Eindhoven
FC Eindhoven
3
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
PSV Eindhoven
Villarreal
1
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
PSV Eindhoven
Union St. Gilloise
7
3
W
11.07.26
Fri
PSV Eindhoven
Raków Częstochowa
3
2
W
04.07.26
Fri
PSV Eindhoven
Antwerp
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Twente
5
1
W
23.04.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
PEC Zwolle
6
1
W
04.04.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Utrecht
4
3
W
14.03.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
NEC Nijmegen
2
3
L
07.03.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
2
1
W
21.02.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Heerenveen
3
1
W
01.02.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord
3
0
W
28.01.26
UEF
PSV Eindhoven
Bayern München
1
2
L
24.01.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
NAC Breda
2
2
D
10.01.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
5
1
W
13.12.25
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Heracles
4
3
W
09.12.25
UEF
PSV Eindhoven
Atletico Madrid
2
3
L
30.11.25
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
FC Volendam
3
0
W
H2H at home: PSV Eindhoven
02.08.26
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
0
4
L
07.03.26
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
2
1
W
11.01.25
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
2
2
D
06.04.24
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
5
1
W
12.11.22
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
0
1
L
05.02.22
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
1
2
L
13.01.21
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
1
3
L
27.10.19
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
0
4
L
Last matches: AZ Alkmaar
22.08.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
2
0
W
15.08.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Utrecht
4
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
AZ Alkmaar
Zulte Waregem
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Feyenoord
1
1
D
23.04.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
GO Ahead Eagles
0
0
D
09.04.26
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
3
L
22.03.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Groningen
0
3
L
19.03.26
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Praha
4
0
W
07.03.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
1
2
L
01.03.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Utrecht
0
2
L
19.02.26
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
FC Noah
0
1
L
14.02.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
2
1
W
25.01.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Telstar
1
0
W
17.01.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
PEC Zwolle
1
3
L
21.12.25
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
3
4
L
11.12.25
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
Drita
3
0
W
30.11.25
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Twente
0
1
L
23.11.25
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen
1
3
L
06.11.25
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
Crystal Palace
1
3
L
02.11.25
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Rotterdam
1
0
W
H2H away: AZ Alkmaar
02.08.26
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
0
4
W
07.03.26
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
2
1
L
11.01.25
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
2
2
D
06.04.24
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
5
1
L
12.11.22
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
0
1
W
05.02.22
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
1
2
W
13.01.21
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
1
3
W
27.10.19
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
0
4
W