PSV Eindhoven
Match Timeline
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
76.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
PSV Eindhoven Win 76.7%
Draw 6.2%
AZ Alkmaar Win 17.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
PSV Eindhoven2.21
AZ Alkmaar1.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
PSV Eindhoven
WWDLW
117 GF / 61 GA
AZ Alkmaar
WLDWL
95 GF / 70 GA
Key Stats
2.79
Average Goals Scored
1.83
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
33
BTTS Yes
27
35
Over 2.5
34
6.62
Shots on Goal
6
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
PSV Eindhoven
42 matches
AZ Alkmaar
52 matches
| PSV Eindhoven | Statistic | AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wins | 25 |
| 5 | Draws | 12 |
| 8 | Losses | 15 |
| 117 | Goals For | 95 |
| 61 | Goals Against | 70 |
| 2.79 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.83 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.35 |
| 33 | BTTS Yes | 27 |
| 41 | Over 1.5 | 42 |
| 35 | Over 2.5 | 34 |
| 24 | Over 3.5 | 23 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 19 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 6.62 | Shots On Goal | 6 |
| 16.26 | Total Shots | 15.79 |
| 6.74 | Corners | 5.77 |
| 59.1% | Ball Possession | 54% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, PSV Eindhoven won 7 times, AZ Alkmaar won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:23 from PSV Eindhoven's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.57 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.8%)
Predicted formations: PSV Eindhoven 4-2-3-1 / AZ Alkmaar 4-3-3
H2H summary: PSV Eindhoven wins 7, draws 1, AZ Alkmaar wins 6