Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
76.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
PSV Eindhoven Win 76.7%
Draw 6.2%
AZ Alkmaar Win 17.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
PSV Eindhoven2.21
AZ Alkmaar1.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
PSV Eindhoven
WWDLW
117 GF / 61 GA
AZ Alkmaar
WLDWL
95 GF / 70 GA
Key Stats
2.79
Average Goals Scored
1.83
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
33
BTTS Yes
27
35
Over 2.5
34
6.62
Shots on Goal
6
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
PSV Eindhoven
42 matches
AZ Alkmaar
52 matches
| PSV Eindhoven | Statistic | AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wins | 25 |
| 5 | Draws | 12 |
| 8 | Losses | 15 |
| 117 | Goals For | 95 |
| 61 | Goals Against | 70 |
| 2.79 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.83 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.35 |
| 33 | BTTS Yes | 27 |
| 41 | Over 1.5 | 42 |
| 35 | Over 2.5 | 34 |
| 24 | Over 3.5 | 23 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 19 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 6.62 | Shots On Goal | 6 |
| 16.26 | Total Shots | 15.79 |
| 6.74 | Corners | 5.77 |
| 59.1% | Ball Possession | 54% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, PSV Eindhoven won 7 times, AZ Alkmaar won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:20 from PSV Eindhoven's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.36 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.8%)
Predicted formations: PSV Eindhoven 4-2-3-1 / AZ Alkmaar -
H2H summary: PSV Eindhoven wins 7, draws 1, AZ Alkmaar wins 6
Last matches: PSV Eindhoven
28.07.26
Fri
PSV Eindhoven
FC Eindhoven
3
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
PSV Eindhoven
Villarreal
1
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
PSV Eindhoven
Union St. Gilloise
7
3
W
11.07.26
Fri
PSV Eindhoven
Raków Częstochowa
3
2
W
04.07.26
Fri
PSV Eindhoven
Antwerp
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Twente
5
1
W
10.05.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
GO Ahead Eagles
4
1
W
02.05.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
2
2
D
23.04.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
PEC Zwolle
6
1
W
11.04.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Sparta Rotterdam
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Utrecht
4
3
W
22.03.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Telstar
1
3
L
14.03.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
NEC Nijmegen
2
3
L
07.03.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
2
1
W
28.02.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Heracles
3
1
W
21.02.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Heerenveen
3
1
W
13.02.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
FC Volendam
1
2
L
08.02.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Groningen
2
1
W
01.02.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord
3
0
W
28.01.26
UEF
PSV Eindhoven
Bayern München
1
2
L
Last matches: AZ Alkmaar
25.07.26
Fri
AZ Alkmaar
Olympiakos Piraeus
3
2
W
22.07.26
Fri
AZ Alkmaar
Genk
4
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
AZ Alkmaar
Zulte Waregem
1
1
D
15.07.26
Fri
AZ Alkmaar
Anderlecht
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
AZ Alkmaar
Almere City FC
2
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
AZ Alkmaar
Gent
3
3
D
17.05.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
NAC Breda
3
3
D
10.05.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Feyenoord
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Twente
2
2
D
23.04.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
GO Ahead Eagles
0
0
D
16.04.26
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
2
D
12.04.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen
3
0
W
09.04.26
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
3
L
04.04.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
2
0
W
22.03.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Groningen
0
3
L
19.03.26
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Praha
4
0
W
15.03.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Heracles
4
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Praha
2
1
W
07.03.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
1
2
L
01.03.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Utrecht
0
2
L
H2H: PSV Eindhoven vs AZ Alkmaar
07.03.26
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
2
1
W
09.11.25
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
1
5
W
11.01.25
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
2
2
D
19.10.24
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
1
2
W
06.04.24
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
5
1
W
17.12.23
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
0
4
W
28.05.23
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
1
2
W
12.11.22
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
0
1
L
05.02.22
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
1
2
L
11.09.21
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
0
3
W
21.03.21
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
2
0
L
13.01.21
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
1
3
L
21.04.20
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
0
0
D
27.10.19
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
0
4
L
12.05.19
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
1
0
L
Last matches: PSV Eindhoven
28.07.26
Fri
PSV Eindhoven
FC Eindhoven
3
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
PSV Eindhoven
Villarreal
1
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
PSV Eindhoven
Union St. Gilloise
7
3
W
11.07.26
Fri
PSV Eindhoven
Raków Częstochowa
3
2
W
04.07.26
Fri
PSV Eindhoven
Antwerp
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Twente
5
1
W
23.04.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
PEC Zwolle
6
1
W
04.04.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Utrecht
4
3
W
14.03.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
NEC Nijmegen
2
3
L
07.03.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
2
1
W
21.02.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Heerenveen
3
1
W
01.02.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord
3
0
W
28.01.26
UEF
PSV Eindhoven
Bayern München
1
2
L
24.01.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
NAC Breda
2
2
D
10.01.26
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
5
1
W
13.12.25
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Heracles
4
3
W
09.12.25
UEF
PSV Eindhoven
Atletico Madrid
2
3
L
30.11.25
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
FC Volendam
3
0
W
31.10.25
Ere
PSV Eindhoven
Fortuna Sittard
5
2
W
21.10.25
UEF
PSV Eindhoven
Napoli
6
2
W
H2H at home: PSV Eindhoven
07.03.26
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
2
1
W
11.01.25
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
2
2
D
06.04.24
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
5
1
W
12.11.22
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
0
1
L
05.02.22
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
1
2
L
13.01.21
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
1
3
L
27.10.19
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
0
4
L
Last matches: AZ Alkmaar
18.07.26
Fri
AZ Alkmaar
Zulte Waregem
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Feyenoord
1
1
D
23.04.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
GO Ahead Eagles
0
0
D
09.04.26
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
3
L
22.03.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Groningen
0
3
L
19.03.26
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Praha
4
0
W
07.03.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
1
2
L
01.03.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Utrecht
0
2
L
19.02.26
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
FC Noah
0
1
L
14.02.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
2
1
W
25.01.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Telstar
1
0
W
17.01.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
PEC Zwolle
1
3
L
21.12.25
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
3
4
L
11.12.25
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
Drita
3
0
W
30.11.25
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Twente
0
1
L
23.11.25
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen
1
3
L
06.11.25
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
Crystal Palace
1
3
L
02.11.25
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Rotterdam
1
0
W
18.10.25
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
2
0
W
02.10.25
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
AEK Larnaca
0
4
L
H2H away: AZ Alkmaar
07.03.26
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
2
1
L
11.01.25
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
2
2
D
06.04.24
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
5
1
L
12.11.22
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
0
1
W
05.02.22
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
1
2
W
13.01.21
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
1
3
W
27.10.19
H2H
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
0
4
W