INDONESIA LIGA 1
15.05.2026 12:00
Cendrawasih Stadium
Referee: A. F. Sinaga
PSBS Biak Numfor
Match Timeline
Arema FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
15'
J. Guevara
Arema FC
21'
Gustavo Franca
Arema FC
30'
M. Hassan · Assist: Pablo Andrade
PSBS Biak Numfor
🟨
39'
P. Rumere
PSBS Biak Numfor
🟨
40'
Luquinhas
PSBS Biak Numfor
41'
Joel Vinicius · Assist: Gustavo Franca
Arema FC
42'
Dalberto · Assist: Betinho
Arema FC
45'
Joel Vinicius · Assist: Dalberto
Arema FC
45'
Luquinhas
PSBS Biak Numfor
🔄
46'
A. Agung ↔ M. Madjar
PSBS Biak Numfor
🔄
46'
T. Solossa ↔ S. Gwijangge
PSBS Biak Numfor
🔄
46'
Lucas Frigeri ↔ A. Satryo
Arema FC
🔄
46'
H. Yama ↔ Matheus Blade
Arema FC
🔄
46'
J. Guevara ↔ Gabriel Silva
Arema FC
🟨
54'
M. Hassan
PSBS Biak Numfor
🟨
72'
R. Fahmi
Arema FC
🔄
77'
A. Fikri ↔ D. Mardiyanto
Arema FC
🔄
78'
Gustavo Franca ↔ J. Hariono
Arema FC
🔄
81'
C. Olivera ↔ R. Oktavian
PSBS Biak Numfor
🔄
86'
Y. Putra ↔ A. Tri
PSBS Biak Numfor
90'
Dalberto
Arema FC

PSBS Biak Numfor vs Arema FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 51.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
100%
-
BTTS BTTS No
51.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
PSBS Biak Numfor Win 0%
Draw 0%
Arema FC Win 100%
Expected Goals (xG)
PSBS Biak Numfor1.1
Arema FC1.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
PSBS Biak Numfor PSBS Biak Numfor
WWDLW
29 GF / 83 GA
Arema FC Arema FC
WLDWL
45 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
0.91
Average Goals Scored
1.41
2.59
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
18
BTTS Yes
20
23
Over 2.5
19
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

PSBS Biak Numfor PSBS Biak Numfor 32 matches
Arema FC Arema FC 32 matches
PSBS Biak Numfor Statistic Arema FC
4 Wins 11
6 Draws 9
22 Losses 12
29 Goals For 45
83 Goals Against 44
0.91 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
2.59 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
18 BTTS Yes 20
26 Over 1.5 26
23 Over 2.5 19
15 Over 3.5 9
3 Clean Sheets 8
14 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Arema FC's more proactive style and PSBS Biak Numfor's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Arema FC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 10 with 42 points while PSBS Biak Numfor sit 18 on 18, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Arema FC. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Arema FC having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. PSBS Biak Numfor have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

PSBS Biak Numfor Analysis

PSBS Biak Numfor approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 18 points from 32 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 6 draws, and 22 defeats, and the 29:83 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on R. Blanco (10 goals), Luquinhas (6 goals), H. Susanto (3 goals), with creative support from Luquinhas (6 assists), Pablo Andrade (4 assists), M. Hassan (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Arema FC Analysis

Arema FC are currently 10 in the standings with 42 points from 32 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 9 draws, and 12 losses, while the 45:44 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Dalberto (16 goals), Gabriel Silva (5 goals), Valdeci (4 goals), with creative support from Dalberto (5 assists), A. Farisi (4 assists), Paulinho Moccelin (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, PSBS Biak Numfor won 0 times, Arema FC won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:14 from PSBS Biak Numfor's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 5.25 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 2 (100%)
H2H summary: PSBS Biak Numfor wins 0, draws 1, Arema FC wins 3

Standings

Indonesia Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 7 3 59:22 37 79
D W W W W
2 34 25 4 5 74:31 43 79
W D W W W
3 34 22 5 7 65:29 36 71
W W L W W
4 34 16 10 8 61:35 26 58
W W D W W
5 34 16 5 13 53:45 8 53
W L W L L
6 34 15 8 11 68:53 15 53
L D L W W
7 34 16 5 13 44:37 7 53
L L W W W
8 34 14 9 11 57:48 9 51
W W L L W
9 34 13 9 12 53:47 6 48
W W W L L
10 34 13 6 15 38:37 1 45
L D L L W
11 34 11 12 11 43:44 -1 45
L W W L L
12 34 11 6 17 42:61 -19 39
L L W W L
13 34 9 9 16 31:45 -14 36
D D W L L
14 34 9 8 17 37:54 -17 35
W L L W W
15 34 8 10 16 39:49 -10 34
L L L W L
16 34 8 10 16 39:59 -20 34
W W D L L
17 34 5 5 24 22:65 -43 20
L L L L L
18 34 4 6 24 31:95 -64 18
L L L L L
Champions League 2
Challenge League
Relegation