Progreso
Match Timeline
Penarol
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Progreso Win 0%
Draw 0%
Penarol Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Progreso0.96
Penarol1.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
Progreso
WWDLW
9 GF / 15 GA
Penarol
WLDWL
15 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
4
BTTS Yes
6
4
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Progreso
9 matches
Penarol
9 matches
| Progreso | Statistic | Penarol |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 6 |
| 4 | Draws | 1 |
| 4 | Losses | 2 |
| 9 | Goals For | 15 |
| 15 | Goals Against | 8 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.89 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Progreso won 0 times, Penarol won 11 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:27 from Progreso's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Progreso 4-2-3-1 / Penarol 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Progreso wins 0, draws 4, Penarol wins 11
Lineups
Progreso
Formation
Penarol
A. Mehring
M. Martin
F. Garcia
H. Carroso
F. Kidd
A. Colombino
F. De Leon
S. Viera
A. Pinheiro
A. Paz
M. Copelotti
S. Britos
F. Escobar
L. Ferreira
M. Olivera
Jesus Trindade
E. Remedi
L. Angulo
L. Fernandez
G. Togni
M. Arezo
N. Fernandez
Progreso
4-2-3-1
(estimated from previous match)
Starting XI
1
A. Mehring
G
15
M. Martin
D
↓ 46'
3
F. Garcia
D
13
H. Carroso
D
14
F. Kidd
D
8
A. Colombino
M
↓ 58'
17
F. De Leon
M
24
S. Viera
M
↓ 46'
5
A. Pinheiro
M
22
A. Paz
M
↓ 46'
23
M. Copelotti
F
↓ 72'
🟨 31'
Substitutes
33
A. Requena
G
16
G. Trasante
D
↑ 46'
4
M. Paolini
D
6
F. Andueza
D
↑ 46'
11
N. Lopez
F
19
J. Silva
F
29
N. Fernandez
↑ 46'
30
A. Codagnone
M
↑ 58'
25
J. Dos Santos
F
↑ 72'
93
D. Sanchez
F
Penarol
3-4-1-2
(estimated from previous match)
Starting XI
1
S. Britos
G
2
F. Escobar
D
↓ 65'
6
L. Ferreira
D
🟨 90+3'
15
M. Olivera
D
21
Jesus Trindade
M
5
E. Remedi
M
🟨 86'
77
L. Angulo
F
⚽ 24'
⚽ 39'
↓ 65'
10
L. Fernandez
M
🟨 33'
23
G. Togni
M
↓ 72'
19
M. Arezo
F
↓ 72'
8
N. Fernandez
M
Substitutes
29
W. Aguerre
G
14
K. Rodriguez
D
↑ 65'
25
M. Gonzalez
D
↑ 72'
26
A. Madruga
D
28
I. Alegre
D
18
G. Barbas
80
F. Gonzalez
F
30
S. Muhlethaler
M
9
F. Batista
F
↑ 65'
11
A. Hernandez
F
↑ 72'
Last matches: Progreso
07.06.26
Pri
Progreso
Albion FC
1
2
L
30.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Danubio
2
1
W
23.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
0
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Cerro Largo
0
1
L
27.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Wanderers
2
1
W
12.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
0
1
L
31.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
3
3
D
26.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
22.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Boston River
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Cerro
1
0
W
07.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Albion FC
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Danubio
2
2
D
21.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Club Nacional
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
0
2
L
07.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Central Espanol
0
3
L
09.11.25
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
1
1
D
01.11.25
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
0
5
L
Last matches: Penarol
07.06.26
Pri
Penarol
Cerro
1
0
W
01.06.26
Pri
Penarol
Central Espanol
0
1
L
28.05.26
CON
Penarol
Santa Fe
0
1
L
24.05.26
Pri
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
2
0
W
22.05.26
CON
Penarol
Corinthians
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pri
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1
W
11.05.26
Pri
Penarol
Cerro Largo
3
2
W
07.05.26
CON
Penarol
Platense
1
1
D
04.05.26
Pri
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
01.05.26
CON
Penarol
Corinthians
0
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Penarol
Wanderers
0
1
L
20.04.26
Pri
Penarol
Juventud
2
2
D
17.04.26
CON
Penarol
Platense
1
2
L
13.04.26
Pri
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
0
2
L
10.04.26
CON
Penarol
Santa Fe
1
1
D
29.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Racing Montevideo
1
2
L
25.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Boston River
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Cerro
3
1
W
14.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Albion FC
1
0
W
07.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Danubio
1
1
D
H2H: Progreso vs Penarol
04.04.26
H2H
Progreso
Penarol
0
2
L
01.08.25
H2H
Penarol
Progreso
2
1
L
01.02.25
H2H
Progreso
Penarol
1
3
L
27.11.24
H2H
Progreso
Penarol
1
5
L
22.06.24
H2H
Progreso
Penarol
0
2
L
23.05.24
H2H
Penarol
Progreso
3
1
L
25.11.21
H2H
Progreso
Penarol
0
0
D
14.08.21
H2H
Penarol
Progreso
1
0
L
25.03.21
H2H
Progreso
Penarol
0
2
L
06.10.20
H2H
Penarol
Progreso
2
1
L
27.11.19
H2H
Progreso
Penarol
0
0
D
20.07.19
H2H
Progreso
Penarol
1
1
D
26.05.19
H2H
Penarol
Progreso
2
2
D
27.10.18
H2H
Penarol
Progreso
1
0
L
29.04.18
H2H
Progreso
Penarol
0
1
L
Last matches: Progreso
07.06.26
Pri
Progreso
Albion FC
1
2
L
23.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Cerro Largo
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Wanderers
2
1
W
31.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
3
3
D
22.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Boston River
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Albion FC
2
2
D
21.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Club Nacional
0
1
L
07.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Central Espanol
0
3
L
01.11.25
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
0
5
L
19.10.25
Pri
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
2
3
L
05.10.25
Pri
Progreso
Cerro
2
0
W
21.09.25
Pri
Progreso
Wanderers
2
0
W
07.09.25
Pri
Progreso
Miramar
3
2
W
24.08.25
Pri
Progreso
Danubio
1
0
W
09.08.25
Pri
Progreso
Cerro Largo
1
2
L
H2H at home: Progreso
04.04.26
H2H
Progreso
Penarol
0
2
L
01.02.25
H2H
Progreso
Penarol
1
3
L
27.11.24
H2H
Progreso
Penarol
1
5
L
22.06.24
H2H
Progreso
Penarol
0
2
L
25.11.21
H2H
Progreso
Penarol
0
0
D
25.03.21
H2H
Progreso
Penarol
0
2
L
27.11.19
H2H
Progreso
Penarol
0
0
D
20.07.19
H2H
Progreso
Penarol
1
1
D
29.04.18
H2H
Progreso
Penarol
0
1
L
Last matches: Penarol
07.06.26
Pri
Penarol
Cerro
1
0
W
24.05.26
Pri
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
2
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Penarol
Cerro Largo
3
2
W
07.05.26
CON
Penarol
Platense
1
1
D
01.05.26
CON
Penarol
Corinthians
0
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Penarol
Wanderers
0
1
L
10.04.26
CON
Penarol
Santa Fe
1
1
D
25.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Boston River
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Albion FC
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Club Nacional
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pri
Penarol
Central Espanol
1
2
L
30.11.25
Pri
Penarol
Club Nacional
0
1
L
16.11.25
Pri
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1
W
09.11.25
Pri
Penarol
Atletico Torque
2
0
W
25.10.25
Pri
Penarol
Cerro
0
2
L
11.10.25
Pri
Penarol
Miramar
2
2
D
27.09.25
Pri
Penarol
Cerro Largo
3
1
W
13.09.25
Pri
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
2
2
D
31.08.25
Pri
Penarol
Racing Montevideo
4
1
W
15.08.25
Pri
Penarol
Boston River
1
2
L
H2H away: Penarol
04.04.26
H2H
Progreso
Penarol
0
2
W
01.02.25
H2H
Progreso
Penarol
1
3
W
27.11.24
H2H
Progreso
Penarol
1
5
W
22.06.24
H2H
Progreso
Penarol
0
2
W
25.11.21
H2H
Progreso
Penarol
0
0
D
25.03.21
H2H
Progreso
Penarol
0
2
W
27.11.19
H2H
Progreso
Penarol
0
0
D
20.07.19
H2H
Progreso
Penarol
1
1
D
29.04.18
H2H
Progreso
Penarol
0
1
W
Standings
Primera: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 35:20 | 15 | 39 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 25:15 | 10 | 37 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 3 |
Penarol
Away
|
19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 28:18 | 10 | 36 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 32 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 31 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27:25 | 2 | 31 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 29:24 | 5 | 29 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 26 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 25 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21:20 | 1 | 24 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 23 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 19:26 | -7 | 21 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 19:26 | -7 | 19 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 22:29 | -7 | 18 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 15 |
Progreso
Home
|
19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 16:30 | -14 | 13 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
| 16 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 10:31 | -21 | 13 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
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