04.04.2026 22:00
Parque Abraham Paladino
Referee: A. Fernandez
Progreso
Match Timeline
Penarol
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
24'
L. Angulo
Penarol
🟨
31'
Matteo Copelotti
Progreso
🟨
33'
Leonardo Fernández
Penarol
⚽
39'
L. Angulo
Penarol
🔄
46'
M. Martin ↔ G. Trasante
Progreso
🔄
46'
S. Viera ↔ F. Andueza
Progreso
🔄
46'
A. Paz ↔ N. Fernandez
Progreso
🔄
58'
A. Colombino ↔ A. Codagnone
Progreso
🔄
65'
F. Escobar ↔ K. Rodriguez
Penarol
🔄
65'
L. Angulo ↔ F. Batista
Penarol
🔄
72'
M. Copelotti ↔ J. Dos Santos
Progreso
🔄
72'
G. Togni ↔ M. Gonzalez
Penarol
🔄
72'
M. Arezo ↔ A. Hernandez
Penarol
🟨
86'
Eric Remedi
Penarol
🟨
90+3'
Lucas Ferreira
Penarol

Progreso vs Penarol Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Progreso Win 0%
Draw 0%
Penarol Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Progreso0.96
Penarol1.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
Progreso Progreso
WWDLW
9 GF / 15 GA
Penarol Penarol
WLDWL
15 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
4
BTTS Yes
6
4
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Progreso Progreso 9 matches
Penarol Penarol 9 matches
Progreso Statistic Penarol
1 Wins 6
4 Draws 1
4 Losses 2
9 Goals For 15
15 Goals Against 8
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89
4 BTTS Yes 6
6 Over 1.5 7
4 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Progreso won 0 times, Penarol won 11 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:27 from Progreso's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Progreso 4-2-3-1 / Penarol 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Progreso wins 0, draws 4, Penarol wins 11

Standings

Primera: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 18 5 6 48:24 24 58
W W W W L
2 30 16 7 7 46:27 19 55
W W L W L
3 29 16 5 8 51:34 17 53
L W W W W
4 30 14 11 5 36:24 12 53
L D W L W
5 30 15 4 11 45:38 7 49
W W D D W
6 30 13 8 9 38:36 2 47
W D D L W
7 30 12 10 8 39:28 11 46
W D L W D
8 30 10 8 12 32:39 -7 38
L L D D L
9 30 9 9 12 35:39 -4 36
D W D D W
10 30 8 11 11 26:33 -7 35
W L W D L
11 30 9 7 14 38:40 -2 34
L L L L L
12 30 8 9 13 28:34 -6 33
L L D L D
13 30 9 6 15 23:43 -20 33
D L W W D
14 30 8 6 16 29:42 -13 30
L L L L D
15 30 8 4 18 25:43 -18 28
W W L W W
16 30 4 14 12 24:39 -15 26
L D D L L
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