04.04.2026 22:00
Parque Abraham Paladino
Referee: A. Fernandez
Progreso
Match Timeline
Penarol
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
24'
L. Angulo
Penarol
🟨
31'
Matteo Copelotti
Progreso
🟨
33'
Leonardo Fernández
Penarol
39'
L. Angulo
Penarol
🔄
46'
M. Martin ↔ G. Trasante
Progreso
🔄
46'
S. Viera ↔ F. Andueza
Progreso
🔄
46'
A. Paz ↔ N. Fernandez
Progreso
🔄
58'
A. Colombino ↔ A. Codagnone
Progreso
🔄
65'
F. Escobar ↔ K. Rodriguez
Penarol
🔄
65'
L. Angulo ↔ F. Batista
Penarol
🔄
72'
M. Copelotti ↔ J. Dos Santos
Progreso
🔄
72'
G. Togni ↔ M. Gonzalez
Penarol
🔄
72'
M. Arezo ↔ A. Hernandez
Penarol
🟨
86'
Eric Remedi
Penarol
🟨
90+3'
Lucas Ferreira
Penarol

Progreso vs Penarol Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Progreso Win 0%
Draw 0%
Penarol Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Progreso0.96
Penarol1.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
Progreso Progreso
WWDLW
9 GF / 15 GA
Penarol Penarol
WLDWL
15 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
4
BTTS Yes
6
4
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Progreso Progreso 9 matches
Penarol Penarol 9 matches
Progreso Statistic Penarol
1 Wins 6
4 Draws 1
4 Losses 2
9 Goals For 15
15 Goals Against 8
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89
4 BTTS Yes 6
6 Over 1.5 7
4 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Progreso won 0 times, Penarol won 11 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:27 from Progreso's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Progreso 4-2-3-1 / Penarol 3-5-1-1
H2H summary: Progreso wins 0, draws 4, Penarol wins 11

Standings

Primera: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 5 6 41:21 20 50
W L D W W
2 27 14 7 6 42:26 16 49
W L D W D
3 27 13 10 4 32:20 12 49
L W D W D
4 26 14 5 7 44:30 14 47
W W W W L
5 27 11 9 7 36:24 12 42
W D W W W
6 27 13 3 11 39:35 4 42
D W W L L
7 27 12 6 9 34:33 1 42
L W L D W
8 27 10 7 10 30:33 -3 37
D L L L W
9 27 9 7 11 35:32 3 34
L L L L L
10 27 8 8 11 28:30 -2 32
L D D D D
11 27 8 7 12 31:37 -6 31
D W W L D
12 27 8 6 13 25:35 -10 30
L D W D W
13 27 6 11 10 22:30 -8 29
D L D L L
14 27 8 5 14 19:40 -21 29
W D L W W
15 27 4 12 11 22:36 -14 24
L L D D L
16 27 6 4 17 20:38 -18 22
W W L L L
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