Botafogo SP vs Ponte Preta Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
81.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
54.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
61.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
67.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Botafogo SP
Ponte Preta
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Botafogo SP
29 matches
Ponte Preta
29 matches
| Botafogo SP | Statistic | Ponte Preta |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 3 |
| 8 | Draws | 4 |
| 13 | Losses | 22 |
| 32 | Goals For | 17 |
| 36 | Goals Against | 62 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.59 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.14 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 15 |
| 3.38 | Shots On Goal | 3.24 |
| 11.97 | Total Shots | 10.59 |
| 5.93 | Corners | 4.34 |
| 46.1% | Ball Possession | 41.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Botafogo SP expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Ponte Preta in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ponte Preta having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Ponte Preta. Botafogo SP arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 16 with 32 points compared to Ponte Preta in 20 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
Botafogo SP approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 32 points from 29 matches. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 8 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 32:36 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Everton Morelli (7 goals), Hygor (4 goals), Vilar (2 goals), with creative support from Rafael Gava (5 assists), Patrick Brey (3 assists), Kelvin (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Ponte Preta approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 13 points from 29 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 4 draws, and 22 defeats, and the 17:62 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Brandão (3 goals), Elvis (2 goals), William Pottker (2 goals), with creative support from Elvis (3 assists), Diego Tavares (3 assists), Brandão (1 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo SP won 4 times, Ponte Preta won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:11 from Botafogo SP's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.33 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 41:31 | 10 | 51 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 33:24 | 9 | 51 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 49:27 | 22 | 50 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 31:19 | 12 | 50 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 47 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 46 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 42:41 | 1 | 45 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 39:36 | 3 | 44 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 39:29 | 10 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 42 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 40:31 | 9 | 41 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 34:31 | 3 | 41 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 27:22 | 5 | 40 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31:37 | -6 | 35 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 |
Botafogo SP
Home
|
29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 32 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
| 17 | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 30:38 | -8 | 30 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 39:41 | -2 | 28 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21:49 | -28 | 17 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 20 |
Ponte Preta
Away
|
29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 17:62 | -45 | 13 |
W
L
L
L
L
|