Portuguesa FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 27.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56%
-
BTTS Yes
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
27.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Portuguesa FC Win 56%
Draw 18.3%
Estudiantes de Merida FC Win 25.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Portuguesa FC1.34
Estudiantes de Merida FC1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC
WWDLW
37 GF / 28 GA
Estudiantes de Merida FC Estudiantes de Merida FC
WLDWL
31 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.37
Average Goals Scored
1.15
1.04
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
13
BTTS Yes
13
11
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 27 matches
Estudiantes de Merida FC Estudiantes de Merida FC 27 matches
Portuguesa FC Statistic Estudiantes de Merida FC
10 Wins 10
11 Draws 5
6 Losses 12
37 Goals For 31
28 Goals Against 35
1.37 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
1.04 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
13 BTTS Yes 13
19 Over 1.5 19
11 Over 2.5 12
6 Over 3.5 5
11 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Estudiantes de Merida FC. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Portuguesa FC expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Estudiantes de Merida FC in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Estudiantes de Merida FC having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Portuguesa FC Analysis

Portuguesa FC arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 33 points after 21 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 9 draws, and 4 losses, while the 30:20 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Estudiantes de Merida FC Analysis

Estudiantes de Merida FC sit 6 with 32 points after 21 league matches. The record of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 29:27 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.7%)
Predicted formations: Portuguesa FC 4-4-2 / Estudiantes de Merida FC 4-3-3

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 13 5 3 33:18 15 44
W W D W L
2 21 12 7 2 34:15 19 43
W D L W W
3 21 13 4 4 36:21 15 43
W W D L W
4 21 8 9 4 30:20 10 33
D D D D W
5 21 8 8 5 28:19 9 32
D D W D W
6 21 9 5 7 29:27 2 32
L D W D W
7 21 9 4 8 32:30 2 31
D D W L L
8 21 7 9 5 31:21 10 30
W L D D W
9 21 5 10 6 23:26 -3 25
W D D D W
10 21 6 7 8 22:29 -7 25
D L D W L
11 21 6 2 13 24:42 -18 20
L W L L L
12 21 5 3 13 23:34 -11 18
L W L D L
13 21 3 4 14 20:41 -21 13
L L L D L
14 21 2 5 14 16:38 -22 11
L L W D L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga FUTVE 2