Login Register
ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
24.10.2026 11:30
Fratton Park

Portsmouth vs Millwall Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 63%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
63%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Portsmouth Win 37%
Draw 20.2%
Millwall Win 42.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Portsmouth1.24
Millwall1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Portsmouth Portsmouth
WWDLW
18 GF / 21 GA
Millwall Millwall
WLDWL
23 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
1.35
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.41
9
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
10
4.3
Shots on Goal
4.18

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Portsmouth Portsmouth 16 matches
Millwall Millwall 17 matches
Portsmouth Statistic Millwall
5 Wins 6
5 Draws 4
6 Losses 7
18 Goals For 23
21 Goals Against 24
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.35
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41
9 BTTS Yes 8
12 Over 1.5 12
7 Over 2.5 10
5 Over 3.5 6
4 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 4
4.3 Shots On Goal 4.18
16 Total Shots 14.27
6.4 Corners 5.82
53.5% Ball Possession 47.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Millwall. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Portsmouth Analysis

Portsmouth approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 11 points from 9 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats with a 12:13 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Segecic (2 goals), E. Adams (2 goals), Z. Swanson (2 goals), with creative support from R. Kavuma McQueen (2 assists), A. Segecic (1 assists), E. Adams (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Millwall Analysis

Millwall sit 11 with 14 points after 10 league matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 16:16 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by L. Dykes (4 goals), C. Neghli (3 goals), T. Arconte (3 goals), with creative support from C. Neghli (2 assists), Jenson Metcalfe (2 assists), L. Dykes (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Portsmouth won 2 times, Millwall won 6 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:10 from Portsmouth's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.9%)
Predicted formations: Portsmouth 4-2-3-1 / Millwall 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Portsmouth wins 2, draws 0, Millwall wins 6

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 7 2 2 16:8 8 23
L W W W W
2 11 6 4 1 30:12 18 22
W W D D W
3 11 6 4 1 22:16 6 22
D W W D D
4 11 5 5 1 20:11 9 20
W W W D W
5 11 6 2 3 15:12 3 20
W W L L D
6 11 6 1 4 18:16 2 19
W L W W W
7 11 6 3 2 21:10 11 17
D W W L W
8 10 5 2 3 18:15 3 17
W L L W W
9 11 4 5 2 15:12 3 17
L W D D D
10 11 4 3 4 17:16 1 15
L W W D W
11 11 4 3 4 15:14 1 15
W L W L L
12 11 4 3 4 18:18 0 15
D L W D D
13 10 4 2 4 13:13 0 14
W W L D D
14 11 3 5 3 15:16 -1 14
W L D W L
15 11 4 2 5 15:18 -3 14
D W L W W
16 11 4 2 5 12:15 -3 14
L L D W L
17 11 3 5 3 10:15 -5 14
L D D L D
18 11 3 3 5 9:19 -10 12
D L L L W
19 11 2 5 4 18:17 1 11
D W L W L
20 11 3 2 6 10:19 -9 11
W L L L L
21 11 3 0 8 17:21 -4 9
L L L L L
22 11 1 5 5 16:21 -5 8
L D W D L
23 11 1 3 7 9:20 -11 6
L L D D L
24 11 1 1 9 9:24 -15 4
L L L D L
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One