BRAZIL SERIE D
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
82.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
69.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Porto Velho Win 61.3%
Draw 6.7%
Guaporé Win 32%
Expected Goals (xG)
Porto Velho1.63
Guaporé1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Porto Velho Porto Velho
WWDLW
13 GF / 6 GA
Guaporé Guaporé
WLDWL
10 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
2.17
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
4
BTTS Yes
3
4
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Porto Velho Porto Velho 6 matches
Guaporé Guaporé 6 matches
Porto Velho Statistic Guaporé
3 Wins 4
1 Draws 2
2 Losses 0
13 Goals For 10
6 Goals Against 5
2.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
4 BTTS Yes 3
5 Over 1.5 3
4 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Guaporé having the stronger overall control. Guaporé carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 14 points while Porto Velho sit 3 on 10, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Guaporé.

Porto Velho Analysis

Porto Velho come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 10 points from 6 matches. The record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 13:6 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Ruan Costa (4 goals), Yan Philippe (3 goals), Franca (2 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Guaporé Analysis

Guaporé approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 14 points after 6 outings. They have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a 10:5 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Gabriel (4 goals), Daniel Felipe (1 goals), Diogo (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Porto Velho won 4 times, Guaporé won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:10 from Porto Velho's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.82 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.3%)
H2H summary: Porto Velho wins 4, draws 2, Guaporé wins 5
Last matches: Porto Velho
14.06.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Humaitá
13
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Galvez
6
2
W
24.05.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Araguaína
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Independência
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Independência
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Guaporé
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Araguaína
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Galvez
4
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Humaitá
5
1
W
26.07.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Mixto
0
3
L
20.07.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Capital Brasilia
0
3
L
12.07.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Goiânia
2
2
D
05.07.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Aparecidense
0
7
L
28.06.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Goianésia
0
0
D
14.06.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Luverdense
0
0
D
07.06.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Ceilândia
0
3
L
31.05.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Ceilândia
0
2
L
24.05.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Luverdense
0
1
L
18.05.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Goianésia
1
1
D
10.05.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Aparecidense
3
1
W
Last matches: Guaporé
20.06.26
Ser
Guaporé
Monte Roraima
2
3
L
14.06.26
Ser
Guaporé
Independência
2
2
D
30.05.26
Ser
Guaporé
Araguaína
3
2
W
23.05.26
Ser
Guaporé
Humaitá
4
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Guaporé
Galvez
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Guaporé
Galvez
3
3
D
25.04.26
Ser
Guaporé
Porto Velho
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Guaporé
Humaitá
3
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Guaporé
Araguaína
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Guaporé
Independência
1
0
W
H2H: Porto Velho vs Guaporé
17.05.26
H2H
Porto Velho
Guaporé
0
0
D
25.04.26
H2H
Guaporé
Porto Velho
1
0
L
18.03.26
H2H
Porto Velho
Guaporé
0
1
L
15.03.26
H2H
Guaporé
Porto Velho
2
1
L
01.03.26
H2H
Porto Velho
Guaporé
2
0
W
04.02.26
H2H
Guaporé
Porto Velho
2
2
D
16.04.25
H2H
Porto Velho
Guaporé
0
1
L
13.04.25
H2H
Guaporé
Porto Velho
1
2
W
26.03.25
H2H
Guaporé
Porto Velho
0
1
W
05.03.25
H2H
Porto Velho
Guaporé
2
1
W
08.04.23
H2H
Guaporé
Porto Velho
1
0
L
Last matches: Porto Velho
14.06.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Humaitá
13
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Independência
2
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Araguaína
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Galvez
4
0
W
26.07.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Mixto
0
3
L
12.07.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Goiânia
2
2
D
28.06.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Goianésia
0
0
D
14.06.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Luverdense
0
0
D
31.05.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Ceilândia
0
2
L
10.05.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Aparecidense
3
1
W
26.04.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Capital Brasilia
0
1
L
H2H at home: Porto Velho
17.05.26
H2H
Porto Velho
Guaporé
0
0
D
18.03.26
H2H
Porto Velho
Guaporé
0
1
L
01.03.26
H2H
Porto Velho
Guaporé
2
0
W
16.04.25
H2H
Porto Velho
Guaporé
0
1
L
05.03.25
H2H
Porto Velho
Guaporé
2
1
W
Last matches: Guaporé
20.06.26
Ser
Guaporé
Monte Roraima
2
3
L
14.06.26
Ser
Guaporé
Independência
2
2
D
23.05.26
Ser
Guaporé
Humaitá
4
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Guaporé
Galvez
3
3
D
12.04.26
Ser
Guaporé
Araguaína
1
1
D
H2H away: Guaporé
17.05.26
H2H
Porto Velho
Guaporé
0
0
D
18.03.26
H2H
Porto Velho
Guaporé
0
1
W
01.03.26
H2H
Porto Velho
Guaporé
2
0
L
16.04.25
H2H
Porto Velho
Guaporé
0
1
W
05.03.25
H2H
Porto Velho
Guaporé
2
1
L

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)