Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
69.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Portland Timbers
Seattle Sounders
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Portland Timbers
22 matches
Seattle Sounders
24 matches
| Portland Timbers | Statistic | Seattle Sounders |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 13 |
| 5 | Draws | 3 |
| 10 | Losses | 8 |
| 39 | Goals For | 36 |
| 41 | Goals Against | 29 |
| 1.77 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 1.86 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.76 | Shots On Goal | 4.8 |
| 13.41 | Total Shots | 12.7 |
| 5.06 | Corners | 4.5 |
| 51.2% | Ball Possession | 51.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Seattle Sounders arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Seattle Sounders. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Portland Timbers expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Seattle Sounders in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Seattle Sounders having the stronger overall control.
Portland Timbers sit 12 with 18 points after 16 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, while the 29:31 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Kevin Kelsy (8 goals), Cole Bassett (3 goals), Kristoffer Velde (2 goals), with creative support from David Pereira Da Costa (5 assists), Kristoffer Velde (2 assists), Brandon Bye (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Seattle Sounders approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 24 points from 15 matches. Their record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 19:19, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Paul Rothrock (3 goals), Albert Rusnák (2 goals), Jesús Ferreira (2 goals), with creative support from Albert Rusnák (3 assists), Jordan Morris (2 assists), Jesús Ferreira (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Portland Timbers won 7 times, Seattle Sounders won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:17 from Portland Timbers's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
Portland Timbers
5
4
6
7
3
5
Lineups
Portland Timbers
Austin
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles FC
Portland Timbers
San Diego
Portland Timbers
Chicago Fire
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers
FC Dallas
Portland Timbers
Seattle Sounders
Portland Timbers
San Jose Earthquakes
Portland Timbers
Inter Miami
Portland Timbers
CF Montreal
Portland Timbers
Sporting Kansas City
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers
San Diego
Portland Timbers
Minnesota United FC
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles FC
Portland Timbers
Vancouver Whitecaps
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles Galaxy
Portland Timbers
Houston Dynamo
Portland Timbers
Vancouver Whitecaps
Portland Timbers
Colorado Rapids
Seattle Sounders
Chicago Fire
Seattle Sounders
FC Cincinnati
Seattle Sounders
Austin
Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps
Seattle Sounders
Philadelphia Union
Seattle Sounders
Austin
Seattle Sounders
Portland Timbers
Seattle Sounders
Los Angeles FC
Seattle Sounders
Los Angeles Galaxy
Seattle Sounders
San Jose Earthquakes
Seattle Sounders
San Diego
Seattle Sounders
Sporting Kansas City
Seattle Sounders
FC Dallas
Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City
Seattle Sounders
Tigres UANL
Seattle Sounders
Tigres UANL
Seattle Sounders
Houston Dynamo
Seattle Sounders
Minnesota United FC
Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps
Seattle Sounders
San Jose Earthquakes
Portland Timbers
Austin
Portland Timbers
San Diego
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers
FC Dallas
Portland Timbers
San Jose Earthquakes
Portland Timbers
Sporting Kansas City
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles FC
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles Galaxy
Portland Timbers
Vancouver Whitecaps
Portland Timbers
Columbus Crew
Portland Timbers
DC United
Seattle Sounders
FC Cincinnati
Seattle Sounders
Philadelphia Union
Seattle Sounders
Austin
Seattle Sounders
Los Angeles FC
Seattle Sounders
Sporting Kansas City
Seattle Sounders
Tigres UANL
Seattle Sounders
Houston Dynamo
Seattle Sounders
Minnesota United FC
Seattle Sounders
San Jose Earthquakes
Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps
Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City
Seattle Sounders
Real Salt Lake
Seattle Sounders
FC Kharkiv
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 45:18 | 27 | 40 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 21 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 30:26 | 4 | 38 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 36:22 | 14 | 36 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 39:33 | 6 | 33 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 38:34 | 4 | 33 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 30:27 | 3 | 33 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 21 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 30:28 | 2 | 28 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 28 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 9 |
Portland Timbers
Home
|
21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 38:37 | 1 | 28 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
| 10 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 27:29 | -2 | 28 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 37:32 | 5 | 27 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 |
Seattle Sounders
Away
|
21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 24:29 | -5 | 26 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
| 13 | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 27:32 | -5 | 26 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 26:40 | -14 | 21 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 20:51 | -31 | 15 |
L
D
L
L
L
|