🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
02.08.2026 02:45
Providence Park
Referee: Joseph Dickerson, USA
Portland Timbers
Match Timeline
Seattle Sounders
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
7'
P. Arriola ↔ K. Kossa-Rienzi
Seattle Sounders
🟨
25'
Peter Kingston
Seattle Sounders
27'
K. Kossa-Rienzi
Seattle Sounders
🟨
30'
Kamal Miller
Portland Timbers
41'
K. Kelsy · Assist: K. Velde
Portland Timbers
🟨
45+5'
Kevin Kelsy
Portland Timbers
🔄
46'
P. Kingston ↔ S. Gomez
Seattle Sounders
🔄
65'
A. Lassiter ↔ Antony
Portland Timbers
🟨
71'
Sebastian Gomez
Seattle Sounders
🔄
73'
Kim Kee-Hee ↔ A. Roldan
Seattle Sounders
🔄
73'
O. De Rosario ↔ D. Musovski
Seattle Sounders
82'
B. Bye · Assist: D. Da Costa
Portland Timbers
🔄
84'
↔ A. Lopez
Seattle Sounders
🔄
88'
C. Bassett ↔ J. Caicedo
Portland Timbers
🔄
88'
K. Kelsy ↔ I. Smith
Portland Timbers
🔄
90+4'
K. Velde ↔ O. Fernandez
Portland Timbers

Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.7%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Portland Timbers Win 69.7%
Draw 6.9%
Seattle Sounders Win 23.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Portland Timbers1.55
Seattle Sounders1.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
WWDLW
39 GF / 41 GA
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
WLDWL
36 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.77
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.86
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
15
BTTS Yes
12
15
Over 2.5
13
4.76
Shots on Goal
4.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 22 matches
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 24 matches
Portland Timbers Statistic Seattle Sounders
7 Wins 13
5 Draws 3
10 Losses 8
39 Goals For 36
41 Goals Against 29
1.77 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.86 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
15 BTTS Yes 12
20 Over 1.5 18
15 Over 2.5 13
12 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 7
6 Failed To Score 6
4.76 Shots On Goal 4.8
13.41 Total Shots 12.7
5.12 Corners 4.5
51.2% Ball Possession 51.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Seattle Sounders arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Seattle Sounders. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Portland Timbers expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Seattle Sounders in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Seattle Sounders having the stronger overall control.

Portland Timbers Analysis

Portland Timbers sit 12 with 18 points after 16 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, while the 29:31 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Kevin Kelsy (8 goals), Cole Bassett (3 goals), Kristoffer Velde (2 goals), with creative support from David Pereira Da Costa (5 assists), Kristoffer Velde (2 assists), Brandon Bye (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Seattle Sounders Analysis

Seattle Sounders approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 24 points from 15 matches. Their record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 19:19, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Paul Rothrock (3 goals), Albert Rusnák (2 goals), Jesús Ferreira (2 goals), with creative support from Albert Rusnák (3 assists), Jordan Morris (2 assists), Jesús Ferreira (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Portland Timbers won 7 times, Seattle Sounders won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:17 from Portland Timbers's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.1%)
Predicted formations: Portland Timbers 4-1-4-1 / Seattle Sounders 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Portland Timbers wins 7, draws 5, Seattle Sounders wins 3

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 14 4 5 52:21 31 46
W L W W L
2 24 13 4 7 32:27 5 43
W D D L W
3 25 11 7 7 40:24 16 40
W D D D L
4 24 11 7 6 47:41 6 40
W W D L W
5 24 11 5 8 43:36 7 38
W D D L L
6 24 10 8 6 38:33 5 38
D W D W D
7 24 10 2 12 32:32 0 32
D L W L W
8 24 9 5 10 46:45 1 32
D W L D W
9 24 8 6 10 42:37 5 30
L L W W L
10 23 8 5 10 37:37 0 29
L D L L L
11 24 7 8 9 35:39 -4 29
L L D W L
12 25 7 8 10 30:39 -9 29
L W L D W
13 22 7 6 9 24:29 -5 27
D D D L L
14 24 6 8 10 30:43 -13 26
D D W D W
15 23 4 3 16 23:58 -35 15
L L L D L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)