Portland Timbers vs San Diego Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
78.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Portland Timbers
San Diego
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Portland Timbers
24 matches
San Diego
24 matches
| Portland Timbers | Statistic | San Diego |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 9 |
| 5 | Draws | 6 |
| 11 | Losses | 9 |
| 42 | Goals For | 42 |
| 44 | Goals Against | 37 |
| 1.75 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.75 |
| 1.83 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.54 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.63 | Shots On Goal | 4.26 |
| 13.32 | Total Shots | 11.35 |
| 5 | Corners | 4.74 |
| 51.9% | Ball Possession | 59.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights San Diego's more proactive style and Portland Timbers's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors San Diego. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Portland Timbers expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and San Diego in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward San Diego having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Portland Timbers are currently 8 in the standings with 24 points from 18 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, while the 33:33 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Kevin Kelsy (9 goals), Cole Bassett (3 goals), Felipe Mora (3 goals), with creative support from David Pereira Da Costa (6 assists), Kristoffer Velde (4 assists), Brandon Bye (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
San Diego sit 13 with 21 points after 18 league matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 32:29 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Marcus Ingvartsen (7 goals), Anders Dreyer (3 goals), David Vazquez (3 goals), with creative support from Anders Dreyer (4 assists), Pedro Soma (2 assists), Onni Valakari (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Portland Timbers won 3 times, San Diego won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:14 from Portland Timbers's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 56:23 | 33 | 49 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 34:30 | 4 | 44 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 45:36 | 9 | 44 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 49:42 | 7 | 44 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 46:38 | 8 | 42 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 43:29 | 14 | 41 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 36:35 | 1 | 36 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 34:42 | -8 | 33 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 |
Portland Timbers
Home
|
26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 47:48 | -1 | 32 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
| 10 |
San Diego
Away
|
25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 42:42 | 0 | 30 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
| 11 | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:44 | -12 | 30 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 37:42 | -5 | 29 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 28:33 | -5 | 29 |
D
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 39:46 | -7 | 29 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 29:63 | -34 | 18 |
L
W
L
L
L
|