🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
20.08.2026 02:30
Providence Park
Referee: R. Vazquez
Portland Timbers
Match Timeline
San Diego
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
17'
Ariel Lassiter
Portland Timbers
29'
K. Velde · Assist: C. Bassett
Portland Timbers
45'
Gabriel Pirani · Assist: L. Morgan
San Diego
51'
A. Lassiter · Assist: J. Fory
Portland Timbers
🔄
58'
O. Valakari ↔ A. Alvarado Jr
San Diego
🔄
59'
A. Mighten ↔ E. Achouri
San Diego
🔄
62'
B. Bye ↔ E. Miller
Portland Timbers
68'
D. Da Costa · Assist: K. Velde
Portland Timbers
🔄
74'
C. Bassett ↔ J. Ortiz
Portland Timbers
🔄
74'
K. Velde ↔ Antony
Portland Timbers
🔄
74'
K. Sargeant ↔ L. Bombino
San Diego
🔄
74'
D. Thorhallsson ↔ O. Verhoeven
San Diego
🔄
74'
M. Ingvartsen ↔ A. Pellegrino
San Diego
🔄
83'
D. Da Costa ↔ D. Chara
Portland Timbers
🔄
83'
A. Lassiter ↔ V. Janssen
Portland Timbers
🟨
90+6'
Kevin Kelsy
Portland Timbers
🟨
90+1'
Oscar Verhoeven
San Diego

Portland Timbers vs San Diego Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 78.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
78.6%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Portland Timbers Win 78.6%
Draw 5.8%
San Diego Win 15.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Portland Timbers1.67
San Diego1.78
Recent Form (Last 5)
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
WWDLW
42 GF / 44 GA
San Diego San Diego
WLDWL
42 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
1.75
1.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.54
17
BTTS Yes
12
17
Over 2.5
14
4.63
Shots on Goal
4.26

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 24 matches
San Diego San Diego 24 matches
Portland Timbers Statistic San Diego
8 Wins 9
5 Draws 6
11 Losses 9
42 Goals For 42
44 Goals Against 37
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.75
1.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.54
17 BTTS Yes 12
22 Over 1.5 18
17 Over 2.5 14
12 Over 3.5 11
2 Clean Sheets 7
6 Failed To Score 5
4.63 Shots On Goal 4.26
13.32 Total Shots 11.35
5 Corners 4.74
51.9% Ball Possession 59.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights San Diego's more proactive style and Portland Timbers's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors San Diego. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Portland Timbers expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and San Diego in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward San Diego having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Portland Timbers Analysis

Portland Timbers are currently 8 in the standings with 24 points from 18 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, while the 33:33 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Kevin Kelsy (9 goals), Cole Bassett (3 goals), Felipe Mora (3 goals), with creative support from David Pereira Da Costa (6 assists), Kristoffer Velde (4 assists), Brandon Bye (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

San Diego Analysis

San Diego sit 13 with 21 points after 18 league matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 32:29 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Marcus Ingvartsen (7 goals), Anders Dreyer (3 goals), David Vazquez (3 goals), with creative support from Anders Dreyer (4 assists), Pedro Soma (2 assists), Onni Valakari (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Portland Timbers won 3 times, San Diego won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:14 from Portland Timbers's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.3%)
Predicted formations: Portland Timbers 4-1-4-1 / San Diego 4-3-3
Missing players: Portland Timbers 4, San Diego 2
H2H summary: Portland Timbers wins 3, draws 2, San Diego wins 3

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 15 4 6 56:23 33 49
W L W L W
2 26 13 5 8 34:30 4 44
D L W D D
3 26 12 8 6 45:36 9 44
W W D W D
4 26 12 8 6 49:42 7 44
D W W W D
5 26 12 6 8 46:38 8 42
D W W D D
6 27 11 8 8 43:29 14 41
D L W D D
7 26 11 3 12 36:35 1 36
D W D L W
8 27 8 9 10 34:42 -8 33
W D L W L
9 26 9 5 12 47:48 -1 32
L L D W L
10 25 8 6 11 42:42 0 30
L L L W W
11 26 7 9 10 32:44 -12 30
D W D D W
12 25 8 5 12 37:42 -5 29
L L L D L
13 24 7 8 9 28:33 -5 29
D D D D D
14 26 7 8 11 39:46 -7 29
L L L L D
15 25 5 3 17 29:63 -34 18
L W L L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)