🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
06.09.2026 02:30
Providence Park
Referee: F. Dujic
Portland Timbers
Match Timeline
Minnesota United FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
V. Janssen
Portland Timbers
20'
D. Callender
Portland Timbers
🟨
23'
Michael Boxall
Minnesota United FC
26'
V. Janssen · Assist: D. Da Costa
Portland Timbers
32'
M. Caldeira · Assist: J. Pereyra
Minnesota United FC
🔄
36'
J. Caicedo ↔ J. Ortiz
Portland Timbers
37'
A. Markanich · Assist: K. Yeboah
Minnesota United FC
🟨
45+7'
Finn Surman
Portland Timbers
50'
M. Caldeira
Minnesota United FC
55'
V. Janssen · Assist: A. Lassiter
Portland Timbers
🔄
68'
V. Janssen ↔ D. Chara
Portland Timbers
🔄
68'
A. Lassiter ↔ Antony
Portland Timbers
71'
K. Velde · Assist: Antony
Portland Timbers
🔄
72'
W. Trapp ↔ N. Triantis
Minnesota United FC
🔄
72'
M. Caldeira ↔ T. Chancalay
Minnesota United FC
🟨
74'
Jefferson Díaz
Minnesota United FC
🔄
78'
K. Yeboah ↔ M. Malone
Minnesota United FC
🔄
81'
E. Miller ↔ J. Waterman
Portland Timbers
🔄
82'
D. Da Costa ↔ I. Smith
Portland Timbers
🔄
88'
O. Gene ↔ C. Harvey
Minnesota United FC
🔄
88'
A. Markanich ↔ M. Gonzalez
Minnesota United FC
🟨
90+6'
Morris Duggan
Minnesota United FC
90'
T. Chancalay · Assist: C. Harvey
Minnesota United FC

Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 48.9%
Odds 2.48
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.51
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
48.9%
2.48
BTTS Yes
88%
1.44
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.51
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.16
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
7.50
Probability Distribution
Portland Timbers Win 48.9%
Draw 13%
Minnesota United FC Win 38.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Portland Timbers1.59
Minnesota United FC1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
WWDLW
47 GF / 48 GA
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC
WLDWL
34 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.74
Average Goals Scored
1.36
1.78
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
20
BTTS Yes
15
19
Over 2.5
14
4.55
Shots on Goal
4.95

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 27 matches
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 25 matches
Portland Timbers Statistic Minnesota United FC
9 Wins 8
6 Draws 9
12 Losses 8
47 Goals For 34
48 Goals Against 34
1.74 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
1.78 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
20 BTTS Yes 15
25 Over 1.5 18
19 Over 2.5 14
13 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 7
6 Failed To Score 6
4.55 Shots On Goal 4.95
12.95 Total Shots 13.59
4.59 Corners 5.68
50.3% Ball Possession 46.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Portland Timbers's more proactive style and Minnesota United FC's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Minnesota United FC. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Portland Timbers expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Minnesota United FC in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Minnesota United FC having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Portland Timbers Analysis

So far, Portland Timbers have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 28 points from 21 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, while the 38:37 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Kevin Kelsy (9 goals), Kristoffer Velde (3 goals), Cole Bassett (3 goals), with creative support from David Pereira Da Costa (6 assists), Kristoffer Velde (5 assists), Brandon Bye (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Minnesota United FC Analysis

Minnesota United FC sit 10 with 28 points after 21 league matches. The record of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 27:29 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Kelvin Yeboah (6 goals), Anthony Markanich (4 goals), Joaquín Pereyra (1 goals), with creative support from Joaquín Pereyra (4 assists), Tomás Chancalay (3 assists), James Rodríguez (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Portland Timbers won 3 times, Minnesota United FC won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:26 from Portland Timbers's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.1%)
Predicted formations: Portland Timbers 4-2-3-1 / Minnesota United FC 3-4-1-2
Missing players: Portland Timbers 5, Minnesota United FC 3
H2H summary: Portland Timbers wins 3, draws 4, Minnesota United FC wins 8

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 15 4 6 56:23 33 49
W L W L W
2 26 13 5 8 34:30 4 44
D L W D D
3 26 12 8 6 45:36 9 44
W W D W D
4 26 12 8 6 49:42 7 44
D W W W D
5 26 12 6 8 46:38 8 42
D W W D D
6 27 11 8 8 43:29 14 41
D L W D D
7 26 11 3 12 36:35 1 36
D W D L W
8 27 8 9 10 34:42 -8 33
W D L W L
9 26 9 5 12 47:48 -1 32
L L D W L
10 25 8 6 11 42:42 0 30
L L L W W
11 26 7 9 10 32:44 -12 30
D W D D W
12 25 8 5 12 37:42 -5 29
L L L D L
13 24 7 8 9 28:33 -5 29
D D D D D
14 26 7 8 11 39:46 -7 29
L L L L D
15 25 5 3 17 29:63 -34 18
L W L L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)