Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
82.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
53.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Ponte Preta
Londrina
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ponte Preta
8 matches
Londrina
8 matches
| Ponte Preta | Statistic | Londrina |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 1 |
| 1 | Draws | 2 |
| 5 | Losses | 5 |
| 6 | Goals For | 8 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 14 |
| 0.75 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.75 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 2.75 |
| 11.13 | Total Shots | 11.5 |
| 5.25 | Corners | 6.88 |
| 45.5% | Ball Possession | 47.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ponte Preta expected to line up in 4-3-2-1 and Londrina in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Londrina having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Londrina. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Ponte Preta sit 18 with 7 points after 8 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 6:12 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Willian Pottker (2 goals), Bryan Borges (1 goals), Danilo Barcelos (1 goals), with creative support from Diego Tavares (1 assists), Luis Phelipe (1 assists), Brandao (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Londrina approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 5 points from 8 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 8:14, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Bruno Santos (3 goals), Andre Luiz (1 goals), E. Rodriguez (1 goals), with creative support from Bruno Santos (1 assists), Iago (1 assists), Vitinho Mota (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Ponte Preta won 7 times, Londrina won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:16 from Ponte Preta's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.
Ponte Preta
5
9
7
6
4
4
Lineups
Ponte Preta
Juventude
Ponte Preta
Cuiaba
Ponte Preta
Botafogo SP
Ponte Preta
CRB
Ponte Preta
Sport Recife
Ponte Preta
São Bernardo
Ponte Preta
America Mineiro
Ponte Preta
Avai
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
Nautico Recife
Ponte Preta
Ceara
Ponte Preta
Athletic Club
Londrina
Athletic Club
Londrina
Avai
Londrina
Criciuma
Londrina
Vila Nova
Londrina
Fortaleza EC
Londrina
São Bernardo
Londrina
Operario-PR
Londrina
Juventude
Londrina
Ceara
Londrina
Atletico Goianiense
Londrina
Sport Recife
Londrina
Goias
Londrina
Novorizontino
Ponte Preta
Cuiaba
Ponte Preta
Botafogo SP
Ponte Preta
Sport Recife
Ponte Preta
America Mineiro
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
Ceara
Londrina
Criciuma
Londrina
Fortaleza EC
Londrina
Operario-PR
Londrina
Juventude
Londrina
Atletico Goianiense
Londrina
Novorizontino
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 20:10 | 10 | 25 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 25 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15:14 | 1 | 21 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20:13 | 7 | 21 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 15:11 | 4 | 21 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 18:14 | 4 | 20 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13:8 | 5 | 19 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:17 | -2 | 19 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 19 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 19 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 18 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 18 |
D
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 17 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22:23 | -1 | 15 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 16 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13:13 | 0 | 13 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 |
Londrina
Away
|
13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 15:22 | -7 | 11 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
| 18 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:20 | -6 | 10 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 |
Ponte Preta
Home
|
13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10:25 | -15 | 8 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
| 20 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10:24 | -14 | 6 |
W
L
L
L
D
|