BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Moisés Lucarelli
Referee: M. de Lima
Ponte Preta
Match Timeline
Cuiaba
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
7'
David
Cuiaba
36'
Joao Basso · Assist: Pepe
Cuiaba
🟨
40'
Danilo Barcelos
Ponte Preta
🟨
41'
Lucas Cunha
Ponte Preta
45'
Tarik
Ponte Preta
🔄
46'
Jonathan Cafu ↔ Baianinho
Ponte Preta
🔄
56'
David Miguel ↔ Luis Soares
Cuiaba
🔄
56'
Vinicius Peixoto ↔ Kauan Cristtyan
Cuiaba
🔄
64'
Calebe Costa ↔ Weverson
Cuiaba
🔄
64'
Marlon ↔ Eric Melo
Cuiaba
65'
Kauan Cristtyan · Assist: Rodrigo Rodrigues
Cuiaba
🔄
69'
Leo Gomes ↔ Miguel Morais
Ponte Preta
🔄
69'
David da Hora ↔ Gustavo Telles
Ponte Preta
🔄
75'
Danilo Barcelos ↔ Kevyson
Ponte Preta
🟨
76'
William Pottker
Ponte Preta
🔄
83'
Pepe ↔ Luiz Otavio
Cuiaba
🔄
84'
Willian Pottker ↔ Brandao
Ponte Preta
🟨
85'
Elvis
Ponte Preta
🟥
90+6'
Daniel Baianinho
Ponte Preta
VAR
90+6'
Daniel Baianinho
Ponte Preta

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 76.3%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 55%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
76.3%
-
BTTS No
55%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-3
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ponte Preta Win 23.7%
Draw 25.7%
Cuiaba Win 50.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ponte Preta0.67
Cuiaba1.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ponte Preta Ponte Preta
WWDLW
9 GF / 20 GA
Cuiaba Cuiaba
WLDWL
6 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
0.82
Average Goals Scored
0.55
1.82
Average Goals Conceded
0.45
6
BTTS Yes
2
6
Over 2.5
0
3.82
Shots on Goal
4.09

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 11 matches
Cuiaba Cuiaba 11 matches
Ponte Preta Statistic Cuiaba
2 Wins 2
2 Draws 7
7 Losses 2
9 Goals For 6
20 Goals Against 5
0.82 Avg Goals Scored 0.55
1.82 Avg Goals Conceded 0.45
6 BTTS Yes 2
7 Over 1.5 5
6 Over 2.5 0
3 Over 3.5 0
2 Clean Sheets 7
4 Failed To Score 7
3.82 Shots On Goal 4.09
11.09 Total Shots 12
5.73 Corners 3.36
44.7% Ball Possession 45.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Cuiaba's more proactive style and Ponte Preta's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Cuiaba. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Ponte Preta have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Ponte Preta Analysis

With 8 points from 11 games and a place of 19, Ponte Preta still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 9:20, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Willian Pottker (2 goals), Bryan Borges (1 goals), Danilo Barcelos (1 goals), with creative support from Diego Tavares (3 assists), Elvis (1 assists), Luis Phelipe (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cuiaba Analysis

With 13 points from 11 games and a place of 15, Cuiaba still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, together with goals at 6:5, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Hernandes (2 goals), Eric (1 goals), Joao Basso (1 goals), with creative support from Hernandes (1 assists), Joao Basso (1 assists), Pepê (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Ponte Preta won 2 times, Cuiaba won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:8 from Ponte Preta's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.17 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (76.3%)
Predicted formations: Ponte Preta 3-4-2-1 / Cuiaba 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Ponte Preta wins 2, draws 2, Cuiaba wins 2
Stats
Ponte Preta Ponte Preta
Cuiaba Cuiaba
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
0
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
2
7 Corner Kicks 3
18 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 0
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Goal 5
8 Shots off Goal 0
2 Blocked Shots 2
6 Shots insidebox 5
7 Shots outsidebox 2
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
337 Total passes 407
259 Passes accurate 332
1.12 expected_goals 0.57
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Ponte Preta
Formation
Cuiaba
Diogo Silva
Diogo Silva
Julio
Julio
S. Palacios
S. Palacios
Lucas Cunha
Lucas Cunha
Danilo Barcelos
Danilo Barcelos
Tarik
Tarik
Leo Gomes
Leo Gomes
Jonathan Cafu
Jonathan Cafu
Elvis
Elvis
David da Hora
David da Hora
Willian Pottker
Willian Pottker
Marcelo Carne
Marcelo Carne
Raylan
Raylan
Joao Basso
Joao Basso
Vitor Mendes
Vitor Mendes
Marlon
Marlon
Raul
Raul
Pepe
🎯
Pepe
Calebe Costa
Calebe Costa
David Miguel
David Miguel
Rodrigo Rodrigues
🎯
Rodrigo Rodrigues
Vinicius Peixoto
Vinicius Peixoto
Ponte Preta 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
12
Diogo Silva
G
20
Julio
D
23
S. Palacios
D
3
Lucas Cunha
🟨 41'
D
14
Danilo Barcelos
↓ 75' 🟨 40'
D
38
Tarik
⚽ 45'
M
16
Leo Gomes
↓ 69'
M
19
Jonathan Cafu
↓ 46'
M
10
Elvis
🟨 85'
M
18
David da Hora
↓ 69'
M
9
Willian Pottker
↓ 84' 🟨 76'
F
Substitutes
30
Vinicius Ferrari
13
Diego Porfirio
D
26
Baianinho
↑ 46' 🟥 90+6'
F
90
Rodriguinho
F
21
Brandao
↑ 84'
F
17
Miguel Morais
↑ 69'
M
4
M. L. Diego
D
35
Gustavo Telles
↑ 69'
M
22
Thalys
D
32
Kevyson
↑ 75'
D
2
Lucas Justen
D
6
Juan Rodrigues
D
Cuiaba 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
31
Marcelo Carne
G
37
Raylan
D
13
Joao Basso
⚽ 36'
D
4
Vitor Mendes
D
6
Marlon
↓ 64'
D
30
Raul
M
8
Pepe
🎯 36' ↓ 83'
M
5
Calebe Costa
↓ 64'
M
88
David Miguel
↓ 56' 🟨 7'
M
27
Rodrigo Rodrigues
🎯 65'
M
29
Vinicius Peixoto
↓ 56'
F
Substitutes
1
Joao Carlos
G
23
Marcos Junior
F
97
Luiz Otavio
↑ 83'
53
Weverson
↑ 64'
M
91
Luis Soares
↑ 56'
D
26
Joao Silva
D
19
Mateus Santos
F
17
Victor Barbara
M
14
Eric Melo
↑ 64'
D
41
Kauan Cristtyan
⚽ 65' ↑ 56'
F
Last matches: Ponte Preta
28.07.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Athletic Club
1
1
D
22.07.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Operario-PR
2
3
L
18.07.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Goias
1
2
L
08.07.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Criciuma
1
2
L
03.07.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Fortaleza EC
0
2
L
28.06.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Atletico Goianiense
0
2
L
22.06.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Novorizontino
0
2
L
14.06.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Juventude
0
3
L
01.06.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Botafogo SP
0
0
D
24.05.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
CRB
2
4
L
18.05.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Londrina
1
4
L
09.05.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Sport Recife
1
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
São Bernardo
0
3
L
24.04.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
America Mineiro
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Avai
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Nautico Recife
0
1
L
02.04.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Ceara
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Athletic Club
1
2
L
Last matches: Cuiaba
27.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Sport Recife
1
1
D
23.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
L
17.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Juventude
0
2
L
12.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
São Bernardo
2
2
D
02.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
America Mineiro
1
0
W
25.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Londrina
2
2
D
21.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Avai
0
1
L
14.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Vila Nova
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
CRB
2
0
W
22.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Nautico Recife
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Novorizontino
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Athletic Club
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Criciuma
1
1
D
23.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Goias
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Operario-PR
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Ceara
0
2
L
31.03.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
21.03.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Sport Recife
0
0
D
H2H: Ponte Preta vs Cuiaba
09.06.26
H2H
Ponte Preta
Cuiaba
1
2
L
11.01.21
H2H
Ponte Preta
Cuiaba
2
2
D
09.10.20
H2H
Cuiaba
Ponte Preta
2
1
L
28.09.19
H2H
Ponte Preta
Cuiaba
3
0
W
01.06.19
H2H
Cuiaba
Ponte Preta
1
3
W
02.03.17
H2H
Ponte Preta
Cuiaba
1
1
D
Last matches: Ponte Preta
28.07.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Athletic Club
1
1
D
18.07.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Goias
1
2
L
08.07.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Criciuma
1
2
L
22.06.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Novorizontino
0
2
L
01.06.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Botafogo SP
0
0
D
18.05.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Londrina
1
4
L
09.05.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Sport Recife
1
3
L
24.04.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
America Mineiro
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
0
1
L
02.04.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Ceara
1
1
D
H2H at home: Ponte Preta
09.06.26
H2H
Ponte Preta
Cuiaba
1
2
L
11.01.21
H2H
Ponte Preta
Cuiaba
2
2
D
28.09.19
H2H
Ponte Preta
Cuiaba
3
0
W
02.03.17
H2H
Ponte Preta
Cuiaba
1
1
D
Last matches: Cuiaba
27.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Sport Recife
1
1
D
17.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Juventude
0
2
L
12.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
São Bernardo
2
2
D
21.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Avai
0
1
L
22.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Nautico Recife
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Athletic Club
0
0
D
19.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Goias
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Operario-PR
0
0
D
31.03.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
H2H away: Cuiaba
09.06.26
H2H
Ponte Preta
Cuiaba
1
2
W
11.01.21
H2H
Ponte Preta
Cuiaba
2
2
D
28.09.19
H2H
Ponte Preta
Cuiaba
3
0
L
02.03.17
H2H
Ponte Preta
Cuiaba
1
1
D

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 11 7 2 23:12 11 40
D W W W W
2 20 10 5 5 22:12 10 35
W L W W D
3 20 10 5 5 28:25 3 35
L W D W W
4 20 10 4 6 23:19 4 34
W L W L W
5 20 10 4 6 27:24 3 34
L W L L W
6 20 9 6 5 32:19 13 33
W L L L W
7 20 8 7 5 23:20 3 31
W W D W L
8 20 8 5 7 31:32 -1 29
W W W D L
9 20 8 5 7 21:26 -5 29
L D W D W
10 20 6 11 3 25:19 6 29
D D D D L
11 20 6 10 4 19:18 1 28
D W D D L
12 20 7 6 7 28:23 5 27
L L D D L
13 20 7 4 9 24:24 0 25
D W L L D
14 20 5 10 5 15:15 0 25
D L L D W
15 20 6 6 8 24:21 3 24
L W D D W
16 20 5 7 8 20:25 -5 22
W L D D L
17 20 5 5 10 27:31 -4 20
L L D D W
18 20 5 5 10 21:27 -6 20
L W D W L
19 20 2 5 13 14:31 -17 11
W L D D L
20 20 2 3 15 15:39 -24 9
D L L L L
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