Ponte Preta vs Avai Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
75.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
52.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Ponte Preta
Avai
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ponte Preta
23 matches
Avai
23 matches
| Ponte Preta | Statistic | Avai |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 7 |
| 4 | Draws | 5 |
| 17 | Losses | 11 |
| 16 | Goals For | 25 |
| 48 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 0.7 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.09 |
| 2.09 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 3.43 | Shots On Goal | 3.22 |
| 10.52 | Total Shots | 11.04 |
| 4.78 | Corners | 3.7 |
| 42.4% | Ball Possession | 47.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Ponte Preta have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Avai. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ponte Preta expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Avai in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Avai having the stronger overall control.
Ponte Preta approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 10 points from 22 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 16:42, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Elvis (2 goals), Brandão (2 goals), William Pottker (2 goals), with creative support from Elvis (3 assists), Diego Tavares (3 assists), Brandão (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Avai sit 18 with 20 points after 21 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 11 defeats with a 21:28 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Daniel Penha (3 goals), Walace dos Santos França (3 goals), Sorriso (2 goals), with creative support from Jean Lucas (3 assists), Thayllon Roberth (2 assists), Daniel Penha (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ponte Preta won 4 times, Avai won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:14 from Ponte Preta's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 41:31 | 10 | 51 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 33:24 | 9 | 51 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 49:27 | 22 | 50 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 31:19 | 12 | 50 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 47 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 46 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 42:41 | 1 | 45 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 39:36 | 3 | 44 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 39:29 | 10 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 42 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 40:31 | 9 | 41 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 34:31 | 3 | 41 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 27:22 | 5 | 40 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31:37 | -6 | 35 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 32 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 |
Avai
Away
|
29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 30:38 | -8 | 30 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
| 18 | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 39:41 | -2 | 28 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21:49 | -28 | 17 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 20 |
Ponte Preta
Home
|
29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 17:62 | -45 | 13 |
W
L
L
L
L
|