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UGANDA › PREMIER LEAGUE
10.09.2026 13:00
Kiira Road Police Arena

Police vs UPDF Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 50%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 41.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
50%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
41.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Police Win 68.1%
Draw 9.9%
UPDF Win 22.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Police0.7
UPDF0.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Police Police
WWDLW
1 GF / 1 GA
UPDF UPDF
WLDWL
1 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
0.5
Average Goals Scored
0.5
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
1
0
BTTS Yes
1
0
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Police Police 2 matches
UPDF UPDF 2 matches
Police Statistic UPDF
1 Wins 0
0 Draws 1
1 Losses 1
1 Goals For 1
1 Goals Against 2
0.5 Avg Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1
0 BTTS Yes 1
0 Over 1.5 1
0 Over 2.5 1
0 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Police won 3 times, UPDF won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:5 from Police's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.2%)
H2H summary: Police wins 3, draws 2, UPDF wins 0

Standings

Regular Season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 13:3 10 16
W D W W W
2 6 4 2 0 14:3 11 14
W D W W W
3 6 4 2 0 11:2 9 14
W D W D W
4 6 3 2 1 6:2 4 11
D W D L W
5 5 3 1 1 13:2 11 10
W D W W L
6 6 3 1 2 4:4 0 10
W W W D L
7 6 3 0 3 6:9 -3 9
L L L W W
8 4 2 2 0 5:3 2 8
W W D D
9
UPDF Away
6 2 2 2 4:5 -1 8
L W W D L
10 6 2 1 3 9:7 2 7
D W L L W
11 6 2 1 3 4:9 -5 7
D L L W L
12 6 2 1 3 4:10 -6 7
L L W D L
13 5 1 2 2 2:3 -1 5
W L D D L
14 6 1 2 3 4:6 -2 5
L D D L W
15 5 1 1 3 3:7 -4 4
D L L L W
16 6 1 0 5 3:13 -10 3
L W L L L
17 6 0 2 4 3:13 -10 2
L L D L L
18 5 0 1 4 1:8 -7 1
L L L D L