POLAND EKSTRAKLASA
08.08.2026 15:30
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
Referee: Szymon Marciniak, Poland
Pogon Szczecin
Match Timeline
Motor Lublin
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
17'
D. Churlinov
Pogon Szczecin
43'
A. Szalai · Assist: L. Wahlqvist
Pogon Szczecin
🔄
57'
M. Wojciechowski ↔ K. Acosta
Pogon Szczecin
🔄
57'
D. Churlinov ↔ F. Cuic
Pogon Szczecin
🟨
59'
Tin Plavotić
Motor Lublin
🔄
65'
T. Santos ↔ M. Aiko
Motor Lublin
🔄
66'
Leo Borges ↔ B. Mendy
Pogon Szczecin
🟨
68'
Fábio Ronaldo
Motor Lublin
🔄
77'
Fabio Ronaldo ↔ K. Lukoszek
Motor Lublin
🔄
80'
M. Juwara ↔ K. Grosicki
Pogon Szczecin
🔄
80'
P. Mukairu ↔ H. Ali
Pogon Szczecin
🔄
82'
Kikis ↔ P. Meyer
Motor Lublin
🔄
82'
Y. Bourhane ↔ D. Gregorski
Motor Lublin
🟨
84'
Dimitrios Keramitsis
Pogon Szczecin
90'
M. Aiko · Assist: D. Gregorski
Motor Lublin
90'
K. Acosta · Assist: K. Grosicki
Pogon Szczecin

Pogon Szczecin vs Motor Lublin Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 89%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
89%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
77.4%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Pogon Szczecin Win 49.3%
Draw 11%
Motor Lublin Win 39.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Pogon Szczecin1.23
Motor Lublin2.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin
WWDLW
13 GF / 12 GA
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin
WLDWL
24 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
3
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
3
BTTS Yes
7
5
Over 2.5
7
4.5
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 10 matches
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 8 matches
Pogon Szczecin Statistic Motor Lublin
5 Wins 6
1 Draws 1
4 Losses 1
13 Goals For 24
12 Goals Against 9
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 3
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
3 BTTS Yes 7
7 Over 1.5 8
5 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 1
5 Failed To Score 0
4.5 Shots On Goal 6
10.5 Total Shots 16
4.5 Corners 4.5
41% Ball Possession 46.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Pogon Szczecin won 3 times, Motor Lublin won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:8 from Pogon Szczecin's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 4.2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89%)
Predicted formations: Pogon Szczecin 4-2-3-1 / Motor Lublin 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Pogon Szczecin wins 3, draws 0, Motor Lublin wins 2

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 1 1 16:8 8 22
D W W W W
2 9 5 4 0 19:8 11 19
W D W D D
3 8 6 1 1 17:7 10 19
W L W W W
4 9 5 2 2 17:12 5 17
W W D W D
5 8 4 3 1 12:6 6 15
W W D D D
6 9 4 3 2 12:10 2 15
W L W D W
7 9 4 3 2 11:10 1 15
L W W D D
8 9 4 1 4 16:15 1 13
L W W W D
9 8 4 0 4 16:13 3 12
W L L W W
10 8 4 0 4 12:13 -1 12
L L W L W
11 8 3 2 3 9:12 -3 11
W W D L L
12 9 1 6 2 13:13 0 9
D D D L D
13 9 2 2 5 9:14 -5 8
L L L L W
14 9 2 2 5 7:20 -13 8
L L D W D
15 9 1 3 5 11:15 -4 6
L L L D D
16 9 1 3 5 9:15 -6 6
D L L L D
17 8 1 2 5 11:17 -6 5
D L D L L
18 9 1 0 8 12:21 -9 3
L L W L L
Qualifying
EL Qualification
Play-offs
Relegation