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SWEDEN › ETTAN - SöDRA
16.10.2026 17:00
Klostergardens Idrottsplats

Lund vs Trelleborg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 87.4%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
87.4%
- ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 3-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Lund Win 41.8%
Draw 12.7%
Trelleborg Win 45.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lund1.58
Trelleborg1.66
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lund Lund
WWDLW
64 GF / 43 GA
Trelleborg Trelleborg
WLDWL
64 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
1.94
1.23
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
19
BTTS Yes
23
18
Over 2.5
22
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lund Lund 35 matches
Trelleborg Trelleborg 33 matches
Lund Statistic Trelleborg
16 Wins 18
9 Draws 8
10 Losses 7
64 Goals For 64
43 Goals Against 40
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.94
1.23 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
19 BTTS Yes 23
26 Over 1.5 28
18 Over 2.5 22
13 Over 3.5 13
11 Clean Sheets 9
8 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Trelleborg having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Trelleborg. Trelleborg look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Lund Analysis

With 41 points from 25 games and a place of 4, Lund still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 11 wins, 8 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 46:29 goal record continues to suggest mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Trelleborg Analysis

Trelleborg come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 54 points after 25 matches. The return of 16 wins, 6 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 55:28, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 9 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Lund won 0 times, Trelleborg won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:9 from Lund's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.4%)
H2H summary: Lund wins 0, draws 2, Trelleborg wins 2

Standings

South
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 17 6 3 57:28 29 57
W W W W W
2 26 15 3 8 47:30 17 48
W W L L W
3 26 13 8 5 50:36 14 47
D D W W L
4
Lund Home
26 12 8 6 50:32 18 44
W L L L W
5 26 12 8 6 49:37 12 44
W W W W L
6 26 10 9 7 42:38 4 39
D L W D L
7 26 10 8 8 45:41 4 38
L D W W W
8 26 9 7 10 34:40 -6 34
D L L L L
9 26 9 6 11 29:27 2 33
L L L W W
10 26 10 3 13 48:50 -2 33
W L L D W
11 26 8 9 9 33:42 -9 33
L W W L L
12 26 9 5 12 42:51 -9 32
L W L D W
13 26 7 6 13 29:39 -10 27
L L W W L
14 26 7 5 14 33:44 -11 26
D W L L D
15 26 5 9 12 33:47 -14 24
W W L D L
16 26 2 6 18 23:62 -39 12
L L W L D