CZECH-REPUBLIC CZECH LIGA
19.04.2026 16:30
Doosan Arena
Referee: S. Volek
Plzen
Match Timeline
Pardubice
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
40'
P. Adu ↔ T. Ladra
Plzen
🔄
40'
K. Spacil ↔ A. Memic
Plzen
🟨
45+2'
E. Godwin
Pardubice
🔄
46'
A. Sojka ↔ L. Cerv
Plzen
🔄
60'
R. Saarma ↔ T. Boledovic
Pardubice
🔄
61'
G. Botos ↔ A. Tanko
Pardubice
🔄
68'
V. Patrak ↔ V. Samuel
Pardubice
🔄
69'
M. Toure ↔ J. Panos
Plzen
70'
A. Tanko · Assist: T. Jelinek
Pardubice
🔄
76'
C. Souare ↔ D. Vasulin
Plzen
🟥
81'
M. Doski
Plzen
🟨
86'
J. Tredl
Pardubice
🔄
89'
J. Tredl ↔ M. Konecny
Pardubice
🔄
89'
D. Smekal ↔ L. Krobot
Pardubice

Plzen vs Pardubice Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 68.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 68.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
68.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
68.4%
-
Probability Distribution
Plzen Win 57.6%
Draw 13%
Pardubice Win 29.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Plzen1.57
Pardubice1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Plzen Plzen
WWDLW
65 GF / 45 GA
Pardubice Pardubice
WLDWL
35 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.55
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
1.61
21
BTTS Yes
19
21
Over 2.5
14
5.64
Shots on Goal
3.36

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Plzen Plzen 42 matches
Pardubice Pardubice 28 matches
Plzen Statistic Pardubice
19 Wins 9
15 Draws 8
8 Losses 11
65 Goals For 35
45 Goals Against 45
1.55 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 1.61
21 BTTS Yes 19
32 Over 1.5 25
21 Over 2.5 14
9 Over 3.5 8
15 Clean Sheets 3
11 Failed To Score 7
5.64 Shots On Goal 3.36
15.6 Total Shots 10.36
5.36 Corners 4.43
51.3% Ball Possession 46.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Plzen's more proactive style and Pardubice's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Plzen expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Pardubice in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Pardubice having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Pardubice. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Plzen Analysis

Plzen come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 50 points from 28 matches. The record of 14 wins, 8 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 49:33 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through R. Durosinmi (7 goals), D. Visinsky (6 goals), M. Vydra (6 goals), with creative support from A. Memic (7 assists), T. Ladra (6 assists), C. Souare (5 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Pardubice Analysis

Pardubice sit 9 with 35 points after 28 league matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 8 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 35:45 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by V. Patrak (11 goals), Abdullahi Tanko (5 goals), D. Smekal (3 goals), with creative support from Abdullahi Tanko (5 assists), Ryan Mahuta (4 assists), D. Smekal (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Plzen won 8 times, Pardubice won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:11 from Plzen's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.08 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87%)
Predicted formations: Plzen 4-2-3-1 / Pardubice 3-4-3
H2H summary: Plzen wins 8, draws 2, Pardubice wins 2

Standings

1. Liga , Championship Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 35 24 8 3 74:31 43 80
W L W W W
2 35 23 7 6 69:34 35 76
W W D W L
3
Plzen Home
35 18 9 8 60:38 22 63
L W D W W
4 35 16 8 11 50:41 9 56
L W W D L
5 35 16 7 12 45:47 -2 55
W L L D L
6 35 12 10 13 45:39 6 46
L L L L L
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification