CZECH-REPUBLIC CZECH LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Doosan Arena
Referee: J. Wulkan
Plzen
Match Timeline
FK Jablonec
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
9'
Matěj Polidar
FK Jablonec
14'
D. Krcik
Plzen
21'
D. Visinsky · Assist: T. Ladra
Plzen
34'
D. Krcik
Plzen
🟨
38'
Samuel Obinaya
FK Jablonec
39'
A. Sojka · Assist: M. Vydra
Plzen
🔄
46'
S. Nebyla ↔ E. Sobol
FK Jablonec
🔄
46'
F. Zorvan ↔ N. Okeke
FK Jablonec
48'
M. Vydra
Plzen
🔄
62'
M. Vydra ↔ P. Adu
Plzen
🔄
62'
D. Visinsky ↔ M. Toure
Plzen
🔄
62'
M. Malensek ↔ J. Chramosta
FK Jablonec
🔄
74'
M. Polidar ↔ E. Singhateh
FK Jablonec
🔄
75'
A. Sojka ↔ C. Souare
Plzen
🔄
75'
M. Valenta ↔ K. Spacil
Plzen
🔄
75'
N. Innocenti ↔ D. Nykrin
FK Jablonec
🔄
85'
A. Memic ↔ A. Kadlec
Plzen

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 69.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 60.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
69.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
60.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Plzen Win 70%
Draw 7.6%
FK Jablonec Win 22.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Plzen1.4
FK Jablonec1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Plzen Plzen
WWDLW
71 GF / 47 GA
FK Jablonec FK Jablonec
WLDWL
43 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.51
Average Goals Scored
1.3
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.24
22
BTTS Yes
14
22
Over 2.5
12
5.66
Shots on Goal
3.85

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Plzen Plzen 47 matches
FK Jablonec FK Jablonec 33 matches
Plzen Statistic FK Jablonec
22 Wins 15
16 Draws 7
9 Losses 11
71 Goals For 43
47 Goals Against 41
1.51 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24
22 BTTS Yes 14
34 Over 1.5 25
22 Over 2.5 12
10 Over 3.5 7
18 Clean Sheets 14
13 Failed To Score 7
5.66 Shots On Goal 3.85
15.89 Total Shots 11.3
5.53 Corners 5.18
51.9% Ball Possession 48.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Plzen expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and FK Jablonec in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FK Jablonec having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward FK Jablonec. FK Jablonec arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Plzen Analysis

Plzen come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 53 points after 30 matches. The return of 15 wins, 8 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 50:34, reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through D. Visinsky (7 goals), P. Adu (7 goals), R. Durosinmi (7 goals), with creative support from A. Memic (8 assists), T. Ladra (6 assists), C. Souare (5 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, their record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

FK Jablonec Analysis

FK Jablonec sit 4 with 51 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 15 wins, 6 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 41:33 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Chramosta (10 goals), L. Jawo (9 goals), Sebastian Nebyla (4 goals), with creative support from A. Alegue (7 assists), L. Jawo (3 assists), Sebastian Nebyla (3 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Plzen won 9 times, FK Jablonec won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 38:16 from Plzen's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.4%)
Predicted formations: Plzen 4-2-3-1 / FK Jablonec 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Plzen wins 9, draws 5, FK Jablonec wins 1

Standings

1. Liga , Championship Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 35 24 8 3 74:31 43 80
W L W W W
2 35 23 7 6 69:34 35 76
W W D W L
3
Plzen Home
35 18 9 8 60:38 22 63
L W D W W
4 35 16 8 11 50:41 9 56
L W W D L
5 35 16 7 12 45:47 -2 55
W L L D L
6 35 12 10 13 45:39 6 46
L L L L L
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification