🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
25.07.2026 23:30
Subaru Park
Referee: T. Ford
Philadelphia Union
Match Timeline
Seattle Sounders
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
12'
Hassani Dotson
Seattle Sounders
31'
M. Iloski · Assist: F. Westfield
Philadelphia Union
🔄
59'
A. Lopez ↔ G. Sandnes
Seattle Sounders
🔄
60'
P. Arriola ↔ J. Ferreira
Seattle Sounders
🔄
60'
K. Kossa-Rienzi ↔ P. Kingston
Seattle Sounders
🔄
65'
I. Vassilev ↔ Q. Sullivan
Philadelphia Union
🔄
65'
B. Damiani ↔ E. Alladoh
Philadelphia Union
🔄
80'
D. Jean Jacques ↔ J. Bueno
Philadelphia Union
🔄
80'
H. Dotson ↔ S. Gomez
Seattle Sounders
🔄
80'
O. De Rosario ↔ D. Musovski
Seattle Sounders
🔄
89'
C. Sullivan ↔ A. Bedoya
Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union vs Seattle Sounders Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.4%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Philadelphia Union Win 20%
Draw 24.7%
Seattle Sounders Win 55.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Philadelphia Union1.52
Seattle Sounders1.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union
WWDLW
43 GF / 40 GA
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
WLDWL
36 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.72
Average Goals Scored
1.57
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
15
BTTS Yes
12
15
Over 2.5
13
4.8
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 25 matches
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 23 matches
Philadelphia Union Statistic Seattle Sounders
6 Wins 13
6 Draws 3
13 Losses 7
43 Goals For 36
40 Goals Against 28
1.72 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22
15 BTTS Yes 12
20 Over 1.5 18
15 Over 2.5 13
8 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 7
6 Failed To Score 5
4.8 Shots On Goal 5
15.15 Total Shots 13
5.95 Corners 4.68
47.3% Ball Possession 51.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Seattle Sounders's more proactive style and Philadelphia Union's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Seattle Sounders carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 24 points while Philadelphia Union sit 15 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Philadelphia Union expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Seattle Sounders in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Seattle Sounders having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Seattle Sounders.

Philadelphia Union Analysis

Philadelphia Union sit 15 with 7 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 18:30, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Milan Iloski (6 goals), Nathan Harriel (1 goals), Bruno Damiani (1 goals), with creative support from Nathan Harriel (1 assists), Bruno Damiani (1 assists), Jovan Lukić (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Seattle Sounders Analysis

With 24 points from 14 games and a place of 6, Seattle Sounders still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats with a 18:16 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Albert Rusnák (2 goals), Jesús Ferreira (2 goals), Cristian Roldán (2 goals), with creative support from Albert Rusnák (3 assists), Jordan Morris (2 assists), Jesús Ferreira (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Philadelphia Union won 4 times, Seattle Sounders won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:13 from Philadelphia Union's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (80.1%)
Predicted formations: Philadelphia Union 4-4-2 / Seattle Sounders 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Philadelphia Union 2, Seattle Sounders 8
H2H summary: Philadelphia Union wins 4, draws 2, Seattle Sounders wins 5

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 17 6 3 53:21 32 57
W D L D W
2 26 14 4 8 45:33 12 46
W W W L W
3 25 12 9 4 61:46 15 45
D D D W L
4 26 12 7 7 47:37 10 43
W D W D W
5 25 11 6 8 45:38 7 39
L L D D D
6 26 10 6 10 50:42 8 36
W W W W W
7 26 10 4 12 46:60 -14 34
L W W W D
8 26 9 6 11 34:48 -14 33
W W L D L
9 25 8 9 8 54:61 -7 33
D D L L D
10 26 8 8 10 39:34 5 32
L W L D D
11 25 6 11 8 31:39 -8 29
L D W D L
12 26 6 11 9 39:49 -10 29
L L W D D
13 26 7 5 14 37:42 -5 26
W L L W L
14 26 7 5 14 30:43 -13 26
W D L D L
15 26 5 6 15 31:53 -22 21
L L L L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)