Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
73.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | No |
60.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Penarol
Central Espanol
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Penarol
29 matches
Central Espanol
23 matches
| Penarol | Statistic | Central Espanol |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 10 |
| 7 | Draws | 6 |
| 8 | Losses | 7 |
| 44 | Goals For | 28 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 26 |
| 1.52 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.22 |
| 0.97 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.13 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 10 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 3 | Corners | 0 |
| 32.1% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Central Espanol. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Central Espanol having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Operating from 1 place with 43 points from 22 games, Penarol bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 13 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a 35:19 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Central Espanol arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 36 points after 23 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, while the 28:26 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Penarol won 2 times, Central Espanol won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:4 from Penarol's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.
Penarol
Wanderers
Penarol
Cerro Largo
Penarol
Boston River
Penarol
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
Cerro
Penarol
Central Espanol
Penarol
Santa Fe
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
Corinthians
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
Cerro Largo
Penarol
Platense
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
Corinthians
Penarol
Wanderers
Penarol
Juventud
Penarol
Platense
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
Santa Fe
Penarol
Progreso
Central Espanol
Progreso
Central Espanol
Liverpool Montevideo
Central Espanol
Cerro Largo
Central Espanol
Boston River
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
Penarol
Central Espanol
Cerro
Central Espanol
Defensor Sporting
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
Boston River
Central Espanol
Cerro
Central Espanol
Albion FC
Central Espanol
Danubio
Central Espanol
Club Nacional
Central Espanol
Deportivo Maldonado
Central Espanol
Liverpool Montevideo
Central Espanol
Atletico Torque
Central Espanol
Cerro Largo
Central Espanol
Defensor Sporting
Central Espanol
Wanderers
Penarol
Wanderers
Penarol
Cerro Largo
Penarol
Boston River
Penarol
Central Espanol
Penarol
Santa Fe
Penarol
Corinthians
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
Juventud
Penarol
Platense
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
Cerro
Penarol
Danubio
Penarol
Deportivo Maldonado
Penarol
Atletico Torque
Penarol
Club Nacional
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
Wanderers
Penarol
Danubio
Central Espanol
Boston River
Central Espanol
Penarol
Central Espanol
Cerro
Central Espanol
Boston River
Central Espanol
Albion FC
Central Espanol
Club Nacional
Central Espanol
Liverpool Montevideo
Central Espanol
Atletico Torque
Central Espanol
Defensor Sporting
Central Espanol
Juventud
Central Espanol
Progreso
Central Espanol
Albion FC
Central Espanol
Rampla Juniors
Central Espanol
Artigas
Central Espanol
Tacuarembo
Central Espanol
La Luz
Central Espanol
Cerrito
Central Espanol
Colón
Central Espanol
Oriental
Central Espanol
Fenix
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23:14 | 9 | 31 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:16 | 8 | 29 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 28 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Penarol
Home
|
15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23:16 | 7 | 27 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
| 5 |
Central Espanol
Away
|
15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:22 | 1 | 24 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
| 6 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | 6 | 23 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26:21 | 5 | 22 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 21 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 20 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16:21 | -5 | 20 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 18 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16:19 | -3 | 17 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17:22 | -5 | 15 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12:23 | -11 | 10 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8:24 | -16 | 10 |
L
L
L
D
D
|