URUGUAY SEGUNDA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Paysandu
Match Timeline
Fenix
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
53'
L. Lopez
Paysandu
🟥
83'
J. Gonzalez
Fenix

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 80.6%
Odds -
0 agree / 1 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
80.6%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Paysandu Win 12.8%
Draw 6.5%
Fenix Win 80.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Paysandu1.05
Fenix1.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
Paysandu Paysandu
WWDLW
15 GF / 22 GA
Fenix Fenix
WLDWL
28 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.75
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
8
BTTS Yes
12
7
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Paysandu Paysandu 15 matches
Fenix Fenix 16 matches
Paysandu Statistic Fenix
3 Wins 7
2 Draws 6
10 Losses 3
15 Goals For 28
22 Goals Against 18
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.75
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
8 BTTS Yes 12
10 Over 1.5 13
7 Over 2.5 8
3 Over 3.5 6
1 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Fenix's more proactive style and Paysandu's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Paysandu have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Fenix having the stronger overall control. Fenix carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 13 points while Paysandu sit 13 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Fenix.

Paysandu Analysis

With 7 points from 9 games and a place of 13, Paysandu still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 6 defeats with a 11:15 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Fenix Analysis

Fenix come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 13 points from 9 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, while the 14:11 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Paysandu won 1 times, Fenix won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:0 from Paysandu's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.5%)
H2H summary: Paysandu wins 1, draws 0, Fenix wins 0

Standings

1st Phase
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 8:5 3 13
L W W W D
2 6 3 3 0 9:2 7 12
W D D W W
3
Fenix Away
6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
W L W W D
4 6 2 4 0 9:6 3 10
D W W D D
5 6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
D W D L D
6 6 2 3 1 7:5 2 9
D W L W D
7 6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
D L W W D
8 6 2 3 1 8:8 0 9
D D L W D
9 6 1 4 1 5:6 -1 7
D L W D D
10 6 1 2 3 3:7 -4 5
D D L W L
11 6 1 1 4 4:7 -3 4
L D L L W
12 6 1 1 4 5:11 -6 4
L W L L L
13 6 1 1 4 6:13 -7 4
W L L L D
14 6 0 3 3 5:9 -4 3
D L L L D