BRAZIL SERIE C
09.05.2026 20:00
Leonidas Sodre de Castro
Referee: P. Alves
Paysandu
Match Timeline
Anápolis
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
9'
Rubinho
Anápolis
🟨
14'
Brian Macapa
Paysandu
26'
Kleiton Pego
Paysandu
🟨
41'
Juninho
Anápolis
🟨
46'
Matheus Lagoa
Anápolis
🔄
46'
Brian Macapa ↔ Henrico
Paysandu
🔄
46'
Thalyson ↔ Kaua Hinkel
Paysandu
🔄
57'
Gustavo Henrique ↔ Gonzalo Fornari
Anápolis
🔄
57'
Rubinho ↔ Joao Borim
Anápolis
🟨
63'
Gonzalo Fornari
Anápolis
🟨
64'
F. Bonifazi
Paysandu
🟥
67'
larley Brito
Paysandu
🔄
69'
Marcinho ↔ Luccao
Paysandu
🔄
69'
Italo Carvalho ↔ Juninho
Paysandu
🔄
71'
Matheus Lagoa ↔ Fernandinho
Anápolis
🔄
71'
Lucas Kallyel ↔ Rodriguinho
Anápolis
🟨
73'
Luccao
Paysandu
🟨
74'
Rafael Costa
Anápolis
🟨
75'
Caio Mello
Paysandu
🔄
75'
Juninho ↔ Luiz Felipe
Anápolis
77'
Fernando Viana
Anápolis
🟨
80'
Helder
Anápolis
🟨
82'
Anápolis
Anápolis
🔄
85'
Kleiton Pego ↔ Thayllon
Paysandu
🟨
90+3'
Thayllon
Paysandu
🟨
90+8'
Juninho
Paysandu
90'
Juninho
Paysandu

Paysandu vs Anápolis Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
100%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Paysandu Win 100%
Draw 0%
Anápolis Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Paysandu2.04
Anápolis0.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
Paysandu Paysandu
WWDLW
11 GF / 5 GA
Anápolis Anápolis
WLDWL
4 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
2.2
Average Goals Scored
0.8
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.8
4
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Paysandu Paysandu 5 matches
Anápolis Anápolis 5 matches
Paysandu Statistic Anápolis
3 Wins 1
2 Draws 0
0 Losses 4
11 Goals For 4
5 Goals Against 9
2.2 Avg Goals Scored 0.8
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.8
4 BTTS Yes 2
4 Over 1.5 4
2 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Paysandu's more proactive style and Anápolis's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Anápolis having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Anápolis arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Paysandu arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 11 points compared to Anápolis in 19 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Anápolis.

Paysandu Analysis

Paysandu come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 11 points after 5 matches. With 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 11:5, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Italo Carvalho (3 goals), Kleiton Pego (3 goals), Juninho (2 goals), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Anápolis Analysis

With 3 points from 5 games and a place of 19, Anápolis still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 4:9, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Fernando Viana (1 goals), Joao Borim (1 goals), Leonan (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Paysandu won 1 times, Anápolis won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Paysandu's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1 (100%)
H2H summary: Paysandu wins 1, draws 0, Anápolis wins 0

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
L L L W W
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D W D D W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W D W L W
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
W L W W W
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
W L W W W
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D D D L
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
L L L W L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
W W D W L
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation