BRAZIL SERIE C
--.--.---- --:--
Leonidas Sodre de Castro
Referee: P. Alves
Paysandu
Match Timeline
Anápolis
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
9'
Rubinho
Anápolis
🟨
14'
Brian Macapa
Paysandu
26'
Kleiton Pego
Paysandu
🟨
41'
Juninho
Anápolis
🟨
46'
Matheus Lagoa
Anápolis
🔄
46'
Brian Macapa ↔ Henrico
Paysandu
🔄
46'
Thalyson ↔ Kaua Hinkel
Paysandu
🔄
57'
Gustavo Henrique ↔ Gonzalo Fornari
Anápolis
🔄
57'
Rubinho ↔ Joao Borim
Anápolis
🟨
63'
Gonzalo Fornari
Anápolis
🟨
64'
F. Bonifazi
Paysandu
🟥
67'
larley Brito
Paysandu
🔄
69'
Marcinho ↔ Luccao
Paysandu
🔄
69'
Italo Carvalho ↔ Juninho
Paysandu
🔄
71'
Matheus Lagoa ↔ Fernandinho
Anápolis
🔄
71'
Lucas Kallyel ↔ Rodriguinho
Anápolis
🟨
73'
Luccao
Paysandu
🟨
74'
Rafael Costa
Anápolis
🟨
75'
Caio Mello
Paysandu
🔄
75'
Juninho ↔ Luiz Felipe
Anápolis
77'
Fernando Viana
Anápolis
🟨
80'
Helder
Anápolis
🟨
82'
Anápolis
Anápolis
🔄
85'
Kleiton Pego ↔ Thayllon
Paysandu
🟨
90+3'
Thayllon
Paysandu
🟨
90+8'
Juninho
Paysandu
90'
Juninho
Paysandu

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
100%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Paysandu Win 100%
Draw 0%
Anápolis Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Paysandu2.04
Anápolis0.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
Paysandu Paysandu
WWDLW
11 GF / 5 GA
Anápolis Anápolis
WLDWL
4 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
2.2
Average Goals Scored
0.8
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.8
4
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Paysandu Paysandu 5 matches
Anápolis Anápolis 5 matches
Paysandu Statistic Anápolis
3 Wins 1
2 Draws 0
0 Losses 4
11 Goals For 4
5 Goals Against 9
2.2 Avg Goals Scored 0.8
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.8
4 BTTS Yes 2
4 Over 1.5 4
2 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Paysandu's more proactive style and Anápolis's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Anápolis having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Anápolis arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Paysandu arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 11 points compared to Anápolis in 19 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Anápolis.

Paysandu Analysis

Paysandu come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 11 points after 5 matches. With 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 11:5, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Italo Carvalho (3 goals), Kleiton Pego (3 goals), Juninho (2 goals), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Anápolis Analysis

With 3 points from 5 games and a place of 19, Anápolis still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 4:9, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Fernando Viana (1 goals), Joao Borim (1 goals), Leonan (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Paysandu won 1 times, Anápolis won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Paysandu's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1 (100%)
H2H summary: Paysandu wins 1, draws 0, Anápolis wins 0

Lineups

Paysandu
Formation
Anápolis
Gabriel Mesquita
Gabriel Mesquita
Edilson
Edilson
Castro
Castro
larley Brito
larley Brito
F. Bonifazi
F. Bonifazi
Brian Macapa
Brian Macapa
Caio Mello
Caio Mello
Marcinho
Marcinho
Thalyson
Thalyson
Kleiton Pego
Kleiton Pego
Italo Carvalho
Italo Carvalho
Victor Hugo
Victor Hugo
Rubinho
Rubinho
Rafael Costa
Rafael Costa
Helder
Helder
Leonan
Leonan
Kauan Martins
Kauan Martins
Lucas Kallyel
Lucas Kallyel
Juninho
Juninho
Matheus Lagoa
Matheus Lagoa
Gustavo Henrique
Gustavo Henrique
Fernando Viana
Fernando Viana
Paysandu 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
Gabriel Mesquita
2
Edilson
15
Castro
4
larley Brito
🟥 67'
31
F. Bonifazi
🟨 64'
23
Brian Macapa
↓ 46' 🟨 14'
8
Caio Mello
🟨 75'
10
Marcinho
↓ 69'
30
Thalyson
↓ 46'
75
Kleiton Pego
⚽ 26' ↓ 85'
9
Italo Carvalho
↓ 69'
Substitutes
41
Marcao
6
Luccao
↑ 69' 🟨 73'
5
Henrico
↑ 46'
17
Henrique Salomoni
19
Thayllon
↑ 85' 🟨 90+3'
20
Matheus Capixaba
25
Tiago Indio
26
Libonati
77
Luciano Taboca
94
Kaua Hinkel
↑ 46'
98
Juninho
⚽ 90' ↑ 69' 🟨 90+8'
99
Lucas Cardoso
Anápolis 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
23
Victor Hugo
2
Rubinho
↓ 57' 🟨 9'
4
Rafael Costa
🟨 74'
3
Helder
🟨 80'
6
Leonan
13
Kauan Martins
8
Lucas Kallyel
↓ 71'
10
Juninho
↓ 75' 🟨 41'
7
Matheus Lagoa
↓ 71' 🟨 46'
27
Gustavo Henrique
↓ 57'
19
Fernando Viana
⚽ 77'
Substitutes
12
Ravel Pelegrini
9
Gonzalo Fornari
↑ 57' 🟨 63'
11
Fernandinho
↑ 71'
14
Igor Souza
15
Kauan Guilherme
18
Gharib
20
Luiz Felipe
↑ 75'
21
Rodriguinho
↑ 71'
41
Joao Borim
↑ 57'
Last matches: Paysandu
12.07.26
Ser
Paysandu
Guarani Campinas
3
2
W
05.07.26
Ser
Paysandu
Ypiranga-RS
0
1
L
27.06.26
Ser
Paysandu
Santa Cruz
1
3
L
21.06.26
Ser
Paysandu
Maranhão
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Paysandu
Inter De Limeira
1
2
L
31.05.26
Ser
Paysandu
Figueirense
1
2
L
25.05.26
Ser
Paysandu
Floresta
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Paysandu
Caxias
0
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Paysandu
Botafogo PB
4
2
W
25.04.26
Ser
Paysandu
AO Itabaiana
4
1
W
18.04.26
Ser
Paysandu
Barra
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
Paysandu
Brusque
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Paysandu
Volta Redonda
1
0
W
Last matches: Anápolis
12.07.26
Ser
Anápolis
Maringá
0
1
L
06.07.26
Ser
Anápolis
Botafogo PB
0
2
L
30.06.26
Ser
Anápolis
Caxias
1
1
D
20.06.26
Ser
Anápolis
AO Itabaiana
2
0
W
13.06.26
Ser
Anápolis
Amazonas
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ser
Anápolis
Maranhão
0
0
D
24.05.26
Ser
Anápolis
Brusque
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Anápolis
Barra
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Anápolis
Ferroviária
0
1
L
26.04.26
Ser
Anápolis
Figueirense
3
1
W
18.04.26
Ser
Anápolis
Ypiranga-RS
0
3
L
12.04.26
Ser
Anápolis
Inter De Limeira
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Anápolis
Ituano
0
2
L
H2H: Paysandu vs Anápolis
09.05.26
H2H
Paysandu
Anápolis
2
1
W
Last matches: Paysandu
12.07.26
Ser
Paysandu
Guarani Campinas
3
2
W
27.06.26
Ser
Paysandu
Santa Cruz
1
3
L
14.06.26
Ser
Paysandu
Inter De Limeira
1
2
L
25.05.26
Ser
Paysandu
Floresta
2
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
Paysandu
Botafogo PB
4
2
W
18.04.26
Ser
Paysandu
Barra
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
Paysandu
Brusque
1
1
D
H2H at home: Paysandu
09.05.26
H2H
Paysandu
Anápolis
2
1
W
Last matches: Anápolis
30.06.26
Ser
Anápolis
Caxias
1
1
D
13.06.26
Ser
Anápolis
Amazonas
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Anápolis
Brusque
0
1
L
03.05.26
Ser
Anápolis
Ferroviária
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Anápolis
Ypiranga-RS
0
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
Anápolis
Ituano
0
2
L
H2H away: Anápolis
09.05.26
H2H
Paysandu
Anápolis
2
1
L

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 7 4 3 17:14 3 25
W W D L W
2 14 7 3 4 20:15 5 24
L W L W L
3 14 7 3 4 15:10 5 24
W W W L W
4 14 7 2 5 22:19 3 23
W L L W L
5 14 6 5 3 25:14 11 23
L D D L W
6 14 7 1 6 19:15 4 22
W W W W D
7 14 6 4 4 27:24 3 22
W W D D D
8 14 6 4 4 15:12 3 22
W L L W W
9 14 5 6 3 13:10 3 21
D W D D L
10 14 5 5 4 15:14 1 20
D D W L L
11 14 5 4 5 16:16 0 19
L L D D D
12 14 5 3 6 17:19 -2 18
L W D W D
13 14 5 3 6 10:15 -5 18
D L W L W
14 14 5 2 7 13:19 -6 17
L L L D W
15 14 4 5 5 11:14 -3 17
W L D L D
16 14 4 5 5 12:18 -6 17
D L D D W
17 14 4 4 6 12:17 -5 16
W W W L D
18 14 3 6 5 17:16 1 15
L W L D L
19 14 3 2 9 8:14 -6 11
L L D W L
20 14 2 3 9 9:18 -9 9
L L D W L
Play-offs
Relegation